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Aston Villa v Southampton
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Kick Off: Saturday 7th December at 15:00
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Competition: Premier League
Southampton come to Villa Park desperate for a shock result that could spark a turnaround in their dismal season so far. Meanwhile, Aston Villa will be aiming to build on their recent victory over Brentford and regain some much-needed momentum.
⭐ Aston Villa v Southampton Best Bet
This matchup presents a strong case for backing Aston Villa to win comfortably. Southampton’s form have been very poor on their return to the top-flight, with only 5 points earned this season, and a mere 1 point coming from their away fixtures. They’ve struggled defensively on the road, losing by at least two goals in 4 out of 7 away games. Adding to their woes, they’re coming off a brutal 5-1 defeat to Chelsea, which likely leaves them drained both physically and mentally.
On the other hand, Aston Villa, despite a challenging run of fixtures against top-tier sides like Liverpool, Tottenham, and Chelsea, showcased resilience with a decisive 3-1 victory over Brentford. This result could signal a return to the form that saw them off to an excellent start in the opening of the season. Villa have also consistently thrived against lower-tier opposition and tend to get results where they should, with all of their losses this season coming against “big six” teams.
Importantly, Villa’s ability to dismantle weaker sides has been a hallmark of their campaign, and with home advantage, they’re well-positioned to deliver another emphatic result. Given Southampton’s defensive frailties and Villa’s strong track record against struggling teams, a two-goal margin victory seems like a solid value selection.
🟢 Aston Villa v Southampton #OddsOnThat Tip
This bet offers intriguing value, with both Ollie Watkins and Armstrong being top scorers and the standout attacking threats for their respective teams.
Watkins has already netted 7 goals this season, and his role as Villa’s penalty taker only adds to his threat. He leads the team in shots, shots on target, and big chances, making him a constant danger in the final third.
Similarly, Armstrong is Southampton’s primary goalscoring outlet, leading the team in shots and shots on target. With both players in solid form and playing key roles in their teams’ attacking setups, this combination of first goalscorer selections at 14/1 offers exciting value.
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👕 Aston Villa v Southampton Predicted XI
🔍 Aston Villa v Southampton Players to Watch
🟣 Ollie Watkins
Ollie Watkins has been the standout performer for Aston Villa this season, leading their attack with 7 goals and 3 assists. His importance to Villa’s offense is clear, consistently spearheading their goal threat. Watkins is currently averaging 1.5 shots on target per game, but this fixture against a struggling Southampton side offers a prime opportunity for him to exceed that average.
Southampton rank as the league’s worst team and have the second-worst defensive record, conceding an average of 6.71 shots on target per game. Watkins, who is by far Villa’s most active player in front of goal, is well positioned to capitalise on these defensive frailties, especially at home, where Villa are likely to dominate proceedings.
Given Southampton’s porous defence and Watkins’ proven ability to test the keeper regularly, this bet looks like solid value. Expect him to be at the heart of Villa’s attacking efforts, making two or more shots on target a highly achievable target.
🔴 Flynn Downes
Flynn Downes has been a consistent offender in the fouling department this season, averaging 2.0 fouls per game and collecting 5 yellow cards so far. His aggressive style of play often puts him in the referee’s book, and given Southampton’s current struggles, particularly after their heavy defeat to Chelsea, this game could see further frustration for Downes.
He is likely to face off against Aston Villa’s John McGinn and Youri Tielemans, both of whom are known for drawing fouls regularly, averaging 2.17 and 2.0 fouls won per game, respectively. Their ability to shield the ball and invite challenges makes them prime targets for a player like Downes, who is prone to mistimed tackles in high-pressure situations.
With Villa expected to control possession and Southampton chasing the game, the conditions are perfect for Downes to rack up fouls.
📂 Aston Villa v Southampton Cheat Sheet
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💻 Aston Villa v Southampton Form and Tactics
Aston Villa will come into this game with renewed confidence after a convincing win over Brentford. Their strong home performances and ability to dominate weaker opposition have been key this season. Expect them to control possession and create plenty of chances as they look to build some momentum.
Southampton are struggling at both ends of the pitch, with just one away point this season and a leaky defence. A heavy defeat to Chelsea midweek has added to their woes, and they face an uphill battle against an in-form Villa side. Defensive lapses and terrible away form remain significant concerns.
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🏁 Aston Villa v Southampton Ref Watch
- Referee: Darren Bond
- Averages 4.36 yellow cards per game this season, and 0.27 red cards per game.
- Has given 0.09 penalties per game so far this season.
- Has given 21.18 fouls per game this season.
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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