Backing Talbi to fire off at least two shots is a smart choice with the winger averaging 1.86 per 90 minutes across all competitions.

He’s taken at least two shots in each of his last 4, including tough matches against Man City and Atalanta in the reverse fixture. In fact, only Juventus have managed to prevent this outcome across his 4 UCL starts. Looking a bit further back, this selection has come home in 9 of his 11 starts across all competitions to date.

Atalanta have never been the strongest defensive force and conceded 11 shots last time out to Club Brugge, a slight increase on their average of 10.6 conceded per league game.

One thing the hosts are known for is their high-scoring, free-flowing matches which combined with their desperate need for a win here, should aid this selection in coming home for the second time in as many weeks.

Atalanta’s Champions League matches have produced an average of 3.25 goals this season which is fairly in line with their league average of 3.2. Under Gasperini, they’re probably Europe’s most attack-minded elite team, and having tasted bitter defeat in the reverse fixture, courtesy of a horrendous last-minute referee decision, spectators can hope for a rage-fuelled goal-fest.

Club Brugge’s games have been similarly enticing affairs, with their league matches averaging 3.31 goals scored. This selection has been a winner in 4 of their last 5 UCL games.

Atalanta boast a strong corner record, averaging 5.18 corners per game but this still leaves some leeway for Club Brugge to prevent Atalanta reaching the 8 mark. This is an accomplishment La Dea have only managed on 5 occasions across their 33 matches in Serie A or The Champions League.

Club Brugge tend to fare pretty well at limiting their opposition to a few corners, averaging just 3.33 conceded per 90 in the Champions League. The most any side have managed against them was 5 (Man City), with Atalanta taking just 2 in the reverse leg.

Retegui is always a safe bet to feature prominently in the fouls-drawn market, having recorded an impressive average of 1.59 fouls won per 90 minutes across all competitions this season.

Although he typically exceeds this marker, the forward has drawn at least 1 foul in 15 of his last 17 appearances spanning 60+ minutes. Given Atalanta’s position coming into this affair, it’s likely they won’t take the risk of resting him or taking him off early.

This selection has been a winner in each of his last 5 Champions League starts including the reverse leg in Belgium. Ordonez is probably Club Brugge’s most likely candidate to bring this selection home with the inexperienced centre-back averaging over a foul per game, committing 5 across his last 3 appearances.

If there’s one thing you can count on from the hosts, it’s goals—plenty of them. Their attacking style makes the prospect of another high-scoring affair very likely after their last meeting with Tuesday’s visitors ended 2-1.

Atalanta’s Champions League outings have averaged 3.25 goals per game this season, with those in Serie A averaging 3.2. Across the two competitions, this selection has come home in 6 of their last 8.

Meanwhile, Club Brugge have also been involved in goal-heavy encounters, with their domestic matches averaging 3.31 goals. 17 of their 26 league games have produced at least 3 goals, as have 8 of their last 11 encounters across all competitions.

Despite coming into this clash 2-1 down on aggregate, backing Atalanta to reign supreme is a strong choice, particularly given they never deserved to be in this position in the first place.

Although La Dea were far from at their best last time round, a shocking referee decision to award Club Brugge a penalty in the last minute took the headlines and handed them this deficit. Their opposition created just 0.74nPxG compared to Atalanta’s 1.05.

It’s also worth noting that Atalanta were caught off-guard tactically by Club Brugge on that occasion, with the Belgian side beating them at their own game with a fast-paced attack-minded display. Not only are they unlikely to be able to maintain this away from home, but so too will Atalanta come prepared this time round.

No expected starter for Club Brugge is capable of rivalling Tzolis’ impressive average of 3.87 shots per 90 in The Belgian Pro League. Perhaps equally significantly, he’s maintained an average of 2.82 shots per game in The Champions League against tougher opposition.

Tzolis has fired off at least two shots in 17 of his last 19 appearances lasting at least half an hour and has managed the feat. In 7 out of 9, UCL starts. He sent off 4 shots against both Aston Villa and Man City, managing 2 against Atalanta and Milan, amongst other strong opponents.

Atalanta have averaged 10.6 shots conceded per 90 in the league, which is pretty consistent with the 11 Club Brugge managed last time out. With that in mind, backing Brugge’s explosive winger in this market is a sensible shout.

Finally, we expect De Cuyper to fire off at least one shot – notably another wide player, primarily given Atalanta’s attack-minded wing-backs who tend to leave plenty of space in behind.

De Cuyper has demonstrated remarkable consistency in this market, managing at least one shot in 8 of his 9 Champions League appearances to date, and 7 of his last 8 league appearances.

Across all competitions, De Cuyper is averaging 1.15 shots per 90 minutes, and given Atalanata’s defensive frailties, it’s hard to ignore him in the market.