Barcelona boast a strong run of form and an even better record against Sevilla. Hansi Flick’s men are unbeaten in their last 8 domestically, having recorded 7 wins and just a single draw over the period. In 5 of those games, Barcelona found the back of the net at least 4 times. Sevilla haven’t beaten Barcelona in the league since 2015, with this clash marking the 20th attempt since. Crucially, Barcelona have reigned victorious in each of the most recent 6 league matches between these sides.

Sevilla’s form is mixed at best, having managed just 1 win in their last 6 across all competitions, although 3 of those matches have produced draws. Looking beyond their most recent matches, Sevilla are yet to record a win against any of the current top 5, recording 4 losses and a draw in those games. Against Barcelona, Real Madrid, and Atletico Madrid, Sevilla are 0 from 3 having conceded 13 goals including 5 in the reverse fixture against Barcelona.

Given Barcelona’s attacking prowess, backing the Sevilla keeper to make 3 or more saves is a sensible leg. Despite beating the Sevilla keeper 5 times last time out, Barcelona also had 4 shots on target saved by Orjan Nyland.

Barcelona have forced their opposition keeper into making at least 3 saves in 19 of their 22 league matches to date, averaging 3.8 per game. This shouldn’t come as a huge surprise given they average 6.6 shots on target per match – the most of any side in La Liga.

Sevilla themselves have averaged 2.5 saves per league game and have had to make at least 3 in 50% of matches this season –  a promising metric when you consider the gap in quality between Barcelona and the rest of the league.

Only Lamine Yamal has drawn more fouls for Barcelona in the league than Pedri, who boasts an impressive average of 1.63 drawn per 90 minutes.

He’s drawn at least 1 foul in 11 of his last 14 league games but has taken this up a notch recently, winning a remarkable 10 fouls across his last 2 games.

If that wasn’t enough to convince you, his likely matchup surely will, with Pedri’s main competitors on the pitch expected to be Saul Niguez and Lucien Agoume, who will fill in for Albert Sambi Lokonga following his hamstring injury. The pair are Sevilla’s two most prolific foulers, and by some distance, averaging 2.76 and 1.95 fouls per 90, respectively.

Lewandowski is another Barcelona player we expect to win a foul and this suggestion is backed up by his average of 1.60 fouls drawn per 90 minutes across all competitions.

Lewandowski’s consistency in the market has seen him win at least 1 foul in each of his last 6 starts across all competitions and each of his last 6 La Liga starts. This selection was also a winner as Lewandowski clashed with Sevilla earlier this year.

Both Sevilla centre backs sinned at least once in this clash, as they struggled to deal with Lewandowski last time out, ultimately conceding 5 goals on the day, 2 of which were courtesy of the Polish striker himself.

Only Getafe and Las Palmas have accumulated more yellow cards than Sevilla, who boast 62 in the league – an average of 2.82 per 90. They’ve also picked up 5 red cards and average 12.4 fouls per game.

Additionally, the hosts are not particularly proficient at drawing card-deserving fouls with their opposition having been awarded the 7th-fewest cards in the league. Barcelona’s opponents average 2.64 cards per game – the 6th-most in La Liga.

Barcelona themselves have received the 2nd-fewest cards of any side, averaging a mere 1.82 yellows per game. In 4 of their last 5 league games, Barcelona have received fewer cards than their opposition, not seeing a single player enter the book on 3 of those occasions. This selection was also a winner in the reverse fixture.

Lamine Yamal’s average of 1.61 shots on target per 90 across all competitions is the highest of any regular Barcelona starter and thus it’s pretty surprising to see him priced as generously as this to fire just 1 shot on target.

Remarkably, he’s tested the keeper at least once in 16 of his last 17 matches including each of the most recent 9. This included matches against Dortmund, Atalanta and Real Madrid (twice) so Sevilla are unlikely to pose too great a threat to this impressive streak.

Sevilla’s average of 3.8 shots on target conceded per game is actually pretty good compared to the La Liga norm, although Barcelona had no issue in bypassing their defence when scoring 5 goals from the 9 shots on target they managed in the reverse fixture.

No side in La Liga boasts have strong a corner record as Barcelona who have won 144 since the start of the season – an average of 6.55 per game. Somewhat surprisingly given their calibre, Barcelona also concede an average of 4.45 which is the 11th-most in the league. Their matches have averaged exactly 11 corners won, with 17 out of 22 producing at least 10, including 6 of their most recent 7.

Sevilla’s games tend to produce a similarly high number of corners, averaging around 9.7 per game. The hosts themselves tend to win the bulk of them, averaging 5.36 – the 5th-most of any side in the top-flight. 4 of their last 5 games have seen at least 10 corners taken, which combined with Barcelona’s record makes for good viewing.

Raphinha has to be amongst the favourites to get on the scoresheet having already bagged himself 23 goals for Barcelona across all competitions this season. Crucially, he’s also been a creative force, contributing 13 assists, such that he averages a remarkable 1.18 goal contributions per game.

Across his last 5 games, Raphinha has racked up 3 goals and 4 assists, contributing at least 1 in 4 of the 5. He also made his mark last time out against Sevilla, winning a penalty for his side before setting up Lewandowski’s 2nd of the match.

Sevilla have conceded the 10th-most goals in La Liga but notably also the 8th-most expected goals. Last time out Barcelona hit them for 5 with Raphinha playing a key part.