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🗂️ Bayern Munich v Bayer Leverkusen
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Kick Off: Saturday 28th September at 17:30
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Competition: Bundesliga
Matchday 5 of the Bundesliga is set to deliver a thrilling encounter as perennial winners Bayern Munich welcome defending champions Bayer Leverkusen to the Allianz Arena. Football fans and pundits alike have eagerly awaited this matchup, already touting it a title decider.
Vincent Kompany’s side have begun the season in fine form, winning all four league matches and scoring 16 goals in the process. Leverkusen are already hot on Bayern’s heels, with three wins and a defeat to their name in the league to date.
Bayern Munich v Bayer Leverkusen Best Bets
Last season, Bayern Munich were a dominant force at home, averaging a staggering 3.12 goals per game while maintaining a solid defence, conceding just 0.71 goals on average at the Allianz Arena. This defensive strength resulted in a clean sheet in 47% of their home matches, which meant that both teams to score (BTTS) landed in only 41% of their games.
However, signs of Bayern’s recent defensive struggles matched with the attacking potency of Saturday’s opponents points to the potential of them conceding. In their first five competitive games of the current season, Bayern Munich have conceded five goals and have also conceded twice in two of those fixtures.
Bayer Leverkusen, similarly strong in defence last season, conceded just 13 goals in their away matches, showcasing defensive resilience. However, they too have struggled to replicate that solidity this season, having conceded in all bar two of their seven competitive games this season. Those clean sheets include a 1-0 victory against Jena in the Cup and a 4-0 win against Feyenoord in the Champions League, indicating their early defensive vulnerabilities.
Both teams, however, remain potent in attack. Bayern Munich and Leverkusen have both been prolific this season, with their goal-scoring ability never in doubt. Given that their last encounter ended 2-2, the attacking prowess on display from both sides suggests a high chance of BTTS landing again in this fixture. Historically, BTTS has landed in 64% of their fixtures and four of the last six meetings, further reinforcing the expectation of goals from both teams, we can take BTTS at 1.33 here.
The same attacking potency is what makes over 3.5 goals a strong prediction for this match. Last season, both fixtures between Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen saw more than 2.5 goals, and their recent form aligns with this trend. Bayern Munich have seen over 2.5 goals in all but one of their matches this season. Similarly, Leverkusen have surpassed the 2.5 goal mark in all but one of their games so far, with an incredible five of their seven competitive matches featuring five goals or more. To further this trend, Leverkusen’s last six away games have also hit the over 2.5 goals mark. With the attacking quality on show here, over 3.5 goals looks a nice price at 1.80.
📂 Bayern Munich v Bayer Leverkusen Cheat Sheet
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📊 Bayern Munich Form and Stats
Under new manager Vincent Kompany, Bayern Munich have continued their tradition of dominance. Much like Pep Guardiola, Kompany has adopted a possession-based philosophy, with Bayern averaging 70% possession so far this season, playing fluid, high-tempo football.
Their offensive output has been extraordinary, scoring freely across all competitions (scoring 25 in 5 games). Their most eye-catching result came in the Champions League, where they demolished Dinamo Zagreb 9-2.
Key to Bayern’s success has been Harry Kane, who has already surpassed 50 goals for the club. Alongside him, new summer signing Michael Olise has emerged as a crucial threat, adding further creativity and attacking flair.
📊 Bayer Leverkusen Form and Stats
After their shock home defeat to RB Leipzig, which ended a remarkable 35-match unbeaten streak in the league, Bayer Leverkusen quickly bounced back with impressive performances, scoring four goals on the road twice and securing a formidable 4-3 victory against Wolfsburg in their last fixture.
Meanwhile, Bayer Leverkusen, under Xabi Alonso, have maintained their attacking prowess this season, finding the net consistently. However, their defensive solidity from last season has wavered, with Leverkusen conceding 9 goals in their first four games this campaign.
⚔️ Bayern Munich v Bayer Leverkusen Head-to-Head
Historically, Bayern have dominated this fixture, winning 23 of the 39 encounters. Yet, recent form favours Leverkusen, who have lost just once in their last five meetings with Bayern, winning two and drawing two.
Notably, Leverkusen’s impressive 2-2 draw at the Allianz Arena last season and a commanding 3-0 victory in the reverse fixture demonstrated that they have become a more formidable opponent, overcoming Bayern’s historical dominance.
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* We recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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