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Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich
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Kick Off: Saturday 15th February at 17:30
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Competition: Bundesliga
Touted as the potential title decider, this matchup sees Bayern Munich in the driver’s seat while both teams chase Bundesliga glory. Bayern want to regain the title after Leverkusen’s dominant triumph last season.
⭐ Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich Best Bet
As the 2 best attacking sides in the league go head-to-head, goals are expected.
Leverkusen have been prolific at the BayArena, scoring an average of 2.64 goals per game while conceding 1.36, with both teams to score (BTTS) landing in 5 of their last 6 home league games. Meanwhile, Bayern’s attack remains 1 of the most formidable in Europe, averaging 3.1 goals per game. While their defence is strong – conceding just 1 goal per game on the road – they have managed only 4 clean sheets in their last 12 matches across all competitions. Notably, those came against significantly weaker attacks in Bochum and St Pauli, exposing vulnerabilities against high-calibre opposition.
With Leverkusen trailing by 8 points, this match presents a pivotal opportunity to close the gap. The reverse fixture earlier in the season ended 1-1.
🟢 Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich #WhatOddsPaddy Tip
Bayern Munich 4+ Corners in Each Half: While Bayern don’t necessarily need a win, Vincent Kompany is unlikely to deviate from their possession-heavy, dominant attacking style. Their set-piece advantage makes them a strong candidate to generate corners, a metric they lead in the Bundesliga.
- Bayern average 4.1 corners per away match, recording 4+ corners in 6 of their 10 road games.
- However, first-half performance could be a concern, with Bayern managing 4+ corners in just 2 of 10 first halves, though they came close with 3+ in 6 games.
Recent meetings with Leverkusen highlight this trend with Bayern’s corner stats in their last 5 meetings:
- 1st half: 7, 3, 0, 4, 0
- 2nd half: 5, 3, 6, 3, 3
Leverkusen 1+ Card in Each Half: Leverkusen, typically disciplined, have averaged 2.8 yellow cards per game against Bayern, collecting at least 1 card in 9 of their last 10 halves against the Bavarians. Given the stakes, a more aggressive approach could see them pick up bookings through tactical fouls, time-wasting, or cynical play.
👕 Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich Predicted XI
🔍 Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich Players to Watch
🔴 Jamal Musiala
Musiala’s dribbling and movement in the final third make him 1 of the most fouled players in the Bundesliga, drawing 2.27 fouls per game. He has won multiple fouls in 9 of his last 10 starts and has caused significant problems for Leverkusen in the past — winning 6, 4, and 5 fouls in his last 3 games against them. Given Leverkusen’s aggressive pressing and the importance of this fixture, expect defenders to struggle to contain him.
⚫ Nathan Tella
Deployed in a more attacking role this season, Tella remains a constant danger in front of goal. His accuracy is impressive, with 0.41 shots on target from 1.07 shots per game, and he has managed at least 1 shot on target in 7 of his last 10 matches. His record against Bayern is outstanding, averaging 1.67 shots on target per game and an astonishing 4.25 per 90 minutes, emphasising that if he starts, he is even more likely to test the keeper.
⚫ Jeremie Frimpong
Xabi Alonso’s tactical system has transformed Frimpong into a key attacking weapon. Functioning more like a winger than a traditional full back, he averages 1.12 shots per game and has recorded 2 or more shots in 5 of his last 7 starts. With Leverkusen needing a win, expect them to attack relentlessly – especially down the right, where Bayern have conceded 5 shots from opponents in their last 3 games.
📂 Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich Cheat Sheet
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💻 Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich Form and Tactics
Leverkusen enter this fixture knowing it is a must-win for their title aspirations. A victory would cut Bayern’s lead to 5 points, adding pressure on the perennial champions, while a loss would stretch the gap to 11, making Bayern’s title push nearly unassailable. Their recent form has been outstanding, losing just once in their last 18 matches across all competitions (W14, D3). At home, they have been even more dominant, winning 10 consecutive matches in all competitions. Their only Bundesliga defeat this season came back in the opening round against Leipzig, a result that ended their remarkable 35-game unbeaten streak in the league. Since then, they have remained undefeated in 16 matches, continuing to dominate proceedings with 14 wins and 2 draws.
Despite ranking 2nd behind Bayern in key metrics such as shots on target, goals scored, and passing accuracy, Leverkusen have shown they can nullify Bayern’s dominance and impose their clinical edge when it matters. If they are to claim victory, they will need to maintain that efficiency while limiting Bayern’s control of the game.
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Bayern Munich enter this clash on the back of 5 straight wins across all competitions, but their away form has shown vulnerabilities that Leverkusen could look to exploit. They have lost 2 of their last 5 matches on the road, including their only Bundesliga defeat this season against Mainz. That loss came shortly after a draw with Dortmund in their previous away game, highlighting their occasional struggles outside of the Allianz Arena.
With an 8-point lead over Leverkusen, Bayern know that a win would stretch their advantage to an almost insurmountable 11 points. However, even in defeat, their title hopes would remain intact, meaning they might not approach this game with the same level of desperation as their opponents. Their tactical approach is unlikely to change, with their league-leading 71.3% possession average expected to be a key factor in limiting Leverkusen’s attacking opportunities. Defensively, they have been the best in the league, conceding just 0.9 goals per game and keeping 10 clean sheets this season. Meanwhile, their high-tempo attacking football remains a constant threat, averaging a league-best 8.3 shots on target per game.
Despite these strengths, Bayern have struggled in recent encounters against Leverkusen, failing to win any of their last 5 meetings (3L, 2D). This fixture presents another serious test of their ability to break down a Leverkusen side determined to keep their title dreams alive.
🏁 Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich Ref Watch
- Referee: Daniel Siebert
| Average Cards (Y / R) | 5.00/ 0.20 |
| Fouls Given | 23.40 |
| Penalties | 0.40 |
📺 How to Watch Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga
📅 When is Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich? / Saturday, 15 February 2025, 17:30
🏟 Where is Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich? / BayArena (Leverkusen)
📺 What TV Channel is Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich on? / Sky Sports Football
🟨 …And who is the referee for Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich / Daniel Siebert 🇩🇪
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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