With deeper defensive lines, as seen in the match against Benfica, Boca’s wingers will play a crucial role in defence. In that setup, Carlos Palacios committed three fouls while trying to stop advancing players, yet managed only two tackles. During the Apertura, he averaged exactly one foul per match.

Operating on the left flank, Palacios will be up against Bayern’s strongest area: Michael Olise, Sacha Boey, and Joshua Kimmich (who drew one foul against Auckland). That concentrated zone of pressure could well prompt Palacios to repeat his usual fouling pattern.

With so many attacking options, Bayern offer value even in straightforward shot markets. Kingsley Coman is a prime example, registering at least one shot on target at appealing odds.

Starting against Auckland, the Frenchman was a standout performer, scoring two goals and providing one assist. He recorded four shots on target—the most of any player in the opening round of the Club World Cup.

Moreover, Coman is likely to benefit from Boca’s defensive absences, particularly Figal (a right-sided defender) and Herrera (who bolsters central marking), both of whom are suspended.

Bayern barely needed to exert themselves to record the biggest win in Club World Cup history, beating Auckland City ten–nil. Boca Juniors, meanwhile, surprisingly went two–nil up against Benfica but conceded two goals after defensive errors and ended in a draw.

Despite the technical gap, another historic Bayern thrashing is not expected—Boca are a competitive side with a strong tradition in South American football. Even so, Bayern’s attacking strength alone often leads to high-scoring matches.

Over their last five fixtures, including their Club World Cup opener and the final four Bundesliga rounds, Bayern have scored twenty-two goals—an average of four point four per match, which alone exceeds the suggested line.

Another noteworthy point is Bayern’s goal distribution. While Harry Kane leads their season tally with thirty-eight goals, the ten scored against Auckland came from other players: Musiala (three), Coman (two), Müller (two), Olise (two), and Sacha Boey (one).

Boca will be without key defenders: Nicolás Figal and Ander Herrera are suspended following red cards. In attack, their main hope is Miguel Merentiel, the team’s top scorer in 2025 with eight goals and one of the scorers against Benfica.

Bayern are expected to dominate possession and control the match, just as they did against Auckland City. Boca posed a threat in attacking phases against Benfica, but it was the Portuguese side who dictated the tempo.

The Argentine outfit are known for their intense marking, at times verging on the reckless. In their opening match, they received four cards, including two reds. Across their last five fixtures, Boca have seen over two and a half cards in four matches.

During the Apertura, they finished among the ten most-carded teams, collecting forty-eight cards in sixteen matches—an average of three per game. Players such as Ayrton Costa, Rodrigo Battaglia, and Tomás Belmonte—frequent offenders—are all expected to feature against Bayern.

In order to stop the Bavarians, Boca may resort to excessive fouling. The match will be officiated by Iranian referee Alireza Faghani, who is known for his strictness—he called twenty-one fouls and issued five cards (four to Inter Miami) in the tournament opener between Al-Ahly and Inter.