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Bayern Munich v Werder Bremen Bet Builder Quick Tips & Preview

Bayern Munich v Werder Bremen Bet Builder Quick Tips & Preview

Wednesday 24 September, 20253 min read
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Oliver Shaw

Fuelled by a passion for sport and a sharp instinct for uncovering patterns in data, beating the bookies became the perfect outlet for my competitive streak. Now I take pleasure in sharing my finds with ABC punters. I enjoy finding niche angles and betting value in a range of markets and leagues, my favourite being in Serie A.

In this article...

Seeing as though Bayern can’t stop scoring, and Werder can’t stop conceding, this clash feels like a mismatch on every level.

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Bayern Munich v Werder Bremen Quick Preview Tips
  • Bayern Munich v Werder Bremen
  • Bundesliga
  • 19:30
2 Selections @ 2.36

Luis Diaz to Score Anytime

Díaz has hit the ground running in Munich, scoring in three of his first four league outings, and with an average of 0.67xG per 90, he’s clearly getting into the right areas. That kind of output suggests his form could well be sustainable.

So far this season, only Union Berlin have shipped more goals than Werder Bremen, who also rank fourth-worst for xGA. Given the gulf in quality and form between the two sides, it wouldn’t be a surprise if the scoresheet ends up featuring a handful of Bayern names, and I think Diaz will be amongst them.

Bayern Munich (-2) Handicap

Bayern have won three of their four league games so far by a 3+ goal margin - a 6-0 demolition of RB Leipzig on opening day, a 5-0 hammering of Hamburg, and most recently, a 4-1 thrashing against Hoffenheim. Only against Augsburg did they fall short, despite exceeding their opponents by 3.73xG.

It’s worth noting that both Freiburg and Eintracht Frankfurt have already cleared this line against Werder Bremen, whose backline looks among the weakest in the division.

History also leans heavily in Bayern’s favour; this bet landed in both head-to-head clashes last season, with Bayern racking up nine goals without reply, and they’ve hit them for at least five in over half of their last 13 meetings with Werder.

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  • Bayern have won three of their four league matches by 3+ goals, already netting 18 times.

  • Werder Bremen have taken just four points from four games.

  • Bayern won both meetings last season, 8-0 on aggregate, with the xG reading 7.07–0.13 in their favour.


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🔴 Ruthless Bayern Show No Mercy

As has come to be expected of Bayern, Kompany’s men have made a perfect start to the season, with four wins from four in the Bundesliga.

They’ve already bagged 18 goals - seven more than Eintracht Frankfurt, and at least double that of any other side. Perhaps equally significantly, they haven’t had to compromise on their defence to achieve this, and the three goals and 2.4xG conceded is the proof.

Their 4-1 win in Hoffenheim last time out, as impressive as it was, ranks 3rd with respect to Bayern’s margin of victory this season, having already recorded 6-0 and 5-0 wins against RB Leipzig & Hamburger respectively.

A dominant display against Chelsea, which yielded a 3-1 victory, only adds to their appeal and helps explain why they’re as short as 1.06 to claim all three points here.


🟢 Early Signs Point to a Tough Season Ahead for Bremen

At the end of last season, Werder Bremen made the decision to part ways with Ole Werner, who had steered them to consecutive top-half finishes, citing his refusal to extend his contract at the club.

The early signs are that this may not have been the wisest of decisions, with Werder Bremen having been afforded little relief since, managing just four points from their opening four matches, leaving them just two places above the drop zone.

That said, there have been flashes of promise; most notably, an exhilarating 3-3 draw with Ten Hag’s Bayer Leverkusen, and a commanding 4-0 win over Borussia Mönchengladbach.

For a moment, it looked as though they were settling into a decent run of form, but their dismal 3-0 home defeat to Freiburg last time out would suggest otherwise.


📊 Bayern Munich v Werder Bremen H2H

Bayern have been the dominant force in this clash going some way back, remarkably taking all three points in 26 of the last 30 meetings, and losing only once.

Last season, they certainly weren’t messing about, recording a 3-0 win at home before thrashing Werder 5-0 on the road. On aggregate, the xG read 7.07-0.13, which is unsurprising given that Werder Bremen managed a combined tally of two shots.

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* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.

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