ABC logo
Leicester v Birmingham 4/1 Bet Builder Tips, Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Leicester v Birmingham 4/1 Bet Builder Tips, Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Friday 29 August, 20253 min read
Avatar

ABC Editorial Team

The ABC Editorial Team have a combined Sports Journalism experience of 20+ years. They love to crunch the numbers for all betting predictions, meticulously finding value in each selection. Football experts in their own right, they each bring specialists sports and leagues to the table. Whether it be football, horse racing, boxing, darts, or NFL, our team is equipped to bring you the most insightful and valuable betting tips around.

In this article...

Promotion rivals Leicester and Birmingham meet with both teams having won two of their three league matches so far.

The Best Bet Builder Bookmakers will serve you well this week.

✚ Add picks to your betslip to place bets directly on Andy's Bet Club.


Leicester v Birmingham Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Leicester v Birmingham
  • Championship
  • 20:00
4 Selections @ 5.27

Birmingham Double Chance

In the match market there is only one way that it makes sense to lean. The Birmingham performances have been strong, they are currently unbeaten in the league with only a late penalty for Ipswich denying the Blues a 100% record.

Leicester, meanwhile, have not impressed. They deservedly lost to Preston, and whilst they won their matches either side of that defeat, they left it late against an undercooked Sheffield Wednesday on othe pening weekend and had to very much hang on against Charlton, who many would have as relegation candidates.

The current match prices are suggesting that these teams are fairly even if they met on neutral ground. On current evidence, I would happily give Birmingham an edge in that case; therefore, I am happy to give Birmingham the draw here as well.

Abdul Fatawu to have 2+ Shots

The right winger has been one of the real bright spots in Leicester's performances.

He is a constant threat with his dribbling, and often that dribbling will take him inside onto his stronger left foot and makes him a real shot threat as well.

Whilst I do favour Birmingham in this match in general, I also like Fatawu to provide the major threat for Leicester on the counter-attack, though he can also be dangerous in controlled attacks too.

He scored a great goal to win the match against Charlton, one of two shots that day, and he has also broken this line in each of his other two league matches, with five at Preston and three against Sheffield Wednesday.

Super Sub

Ethan Laird to have 1+ Shots

There is a little nuance to this bet in that it is especially effective if Laird is playing on the left.

Ostensibly a right back, the form of Bright Osayi-Samuel in that position has meant that Laird has been shifted to the left in place of Alex Cochrane. It is likely that Chris Davies will continue with this policy.

If he does, then Laird looks good value for a shot. He managed two shots against Oxford last time, and one when coming off the bench against Blackburn.

Indeed, Laird averages 1.62 shots per 90 over Birmingham's last 30 matches. The theory of him being on the left means that he can cut inside and shoot on his stronger foot, as well as being a back post threat.

Super Sub

Over 3.5 Birmingham Corners

Birmingham look slightly too big in the corner markets.

They only had one corner against Ipswich, but since then they have won the corner battle in every match they have had in all competitions, and five corners has been their lowest total across those four matches.

Opponents of Leicester in the league have had some success in winning corners. Charlton practically hammered Leicester with corners last week, winning 13 of them, and Preston managed to win six as well.

18+, Please Gamble Responsibly, Ad.
Leicester v Birmingham Best Longshot Bets
  • Leicester v Birmingham
  • Championship
  • 20:00
3 Selections @ 17.30

Phil Neumann to be Shown a Card

Neumann has been looking likely for a yellow card for a while and finally got one last time out in the EFL Cup.

When a central defender commits the volume of fouls that he has been doing, committing two in each of his last three matches, then it Is likely that one will be in a dangerous area and deserving of a yellow card.

It is a bit of a surprise that this price is still above 2/1 and as such it is worth a place in the longshot.

Super Sub

Birmingham to Win

I am quite bullish on the chances of Birmingham in this match, especially at the prices.

From studying the way that I think that the match will play out, Birmingham should have more control of the game, I am confident that they will generate a greater number of opportunities, dominate territory, and fire off more shots.

When the team that you expect to do that are then the outsiders and priced nearly 2/1, then it seems too big an opportunity to turn down.

Luke Thomas to Commit 2+ Fouls

Thomas looks a very big price here for a man who averages 1.44 fouls per 90 over Leicester's last 30 matches.

Thomas has committed at least one foul in his last nine matches, with five of those nine going two fouls or more, including one which he made five fouls in.

His direct opponents could be Demarai Gray and Bright Osayi-Samuel. Osayi-Samuel draws more fouls than anyone else on the Birmingham team, 13 in the league so far. Gray also drew three fouls playing right midfield against Blackburn.

Super Sub
18+, Please Gamble Responsibly, Ad.

New Customer offer. Place a min £10 bet on Football on odds of min 1.5 (1/2), get £50 in Free Bet Builders after the qualifying bet has been settled. Rewards valid for 90 days. SMS verification required. Only deposits via cards will qualify (Apple Pay excluded). T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly. AD

📂 Leicester v Birmingham Cheat Sheet

Generic

Live Now

Andy's Tips

Latest football and horse racing tips from Andy Robson and his team of experts.

Betfair

Betfair

SUPERBOOST: Joao Pedro 1+ Shot on Target v Fulham

  • Chelsea v Fulham
  • Saturday 30th August
  • 12:30

View selections

Join Betfair

18+, Please Gamble Responsibly, Ad.
Paddy Power

Paddy Power

Andy's Saturday Accumulator

  • Andy's Acca
  • Saturday 30th August
  • 15:00

View selections

Join Paddy Power

18+, Please Gamble Responsibly, Ad.

📈 Leicester v Birmingham Form & Tactics

Martí Cifuentes still has much to learn about how to make his Leicester players an effective team unit.

Despite their two wins, one over a half-baked Sheffield Wednesday and last week a fortunate 1-0 win over Charlton, there are definite concerns about how the team are performing.

The tactics used so far are a back four with a double pivot and wide players supporting a main #9 and a clear #10. The only bright spots have been the wide players, Abdul Fatawu and Jeremy Monga. There is a lot of youth in the forward positions, but even the experienced midfielders are struggling to control the matches.

Chris Davies saw his team lose their first match of the season in the EFL Cup this week at home to Port Vale.

Despite the rotation of the team, only Phil Neumann had been a regular league starter, it will have been a big disappointment to see how the second string, all supposedly pushing for a first team start, performed against the League One side.

Davies’ first team have looked impressive in the Championship, though. Their control is not as strong as it was in League One for obvious reasons, but their 4-2-3-1 with concentration on ball retention is working well. Every player knows their role in the team, and the cohesion, despite new additions, is strong. The big changes on Tuesday night may have contributed to the unusually disjointed performance in the EFL Cup.


🏁 Ref Watch

Josh Smith

Fouls pg

Yellows pg

Reds pg

Pens pg

22.59

3.88

0.13

0.18

Per game stats from Smith's 107 career Championship games.


📊 Leicester v Birmingham Key Stats

  • Leicester have managed the joint-2nd most shots on target in the Championship so far.

  • Leicester have played only 15 accurate long passes per match so far this season - the 2nd-least in the league.

  • Abdul Fatawu has completed the highest number of dribbles in the league.

  • Despite having the 4th highest xG created, Birmingham are down at 21st for shots on target with only 2.7 per match so far - might be worth avoiding this market for Birmingham.

  • Birmingham have played the 3rd most accurate passes per match, but the 21st most accurate long passes - this exemplifies their playing style.

  • Ryan Allsop has only made two saves in three matches - the lowest in the league.


Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

Andy's Bet Club is packed full of Expert Football Tips. We also have an easy-to-use Bet Builder Stats tool to help you conduct your own research. Look out for our EFL Predictions this season.

These Leicester v Birmingham Betting Stats provide further insight, as well as Saturday's 34/1 EFL Acca.

Friday night's coverage includes: a 6/1 Player Prop Treble, Hamburg v St Pauli Quick Tips, a 4/1 European Football Accumulator and Eerste Divisie Goals Tips.

We also track the best offers, such as the Paddy Power Sign Up Offer and bet365 Sign Up Offer. There's a list of the latest New Bookmaker Offers here.

For additional value, check out our bet365 6 Scores Challenge Tips and our Paddy Power Beat The Drop Predictions.


* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.



Emoji
Written by an Andy verified content writer

18+ please gamble responsibly.