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Wrexham v Birmingham  Bet Builder Tips & Match Preview

Wrexham v Birmingham Bet Builder Tips & Match Preview

Thursday 2 October, 20254 min read
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The ABC Editorial Team have a combined Sports Journalism experience of 20+ years. They love to crunch the numbers for all betting predictions, meticulously finding value in each selection. Football experts in their own right, they each bring specialists sports and leagues to the table. Whether it be football, horse racing, boxing, darts, or NFL, our team is equipped to bring you the most insightful and valuable betting tips around.

In this article...

The two Championship clubs that seemed to command more column inches than any other over the summer have their first league meeting in the second tier after coming up from League One together last season.

Both clubs are perhaps a bit short of their aims as things stand, so work needs to be done to improve on both sides.

If you're eyeing betting options we also have more Wrexham v Birmingham Betting Stats available.


Wrexham v Birmingham Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Wrexham v Birmingham
  • Championship
  • 20:00
4 Selections @ 3.77

Both Teams To Score

This bet is based more on Wrexham than Birmingham, because Wrexham’s narrative this season appears to be one of “we will score more than you” which, logically, is the way one wins a football match, but also betrays the performances that Wrexham are producing at this stage.

It is 15 matches since Wrexham failed to score, back to a 0-0 at Wigan on the 12th April. This season, they have kept two clean sheets so far, one of which was in the EFL Cup against Reading, and the other was at Millwall, who contrived to miss chances totalling 2.26 xG on the day.

Birmingham haven’t scored in four of their last six, but they are averaging 1.47 xG across their 10 matches as a whole, so they are generating chances, and, against this Wrexham defence, who are the highest xG conceding team in the whole competition, there is every chance that they will notch here.

Birmingham to be shown Over 1.5 Cards

Birmingham have now played 10 matches this season, eight in the Championship and two in the EFL Cup. They have been shown two or more yellow cards in eight of those ten matches.

They have averaged 2.5 yellow cards per match so far in the 2025/26 season, with a maximum of five against Swansea three matches ago. Indeed, they have received 12 yellow cards in their last three matches now, so there is a lot of recent evidence that this line is quite generous from a Birmingham perspective.

Wrexham have seen their opponents rack up the cards recently as well. Their opponents had eight yellow cards given in the last two matches played.

Demarai Gray to have 2+ Shots

The “Birmingham City academy graduate done good and come home” was a signing that I admit I wasn’t fully behind during the summer.

However, he has been a definite bright spot in an otherwise up and down campaign, and much of this has manifested in Gray’s attacking threat, and more specifically, his shooting.

Gray has hit or beat this line in six of his nine starts this season so far, and in five of his last six. His average is 2.24 shots per 90 so far this season, which is obvious higher than what we need to see here.

Wrexham concede a lot of shots, an average of 15.9 shots per 90 so far this season. This obviously gives this bet a better chance of winning than a typical match.

Gray does have a good chance of being taken off during the 90, so there could be a chance of needing the substitute to contribute to this bet for those who are so accommodated.

Ryan Longman to commit 1+ Foul

Longman has a consistent fouls record. He averages 1.06 fouls per 90 over Wrexham’s last 30 matches, mainly as a right wing-back.

More recently he has committed seven fouls in his last four matches, at least one in each match.

His direct opponent in this match, which is likely to be Alex Cochrane, has a really strong fouls drawn record. Cochrane has drawn two fouls in six out of the eight matches that he has played so far this season, including 2, 3, and 2, in his last three starts.

The referee for this match, Bobby Madley, is averaging 23.5 fouls per match in the Championship so far this season as well, which is an average that is a little higher than usual for this league amongst referees.

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📈 Wrexham v Birmingham Form & Tactics

Like many Championship teams at the beginning of this season, Wrexham have had a real mixed bag of results. Their draw on Tuesday night was their third of the season but does mean that they have lost only once in their last eight matches.

Their form at the Cae Ras is a concern though. No wins in four home games, and against the likes of Sheffield Wednesday, Derby, QPR, and West Brom, on the whole not a bad set of fixtures, there needs to be a return to the fortress-like form at Y Cae Ras for Wrexham to achieve their goals for the season.

Wrexham have actually created the highest number of big chances in the league so far (24), and sit in the top six for xG generated and shots on target. The problem is that they are also worst in the league for xG against, so Parkinson will have to find a way to get the balance right here.

I was a Birmingham believer at the beginning of the season, their first couple of performances seemed very comfortable and capable against some of the big teams from pre-season markets, but for some reason it seems as though inertia has kicked in and progress has been slow.

Four defeats in six games in all competitions tells one part of the story, and although it was caused, in part, by Jack Robinson’s red card, the 0-3 defeat at Coventry last weekend, was a concern. The (very) late equaliser from Demarai Gray that prevented another defeat against Sheffield Wednesday on Tuesday needs to work as a catalyst for improvement, but I fear it could be a shroud that is masking some deficiencies in Birmingham’s form.


📔 Wrexham v Birmingham Formation & Team News

Wrexham have stuck to a three at the back system in the Championship. This usually manifests as a 3-4-2-1 shape, but can sometimes also be a 3-4-3 depending on the match. Kieffer Moore has been deployed as the main centre forward, mainly for his skills in holding possession and being a nuisance for opposition defenders, but that allows the rest of the attacking unit to support around him. Josh Windass and Lewis O'Brien are having really good seasons in this system.

There are no changes expected to the Wrexham team as far as injuries are concerned. There could be some rotation with Nathan Broadhead having a strong case for inclusion, and the wing-backs could also be rotated for fatigue reasons.

Chris Davies is also trying to be consistent with how his team played in League One. Their philosophy is more possession and control based so the contrast in styles will mean that Birmingham are likely to see a lot of the ball here. The shape is usually a 4-2-3-1 with full backs providing the width, leaving a strong “box” of Christoph Klarer, Jack Robinson, Tomoki Iwata, and Paik/Tommy Doyle to control the centre of the pitch.

Jack Robinson is back in contention following his one match ban following that red card against Coventry. He is likely to come back in place of Eiran Cashin. Paik and Tommy Doyle will battle it out for a midfield place, it is between Lyndon Dykes and Kyogo for the #9 position, and Lewis Koumas could come back into the starting Xi as well.


Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

Keep up with our Football Betting Tips, Accumulator Tips, and Gem Bets, as well as EFL Predictions for this week, on Andy's Bet Club.

We've also got you covered for Saturday's Premier League action, with our Premier League Acca, Player Shots Acca, Player Fouls Predictions, as well as Bet Builders for Chelsea v Liverpool and Leeds v Tottenham, and Quick Preview Coverage of Man Utd v Sunderland, and Arsenal v West Ham.

if you're after a goals bet check out the expert columns for BTTS tips and Over 2.5 Goals Tips.

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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


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