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Bournemouth v Chelsea
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Date: Sunday 17th September
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Competition: Premier League
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Kick off: 14:00
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Watch live: Sky Sports Main Event
Need some entertainment between your Sunday lunch and afternoon tea? We have you covered with some Bournemouth v Chelsea bet builder tips. These two clubs are desperate for three points but for different reasons and a scrappy battle may lie ahead.
Bournemouth managed to stay afloat in the Premier League last season, finishing five points ahead of the relegation fodder. However, currently, they find themselves in a tricky situation, sitting just one point above the drop zone in 16th place.
Chelsea on the other hand seems to be building a jigsaw puzzle with pieces that just won’t fit. It’s a bit too early to write them off entirely for being eleven points behind Premier League leaders Man City, but they need to find the magic formula soon if they are to get the top-four finish they crave.
With the three points seriously needed for both teams, we are expecting an eventful afternoon at the Vitality Stadium. Their last matchup had Bournemouth again playing the role of hosts and saw four goals and four cards dished out. Cards may again be one to watch out for, with David Coote in charge of this one and averaging four cards a game so far this season.
We have the fully fleshed-out Bournemouth v Chelsea stats and research included below, as well as our world-famous Cheat Sheet. With multiple betting angles having value, this preview contains two Bournemouth v Chelsea bet builder tips. Level 1 comes in at odds at 5/2, with Level 2 a bigger-priced alternative at 11/1, levelling up on the original angles.
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Picking The Cherries to have a positive result?
Chelsea might still find their form, but last weekend, Nottingham Forest exposed their vulnerability, indicating that anyone could walk away with three points when facing the Blues. This could be the Cherries’ perfect opportunity to inflict more pain.
Bournemouth’s season hasn’t been very productive so far, with two losses nestled between two draws, although they did manage to secure a win over Swansea in their first EFL Cup match. However, their performances on the pitch don’t tell the whole story, as few teams have faced such a challenging series of opening fixtures. Their 2-2 draw last weekend against eighth-placed Brentford was their “easiest” match, with all other games pitting them against teams currently towards the top of the league. Considering the circumstances, their ability to score in all matches except against Spurs and secure two draws in the process is commendable.
The team boasts some impressive firepower, with Antoine Semenyo (1.22), Dominic Solanke (1.00), and Ryan Christie (0.99) all posting strong statistics in terms of shots on target per 90 minutes.
Taking a closer look, Dominic Solanke’s average of 1.00 shots on target out of 2.25 total shots per 90 minutes is very noteworthy. In fact, it’s on par with Marcus Rashford’s 1.03 and higher than Ollie Watkin’s 0.84. With odds at 1.57 to register a shot on target, this presents a decent betting opportunity. To put it in perspective, Raheem Sterling averages 0.77 shots on target per 90 minutes and is priced at 1.36. An additional advantage is that Solanke is almost guaranteed not to be substituted, having played the full 90 minutes in all four matches.
There’s no doubt that Dominic Solanke is Bournemouth’s most potent weapon up front, having scored two out of the Cherries’ four total goals and contributed an assist. Moreover, all of his goal contributions have come in different matches.
Although The Cherries are trailing in both shots on target and expected xG statistics, conceding an average of 6.00 shots on target and an expected xG of 2.27 per 90 minutes to their opponents, they will need to put in a strong defensive display in what promises to be a challenging 90 minutes if they hope to secure a positive result against the Blues.
When it comes to defensive duties and making necessary tactical fouls, keep an eye on wingers Justin Kluivert (3.81) and Antoine Semenyo (2.80). Their high foul numbers often result from strategic fouls intended to allow Bournemouth to regroup defensively after losing possession.
Bournemouth team news
Fortunately for Bournemouth, there haven’t been any new major injuries this season. The players currently in the medical room have been there since the pre-season, including Tyler Adams, Ryan Fredericks, and Alex Scott. Joe Rothwell, who was sidelined for two weeks due to a finger injury, is now ready to join the matchday squad.
Andoni Iraola has stuck with his 4-2-3-1 formation since the start of the season, even in the EFL Cup, and we expect him to continue with it. Neto will likely be starting in goal.
In the center-back positions, Illia Zabarnyi and Marcos Senesi are set to start, although there is a slight possibility that Lloyd Kelly might replace Senesi. Milos Kerkez will take his place on the left, while Max Aarons will be on the right as fullback.
For the central defensive midfield positions, Joe Rothwell and Ryan Christie have been the preferred choices throughout the season, and they are likely to start once again this time.
Phillip Billing will play in a central attacking midfield role, with Justin Kluivert on the left flank and Antoine Semenyo on the right.
Dominic Solanke will be the lone striker upfront, as he has started in that position in all matches so far.
Chelsea fans feeling the blues
Chopping and changing managers is a routine that’s become the norm for Chelsea, having seen 10 different managers in eight years. The now-established tradition has continued under Todd Boehly’s reign, seeing four managers in one calendar year.
Last season could perhaps have been seen as an anomaly as turmoil was to be expected from the takeover of the club but the excuses are beginning to dry up and the demand for results that are currently not coming is raising the tension.
Last season saw Chelsea’s total expected xG at 49.50 with a whopping 52.50 against. With a current total expected xG of 8.30 this season and 4.30 against, the club is moving in the right direction. However, a total of five goals means they’re struggling to bury their chances and the return of Christopher Nkunku is desperately needed. In comparison Man City has a similar expected xG of 8.6 but with over double the number of goals at 11.
Chelsea’s main threat in attack can be found in Nicolas Jackson and Raheem Sterling with one and two goals respectively to their names. Both are fond of a shot at goal unleashing 3.84 and 2.32 shots each per 90’, with Jackson hitting 1.28 on target and Sterling 0.77.
Two men certainly come to mind when discussing Chelsea and fouls. Conor Gallagher currently commits 2.00 fouls per match with Moisés Caicedo giving him a run for his money with 1.82. However, they are not overly clumsy in their challenges and pull off 1.43 and 1.36 tackles won per match. Raheem Sterling is the club’s most fouled player at 2.31 per 90’ and will be facing Milos Kerkez priced at 1.33 for 1+ fouls on Paddy Power, which is a betting angle worth considering.
Chelsea team news
Chelsea’s injury situation has been a serious concern since the days of Thomas Tuchel. Whether it’s due to the medical staff’s oversight or training-related issues, it’s open to speculation. Currently, seven players find themselves in the emergency room, with Romeo Lavia being the latest addition to the list, joining players like Reece James, Christopher Nkunku, and Carney Chukwuemeka.
Chelsea’s strength lies in the amount of replacement players available to them at the moment. The big question, though, is whether these replacements will gel effectively together.
Robert Sánchez is likely to maintain his position in goal, but it wouldn’t be surprising if Mauricio Pochettino starts considering Đorđe Petrović.
We anticipate that Pochettino will stick with his 3-4-2-1 formation for Chelsea against the Cherries, with Levi Colwill as the left-center back, Thiago Silva as the center back, and Axel Disasi on the right-center back, all of whom have started in every match so far.
Ben Chilwell will operate on the left, and Malo Gusto on the right as wingbacks, while Moisés Caicedo and Conor Gallagher will play in central midfield.
Up top, Nicolas Jackson will start, with Enzo Fernández and Raheem Sterling flanking him on the left and right wings, respectively.
Bournemouth v Chelsea Cheat Sheet
Here it is, our famous ABC Cheat Sheet for this Bournemouth v Chelsea clash, and doesn’t it look fantastic? We have all the stats you could possibly need to build a fantastic value bet builder for this Sunday afternoon Premier League clash, so dive in and craft yourself a winner.
To make the most of our Bournemouth v Chelsea bet builder tips you can sign up to Paddy Power below. Stake up to £10 on your preferred option, and get £50 in free bet builders no matter what the result.
ABC’s 5/2 Bournemouth v Chelsea bet builder
🛑 Max Aarons to commit 1+ fouls
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Odds: 2.00
Max Aarons has seemingly flown under the radar on Paddy Power’s fouls market, at odds of evens he’s priced as the joint second-highest player most unlikely to commit one foul.
It is very surprising indeed, as Max Aarons has committed one foul in all four matches so far this season. Coupled with the fact that he has only been substituted once, which was in the 75th minute makes it for some hefty value.
He’ll be facing Enzo Fernandez on the left flank, who is fouled 1.50 times per 90’. Furthermore, Enzo Fernandez will be supported by Ben Chilwell bombing up the wing to support the attack, who draw 1.21 fouls per 90’.
We are backing Max Aarons to commit one foul at evens, but if you are feeling daring, he’s priced at the immense odds of 5.0 to commit 2+.
*Click the drop-down arrow to view full bet research
🎯 Bournemouth to have 3+ shots on target
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Odds: 1.30
The betting markets for the Cherries attack might be a betting angle that is slept on by the bookies. Unusually for a team in 16th place, Bournemouth are decent in front of goal, managing 4.5 shots on target per 90’ whilst holding an expected xG of 1.32 per match.
This line has hit four out of four times, including against the likes of West Ham, Liverpool, Tottenham and Brentford.
*Click the drop-down arrow to view full bet research
🎯 Nicolas Jackson to have 1+ shots on target
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Odds: 1.20
Nicolas Jackson has shown glimpses of the potential so far, with his speed and physical prowess but at the moment there is a raw edge to him, and he can currently be a bit of a hit-or-miss.
However, Bournemouth are at home and will be forced to play higher up if they’re to get a result and Chelsea will welcome the pressure, as it will leave more space behind the defensive line. This should allow them to play floating through-balls to Jackson, a favourite of his, and something which is a bit of a difficulty when playing opponents set up in an immensely low block of defence at Stamford Bridge. For this reason, Jackson having a shot on target is definitely worth considering.
*Click the drop-down arrow to view full bet research
ABC’s 11/1 Bournemouth v Chelsea bet builder
🛑 Max Aarons to commit 1+ fouls
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Odds: 2.00
As previously stated, Aarons is relatively overpriced by Paddy Power in terms of fouls. Given he is tasked with keeping Enzo Fernandez and Ben Chilwell under wraps, this is a shrewd addition and bolsters our level-two bet builder.
*Click the drop-down arrow to view full bet research
🎯 Bournemouth to have 5+ shots on target
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Odds: 2.80
Chelsea are seriously under pressure here.
Bournemouth will fancy their chances of causing havoc against Pochettino and co, and with star player Dominick Solanke penning a new contract midweek, he will have the bit between his teeth.
Bolstering 3+ shots on target to 5+ shots on target at a price of just under 2/1, looks great value to boost level 2 of our Bournemouth v Chelsea bet builder.
*Click the drop-down arrow to view full bet research
🎯 Nicolas Jackson to have 2+ shots on target
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Odds: 1.91
Nicolas Jackson has proven to be one of the shrewdest acquisitions so far under the Boehly era.
Bagging his first goal for the Blue in the 3-0 win over Luton, Jackson has proven to be a physical presence that Chelsea have lacked over recent seasons. 1.91 seems pretty decent value for just two shots on goal.
*Click the drop-down arrow to view full bet research
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