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Gem Bet: Brentford v Bournemouth

Gem Bet: Brentford v Bournemouth

Wednesday 24 December, 20251 min read
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Andy Robson

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💎 Gem Bet: Bafode Diakite to Commit 1+ Fouls @ 1.66 (bet365)

bet365 - 1.66
SkyBet - 1.3
Paddy Power - 1.3

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  • Brentford v Bournemouth
  • Premier League
  • 15:00
1 Selections @ 1.66

Bafode Diakite 1+ Fouls Committed

Diakite has shown promise when lining up at centre back for Bournemouth this season, which was always going to be a tough task with the Cherries losing three of their back four - and their keeper - over the summer.

Diakite has committed a foul in three of his last five Premier League appearances, and will be up against Igor Thiago who is a real nuisance. As well as the 11 goals that Thiago has scored in the Premier League this season, he helps Brentford get up the pitch with his tenacity and strong hold up play.

This approach has seen Thiago win 5.20 duels per game in the Premier League this season. This hasn’t quite translated into the strongest foul won numbers (0.58 per 90) but that can increase here given how aggressive Bournemouth are. Only Wolves have committed more fouls than the Cherries in the Premier League this season with Andoni Iraola’s side committing 12.8 fouls per game.

Diakite is also likely to have to contest duels against Kevin Schade, who offers a slightly different threat to Thiago with his speed. Schade’s foul won record is more appealing than Thiago’s with the German winning 1.56 fouls per 90 in the Premier League this season.

Brentford love to be direct into their forward players with Keith Andrews’ side playing over 20 successful long balls per game. This should fit in nicely with Bournemouth’s pressing approach which is baked into Iraola’s system, to produce a few scenarios where Diakite has to commit a foul.

There is decent value with this angle when backing with Bet365, the exact same pick is priced as low as 1.3 with other comparable bookmakers.

bet365
A £10 bet on this Gem Bet returns £16.66 if it wins.
Load bet @ 1.66
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For new customers at bet365. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #AD

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