Bryan Mbeumo has been fouled in each of his last five games and averages 1.2 fouls drawn per match this season. A constant menace on the ball, he attracts defenders into tough situations, particularly in wide areas where he operates best.

Forest, who commit an average of 10.55 fouls per game, will be chasing a result and playing a more aggressive game than usual here, increasing the likelihood of rash challenges. He's been fouled in each of his last five league games and drew a notable four fouls against Brighton last time out.

This fixture sets up nicely for goals. Forest's matches average 2.8 goals per game, while Brentford’s have seen 3.21 - one of the highest totals in the league. Forest, usually more cautious, are expected to throw more bodies forward in a crucial game, potentially leaving space at the back. Brentford are effective in attack but vulnerable defensively.

Both sides allow 14.7 shots per game this term, there should be lots of chances in this one. With attacking urgency from Forest and Brentford’s end-to-end style, the chances of a high-scoring game are strong. Three of Brentford's last five league games have hit this mark, including a 4-2 win against Brighton last time out. Three of Forest's last five have seen 3+ goals, too.

Forest and Brentford are two of the cleanest sides in the Premier League, ranking 18th and 19th respectively for fouls committed per game. Brentford average 8.06 fouls and 1.45 cards per match, the fewest in the league, while Forest aren't far off, averaging 2.06 cards.

With both teams preferring to play rather than scrap, and no history of fiery clashes, a card-heavy contest looks unlikely. At 1.53, under 4.5 cards is a sharp angle for those looking to find some low-risk value.

Murillo has commited 0.8 fouls per game this season but has hit this line in five straight appearances, an upward trend worth noting. He’s likely to be one of Forest's players directly involved in handling Bryan Mbeumo, who draws 1.2 fouls per game.

With Forest needing a result, they’re expected to push higher up the pitch, which could leave Murillo exposed and more prone to having to commit risky challenges. Add in Brentford’s strong attacking threat and this matchup looks ripe for a foul. At 1.91, Murillo to commit at least one foul is excellent value.

Morgan Gibbs-White remains a key figure in Forest’s attack, averaging 1.8 shots per game with 0.7 on target - second only to Chris Wood in the squad. He’s heavily involved in build-up and final-third play, particularly in games where Forest push forward.

Brentford are a generous opponent in this regard, conceding 14.7 shots and 5.5 shots on target per match - among the higher totals in the league. With Forest needing a result and Gibbs-White central to that effort, backing him for at least one shot on target at 1.73 looks like solid value.

Mark Flekken is one of the busiest goalkeepers in the league, averaging 4.2 saves per game. Brentford concede 5.5 shots on target per match, the 4th most in the division, and this volume rarely dips regardless of opponent.

Even though Forest aren’t particularly prolific, they’re expected to push for a win here, increasing the chance of shots on target. Away from home and under pressure, Brentford’s keeper should once again be called into action repeatedly.

Both teams tend to concede a lot of shots (14.7 each per game), which can often lead to corners. Brentford have averaged 4.5 corners per game and concede 6.64 this season, Forest win 4.05 per match and allow 6.42 per game.

Eight of Brentford's last 12 league matches have exceeded 10 corners, while the reverse fixture saw 14 total corners. With both sides likely to enjoy spells of attacking pressure in a crucial game, set pieces should come frequently from forced clearances and deflections.