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Andy’s £2.50 Bet Builder Tips
The Premier League title race is heating up, and Man City will be looking to take one step closer to retaining their title when they travel south to face Brighton.
Continue reading for two £2.50 punts for Thursday night’s clash, with one punt being priced at 19/1 and the other at higher odds of 27/1.
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Brighton v Man City
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Competition: Premier League
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Kick Off: Thursday 25th April at 20:00
19/1 Brighton v Man City Punt
Bet builder predictions that are eligible for Paddy Power Super Sub will be marked with this emoji ‘🔄️’.
🟨 Rodri to be shown a card 🔄️
Rodri has picked up a card in almost a third of his Premier League starts this season, amassing nine bookings across his 28 appearances. It is worth noting that five of those bookings have occurred in away games.
Man City received five bookings when they faced Brighton earlier this season, with Rodri contributing to this tally, picking up a yellow card within just 38 minutes.
The Spanish midfielder is definitely not shy of a tackle and has consequently committed an average of 1.43 fouls per game across his last seven away league outings.
🛑 Kevin De Bruyne to commit 2+ fouls
Man City have committed an average of 8 fouls per game in the league this season. This tally was higher when Guardiola’s side last faced Brighton, with Man City fouling 9 times in their October meeting.
Kevin De Bruyne has been susceptible to fouling in recent weeks, committing an average of 1.38 fouls per game across his last eight starts in all competitions.
The Belgian midfielder has fouled at least once in all but one of his last eight starts in all competitions.
⚽ Phil Foden to score or assist 🔄️
Phil Foden have accumulated 21 goal contributions across his 30 Premier League appearances this season, and has also amassed ten goals and assists across his 12 appearances in both the Champions League and FA Cup.
Foden has been on fire in the Premier League in 2024, registering an average of 0.91 goal contributions per game.
Brighton have leaked goals against stronger opposition in their home league matches this season, conceding an average of 2 goals per game across their home matches against sides in the league’s top half.
27/1 Brighton v Man City Punt
Bet builder predictions that are eligible for Paddy Power Super Sub will be marked with this emoji ‘🔄️’.
🟨 Carlos Baleba to be shown a card 🔄️
Carlos Baleba has been carded four times across his 13 league starts this season, picking up another two cards from the bench. The Cameroonian midfielder received a yellow card in his last appearance at the Amex.
Baleba has struggled to keep his tackles clean regularly this season and has committed an average of 2.5 fouls per game across his last four league starts.
Referee Jarred Gillett, selected to officiate this match, has produced an average of 4.67 cards per game across his last six Premier League matches.
🥅 Both teams to score
Both teams have scored in seven of Brighton’s last ten home league matches and in seven of Man City’s last ten away league matches. When the two sides last met, both sides found the net, with Man City winning 2-1 on home soil.
Brighton have shown their attacking capabilities this season, scoring an average of 1.87 goals per game across their home fixtures; however, they have looked vulnerable at the back, conceding an average of 1.27.
Goals have flown in at both ends in Man City’s away league matches this season, with the hosts failing to score in just two of their 15 away outings, while conceding in 12 of those.
🎯 Julian Alvarez to have 3+ shots on target
With the potential absence of Erling Haaland due to injury, Julian Alvarez will likely play in a more advanced position against Brighton. The Argentinian forward has registered an average of 2.25 shots on target per game across his last four league starts when Haaland has not started.
The World Cup winner has taken an average of 2.8 shots on target per game across his last four away matches and accumulated two shots on target in Man City’s meeting with Brighton earlier this season.
Brighton have struggled to prevent shots against stronger opposition this season, leaking an average of 15.5 shots per game across their home fixtures against sides in the Premier League’s top six.
Written by Andy Robson
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