Derby games are often tight, and we expect this one to be no exception given the 2 sides involved.

The reverse fixture was a 1-1 draw, with neither side registering over 1 xG according to FotMob.

75% of Championship games at Ewood Park this season have gone under 2.5 goals, and an even higher percentage of Burnley games which have done the same, at 85%.

The Clarets have only lost twice on their travels this season, and are unbeaten in 6 games away from Turf Moor.

Those last 6 games include trips to Sheffield United (3rd), Middlesbrough (5th) and West Brom (6th), so they have form of avoiding defeat against good sides.

Add into to the mix the players missing for Blackburn, with captain Lewis Travis, first choice striker Yuki Ohashi and chief creator Todd Cantwell all unlucky to feature, and we can’t see Burnley getting beat here.

In the absence of Lewis Travis, the onus is on Tronstad to provide the steel in midfield for Rovers.

The Norwegian midfielder has started every game this season for John Eustace’s side.

He averages 0.8 fouls per 90, and in Blackburn’s last 5 games he has committed 1 or more fouls on 4 occasions.

Dolan has picked up 4 yellow cards at Ewood Park this season, which is double the total of the next highest available player for this weekend’s game.

He averages 1 foul committed per 90, registering 2 in the reverse fixture between these 2 sides.

Dolan was released by Burnley as a teenager, so perhaps this derby means more to him than most others on the pitch.

The reverse fixture between these two sides saw a total of 11 cards shown, so to add a bet that would require only 6 feels very achievable.

Both sides have another Lancashire derby against Preston this season, and their games against PNE would have also seen this bet land.

This has landed in 2 of Blackburn’s home games and 4 of Burnley’s away games, but if this game is anything like the first, and it should be said there is more riding on it given where the two clubs sit in the league, this feels like a shrewd play.

Burnley captain Brownhill has 9 goals to his name this season, which came across 9 separate games, the majority of them coming away from home.

He has been carded on 3 occasions, none of them coming in games in which he has scored, so that is 12 games out of 24 in which he has either scored of been carded.

He scored 3 goals in December, so is in decent form, and with this game likely to have plenty of fouls, of which he commits 1.2 per 90, this is a very nice price.

Attacking midfielder Dolan has 4 cards and 2 goals to his name at Ewood Park this season, coming across 5 different games.

That is at a rate of almost 45% across 11 appearances. His 2 goals have come from a total of 3.7 xG, which means he is leaving plenty on the table.

The card angle is attractive too. Only Lewis Travis, who is injured for this one, has picked up more yellow cards for Rovers this season.

Gueye is likely to lead the line for Blackburn, given Yuki Ohashi is expected to miss out through injury.

He only has 1 league goal to his name this season, from a total xG of 2.5, so again he is another not taking the chances created for him.

The goal angle is included as an extra, as it’s the card angle which makes most appeal. He was sent off at Turf Moor when these sides met back in April, after a couple of clashes with Maxime Esteve.

He has picked up yellow cards at a rate of 0.42 per 90 this season.