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Blackburn v Burnley
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Kick Off: Saturday 4th January at 12:30
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Competition: Championship
A tasty East Lancashire derby takes place on Saturday lunchtime, as 7th place Blackburn Rovers host 2nd place Burnley.
There were contrasting fortunes over the festive period for the 2 sides, as Blackburn failed to win, but did hold Sunderland and Leeds to draws, while Burnley emerged unbeaten despite facing 3 of the top 8.
⭐ Blackburn v Burnley Best Bets
You’ll have to hear us out on this one, as this bet has landed in none of Blackburn’s home games this season and only one of Burnley’s away games.
Firstly, this is a derby match, and one with a lot riding on it as both teams harbour ambitions of promotion this season.
The reverse fixture was a feisty one which saw a total of 11 cards dished out, 10 yellows and 1 red. A mixture of meaty fouls and player clashes following fouls.
Both sides have another Lancashire rival in the Championship this season in the form of Preston North End. Rovers game against Preston saw 11 cards again, 9 yellows and 2 reds, whilst Burnley v Preston saw 7 yellow cards.
The referee for this one is Andrew Kitchen, who averages close to 4 yellows per game, but has dished over over 7.5 cards twice across his 14 Championship games this season.
👕 Blackburn v Burnley Predicted XI
🔍 Blackburn v Burnley Players to Watch
🔵 Tyrhys Dolan
Given our best bet in this game is a large number of cards, it makes sense to pick out some likely candidates to pick up those cards.
High on the list for Blackburn is attacking midfielder Dolan, who is picking up 0.36 per 90 this season. 4 of those have come at Ewood Park, which is double the amount of the next highest available player involved in this match.
He wasn’t booked in the reverse fixture but did commit 2 fouls and was released by Burnley as a teenager before landing a professional contract with Blackburn.
🔵 Makhtar Gueye
The first thing to say here is that we’re not sure if Gueye will start, so wait for the line-ups to see if he makes the first 11. With Ohashi likely to miss the game through injury, he would be the obvious choice but Harry Leonard replaced Ohashi off the bench at Elland Road.
With the exception of John Buckley, Gueye is Rovers’ most frequently carded player per time spent on the pitch, with 0.51 cards per 90 this season.
He was sent off at Turf Moor in the reverse fixture, after a couple of clashes with Maxime Esteve, with whom he is likely to renew acquaintance.
🟣 Josh Brownhill
Burnley captain Josh Brownhill is the Clarets’ leading scorer this season, with 9 Championship goals to his name.
Prior to this season, Brownhill had not scored more than 7 league goals in a single campaign, so he is obviously thriving on being Scott Parker’s main man. He’s in good form, with 3 goals scored in December.
For reasons already covered, we wouldn’t put you off hedging your bets in the ‘to score or be carded market’, but we think there is more value in Brownhill’s anytime price, where despite scoring 4 more goals than anyone else who could possibly be on the pitch, he is only 6th favourite to score anytime.
📂 Blackburn v Burnley Cheat Sheet
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Those who prefer player prop punting see the popular Shots on Target Tips, Card Betting Tips, EFL Anytime Goalscorer Tips, Fouls Predictions and Hit Rates Bet Builder Tips (Powered by Andy’s Algorithm).
💻 Blackburn v Burnley Form and Tactics
Blackburn under John Eustace favour a 4-2-3-1 system. They are without key players for this game, as Lewis Travis, Yuki Ohashi, Todd Cantwell and Harry Pickering all look set to miss out.
They’re an aggressive side who often soak up pressure and play on the counter-attack.
Burnley’s games are often a challenging watch. They average just over 1 goal per game scored, whilst they have an astonishing defensive record with just 9 goals conceded in 25 games so far.
They also play with a 4-2-3-1 formation. Jaidon Anthony offers a ball-carrying threat from either flank, whilst Josh Brownhill provides their main goal threat arriving late in the box.
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🏁 Blackburn v Burnley Ref Watch
- Referee: Andrew Kitchen
- Kitchen has officiated 14 Championship games so far this season.
- He has shown 3.79 yellow cards per game on average, with 0.07 red cards.
- He has already refereed Burnley twice this season, both home draws.
Football Predictions at Andy’s Bet Club
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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