The Addicks have won the corner battle in all six of their matches so far. This cannot be a trend which is not by design from Nathan Jones. We know that Charlton are a big threat from set pieces, and it seems like they aim to win corners in some respects to take advantage of that.

By contrast, Millwall have lost the corner count in four of their six matches in all competitions, despite not yet dropping below five corners in a match themselves.

The way that Charlton dropped bombs on Leicester from 13 corners in their last home match is also likely to have an effect here in that the Addicks will potentially look to replicate that.

A part of this selection is tied to the previous one because if Charlton get a decent number of corners, then the odds on Lloyd Jones havign a shot get shorter and shorter.

Jones is the main target from Charlton corners, as his three shots against Watford on the opening weekend support. He also managed shots against Leicester and Bristol City. 

He averages 0.98 shots per 90 for Charlton over their last 30 matches, but the key to this bet is Charlton getting the attacking set pieces required to find Jones.

Ramsay has already been a revelation this season at right back, but he has also upped the number of fouls that he is committing this season.

He has fouled at least once in three of the four Championship matches he has played in, six fouls in total, with five of them coming in the last two matches.

His likely direct opponent, Aidomo Emakhu, has started the last two matches on the left and has drawn three fouls in those two matches. This means he is now averaging 1.7 fouls drawn per 90 over Millwall’s last 30 matches.

Millwall’s matches have been very card-heavy so far this season. Every single Millwall match so far this season has covered this bet, a couple of them have seen Millwall cover this line on their own.

This is a South London derby as well, and that can only help in this situation.

Robert Madley has a higher-than-average yellow card rate compared to his peers, currently dishing out four yellow cards per game in the Championship, giving six (three to each team) on the opening weekend, and then four (two to each team) in Ipswich v Southampton.

This seems too big a price for a Luongo yellow card.

He has already had two yellow cards this season, and is regularly troubling the referee in terms of his persistent fouling. Luongo has committed eight fouls in four Millwall matches, including four against Sheffield United and three last time out against Wrexham.

His two yellow cards so far this season have been for fouls as well, one of his four against Sheff Utd and also against Newport in the EFL Cup.

With the fairly high card expectancy in this match, the price seems to be a generous one.

I mentioned that Millwall had managed to get at least five corners in every match so far this season, so the fact that they have lost the corner count so regularly means that they also concede a lot of corners.

Charlton won 13 corners in their last home match with Leicester, and whilst we have to be careful not to read too much into a single match, the facts that Charlton have won the corner battle in all of their matches, and the fact that Millwall have conceded over 5.5 corners in four of their six matches this season, make this a good bet.

This could be a breakout run of form for Aidomo Emakhu.

Having long been around the fringe of the first team squad, the teenager has now taken advantage of Femi Azeez's injury and made a real impact. He has started the last two matches and shot three times on both occasions.

His only other start this season was in the EFL Cup against Newport. On that occasion, he shot six times with four of them on target.

His price to repeat exactly what he has already done on every start so far this season seems a big enough one to me.