After their three-goal game against Huddersfield ensured the over 2.5 goals pick was a winning leg in our acca last weekend, it would be rude not to back it again for a Barnsley side who have now seen three or more goals in 10 consecutive games in all competitions. The reverse fixture produced a 3-2 triumph for the Tykes and when we consider that their away games this season average 3.16 goals, we can expect another open affair.

Hosts Leyton Orient sit just two points above the League One drop zone and so are in desperate need of points. Richie Wellens’ O’s have seen 2.75 goals per game at Brisbane Road this season, with this bet cashing in four of their last six as hosts. This is a meeting between the two worst defences in the division, and so with neither side able to rely on their backline, there should be plenty of emphasis on attack, which will hopefully lead to goals.

Luton’s away form under Jack Wilshere has been horrific, the Hatters having been beaten in six straight trips on the road, failing to score in four of those. Those defeats have included visits to strugglers Wigan and Exeter, whilst they were also thrashed 5-0 by an out of sorts Barnsley in recent weeks, and so there’s no reason to expect them to have it easy at the bottom side in the division. They also failed to beat Burton last weekend, a game that was punctuated by ugly scenes between Luton players, Wilshere, and the fans.

Port Vale may be 10 points from safety, but they will come into this game buoyed by a 96th minute equaliser against Reading, followed by a crucial win at Northampton in midweek. If Jon Brady is to stand any chance of an incredible survival bid, wins in front of the Valiant faithful will be vital and having last won at Vale Park on New Year’s Day, they’re certainly due a result on their own patch. Having avoided defeat in four of their last six league games, they seem intent on making a fist of it, and the visit of a struggling Luton could be just what they need.

When looking at the table, it shocked me to see that Crewe were sitting in the play-off positions, as a few weeks ago they were right in the middle of the table. Crewe have taken 10 points from their last five games, and both teams to score has landed in 10 of their 17 home games this season.

Their visitors Tranmere could be one of the first teams on the beach this season, although I’m sure it will not feel like that to their fans. They are 18th in League Two, nine points above the relegation zone with a game in hand, and double that amount of points away from the top seven. They will be playing in the fourth tier again next season, which should allow them to perform with some freedom, in theory.

But, they have lost eight of their last nine games, and will probably still be fearing a strong run of form from Harrogate or Newport. Both teams have scored in 11 of their 16 away games, which is the third highest percentage in League Two.

I think I’ve tipped both teams to score in Fleetwood home games this season on four or five occasions, but it is the gift that keeps on giving. The bet has landed in 15 of their 16 home games this season, including the last four after a blip on New Years Day - perhaps too much celebrating the night before. Interim manager has steered The Cod Army to back to back wins, and a decent away draw at Oldham, so they should be in confident mood here.

They host bottom of the table Newport, who are actually better away from home this season than at Rodney Parade, sitting 20th in the League Two away table. They scored three times at Salford in their last game on the road in a display of clinical finishing. Both teams to score has landed in nine of their 17 away games.

Charlton home matches generally carry a low goal line with the bookmakers, but there is enough supporting evidence in this match-up for goals to make this bet a generous one for an accumulator.

Starting with the home team, nine of their last 14 home matches have gone over this line, including last time out against Portsmouth, where Charlton showed some defensive frailty against a team who are generally nowhere near as sharp going forwards as Wrexham are. The average number of goals per match at The Valley this season is 2.57, with an average xG of 2.74 per match as well.

Wrexham are in a really good rhythm right now and have created a four point gap between themselves in 6th and the chasing pack. They have scored nine goals in three matches, and conceded in all of those matches as well.

Taking Wrexham’s last 30 matches as a sample, there is an average of 2.76 goals per match, and seven of their last eight away matches have gone over 1.5 goals as well.

I think it is fair to say that most teams are looking at their matches against Sheffield Wednesday as three points. Whilst this is a pretty harsh outlook, it has also been true as they have now lost 12 in a row in all competitions.

Wednesday looked a fairly broken team at Norwich in midweek, coming off the back of their relegation being confirmed by their bitter rivals on Sunday. They barely threatened the Norwich goal, creating less than 0.4xG on the night, conceding twice before half-time and conceding over 2xG in the match to the Canaries. That was the 16th time in 17 matches that Wednesday have created less than 1xG in a match in all competitions.

It is as much about Southampton here as well though. They won 5-0 in midweek against a decent, if inconsistent, QPR team, and they are within touching distance of the play-offs now as they sit in seventh ahead of this match. Saints have found the net in 10 consecutive matches now, covering the 1.5 goal line in three of their last four league wins, as well as the 1-1 draw with Charlton as well.

In five of their last six matches Southampton have created 1.4xG or more as well, whilst Sheffield Wednesday have conceded 1.4xG or more in their last 12 in a row.