This is a meeting between two of the most exciting sides in League Two so far this term. Only MK Dons (33) have scored more goals than Chesterfield this season (31), with 17 of these goals coming across their eight home matches (2.1 per game).

Chesterfield have had an issue when it comes to keeping sides out, with no team in the top half of League Two conceding more goals than Chesterfield (27). This record will encourage the away side who have a pretty decent record on the road, having avoided defeat in five of their eight matches.

Swindon have seen 25 goals across these away fixtures (3.1 per game) and can offer an attacking threat here, having netted in each of their last five matches. They’ve seen BTTS in four of these games, with the exception of their 4-0 win over MK Dons in the EFL Trophy, a match where both sides rotated pretty heavily.

Only Bromley are in better form than Colchester in League Two at the moment, with the Essex side under Danny Cowley on the charge towards the top half after a very slow start. In their last two games they have beaten league leaders Walsall and 5th placed Notts County, both away from home.

Those games would have suited The U’s solid counter attacking style, and now they have to prove they can beat on of the poorer side in the league on home turf in Cheltenham, when they will be sitting behind the ball and making things difficult.

Is it still correct to call Cheltenham one of the poorer sides in the league? I think so, and that is despite three wins in their last five league games. In NTT20’s xG ratio tables, The Robins have improved from 24th over the last 10 games to 18th over the last five, so whilst they may have won some games, there’s been no massive upturn in performances.

Colchester should be in confident mood here, and will view this as a great opportunity to climb into the top half of the table.

Sat just one point off league leaders Stevenage, Bradford are still well in the crowded promotion mix in League One despite a poor recent run of form.

The Bantams have taken 17 points from their eight games at Valley Parade and whilst Burton beat them in their last game as hosts, they can look to home victories against the likes of Huddersfield, Luton and Wycombe to give them confidence. They also managed a well-earned point last time out at Bolton, and so are clearly not tailing off just yet.

The key to this bet is that Exeter’s away record is awful, with the Grecians losing six of their eight league games on the road this season. They’ve scored just four goals across those matches and whilst they did win at both Lincoln and Wycombe, those victories were very much ‘smash and grabs’, having created just 0.78 goals and giving up 3.28 between the two.

A long trip to one of the best home sides in the division looks set to be a sixth defeat in seven on their travels.

We’ve been backing Port Vale in recent weeks due to their underlying data suggesting that better results were on the horizon, however, having lost to fellow strugglers Plymouth at home last week to leave themselves rooted to the foot of the League One table, it appears that Darren Moore is incapable of turning it around.

Vale were booed off after another disappointing defeat which made it four defeats in five games. Their last game away from Vale Park saw them humbled 4-0 at Bolton and a visit to another side in the top six looks daunting.

Hosts Lincoln have won three of their last four at the LNER Stadium, with only Bolton taking more points on their own patch. They’ll be hurt after their late defeat at Wycombe last weekend, and so will have this fixture earmarked as their chance to get back on track and remain in the hunt for the automatic promotion spots.

With an opponent in Port Vale who are totally devoid of confidence and struggling to find the back of the net, Lincoln look well placed to get another victory on the board.

This looks like an obvious spot, but we cannot ignore the results and the data that goes on top of that, which goes in favour of Coventry here.

Certainly, Nathan Jones would’ve surely looked at the fixture list after seeing his team lose three in a row, conceding nine goals in the process, and saw a trip to the CBS, and must’ve been slightly concerned.

Coventry are the league’s outstanding team in most respects. They obviously lead the league by 10 points now, they are also top of the expected points table, they lead the league in expected goals, shots on target, big chances created, and touches in the opposition box, and most of those are by a decent margin as well.

Charlton conceded four goals in 22 minutes against Southampton, then went to Stoke and conceded after three minutes and five minutes, so these starts have been shocking for a team that had previously looked very well organised and quite tight.

Whilst Nathan Jones will obviously be drilling the message into his players about their start here, I am concerned that they will almost be too fearful and defensive, and as a result, rarely get out of their own half.

We have seen that Coventry have lots of routes to goal, so Charlton are likely to have to score to get something, and I find that difficult to envisage.

Middlesbrough are having back-to-back home matches this week, which I think will help Kim Hellberg settle into his role, and this will be his first match in charge of Boro. This will only have a greater impact on the possibility of goals, and although it will take time for Hellberg to stamp his authority on the team, even any immediate impact is likely to be see Boro be more attacking, judging by Hellberg’s coaching career so far.

The midweek match at the Riverside saw six goals in a 2-4 defeat to league leaders Coventry, but the general feeling from Boro fans is actually quite positive about the way that they competed, and chances were missed that could’ve seen even more goals. Middlesbrough have had their last six Championship matches in a row go over 1.5 goals, and Derby have also seen over 1.5 goals in all of their last five matches as well.

Derby are always priced as a low goals team in this market, and we successfully got against their line last weekend, they were, of course, 2-0 up to Watford heading into the final half hour, so beating the line on their own, but then they went and conceded three on top of that.

Whilst Derby haven’t been huge in terms of expected goals generated, actually below 1xG per match this season, which is why they are priced low in this market regularly, one actually has to actually go back 11 matches in the Championship to find the last match that generated less than 1.5xG, so this feels like a good spot.