Huddersfield are a bigger price this weekend because they’re missing Joe Taylor due to his international duty with Wales.

However, their process has been so good this season that they are still likely to generate opportunities even without their leading marksman.

These two are only separated by one position in the table, but there are 18 places between them based on expected points.

Burton have the 3rd-worst attack in the league on xG generated, unsustainably overperforming to score 13 goals from 7.40 xG, that positive variance will run out eventually unless they start creating more chances.

Huddersfield have generated the 4th-most xG in the league, and they’ve played one less than a lot of sides.

I want to take on the joint-2nd best defence in League Two, because Crewe’s defensive process leaves a lot to be desired.

They have unsustainably overperformed at the back to concede only six goals from 11.3 xG conceded.

They’ve conceded in each of their last six games now, with the regression to the mean clear to see and they welcome a Bristol Rovers side on Saturday who’ve generated the 4th-most xG in the division.

Rovers have scored 13 goals from 14.3 xG so far this season, nothing concerning there, 1.79 xG for per game is respectable and if sustained, without defensive collapses, will have them competing towards the top end.

The price is bigger because they’ve blanked in their last two league away games, but we’re still working with small sample sizes and the two away games before that they looked like one of the best attacks in the division.

Scoring two in each of their first two league away trips, posting 1.83 xG at York and 1.98 at Crawley.

This bet has landed for Exeter’s opposition in seven of their eight League Two games so far this season.

Rotherham have only lost one of their last eight coming into this match, and that was a narrow 1-0 defeat at 3rd-placed Bristol Rovers - one of the tougher games on this season’s fixture list.

Rotherham rank 4th on expected points compared to Exeter in 13th, and some positive variance should see them knock on the door of the play-off places, having underperformed in both boxes this season.

They’ve conceded 11 goals from 8.50 xG conceded so far, the 4th-best defensive process in the division.

They’ve avoided defeat in six of eight so far, and will back themselves to do so again when they visit an Exeter side who’ve only won one of eight (12.5%) in the league.

Salford pulled off a statement win last weekend, beating a highly-rated Oldham side 4-1 away from home in front of the Sky cameras.

They’ve now won four of their last five, since beginning the campaign with three consecutive defeats, winning their last three at home.

Fleetwood have benefited from their opposition fluffing their lines, unsustainably overperforming to concede only nine goals so far from 15 xG conceded.

That is unlikely to last against one of the most high profile attacks League Two has seen in recent years, especially if they’re unable to shut up shop.

Salford were pre-season favourites to win the title, and they’ll start going off a lot shorter than this if they continue their good form.