Chelsea have seen 2+ goals in each of their last five matches across all competitions. The youthful nature of the side, paired with the intensity of the schedule, makes for some pretty exciting matches with Chelsea seeing seven goals last time out as they ran out 4-3 winners over Wolves in the Carabao Cup.

Tottenham have seen 2+ goals in four of their last five matches across all competitions, with the exception of their 0-0 draw against Monaco in the Champions League. That game probably should have produced a few goals, with Monaco registering an xG of 2.45 and Tottenham pitching in with 0.88 themselves.

This is a fixture that regularly produces goals, with four of the last five head-to-heads seeing two or more goals. Only Tottenham (12) have scored more goals on the road than Chelsea (11) in the Premier League so far this season. The Blues can’t rely on the solidity of their backline, with Enzo Maresca’s side particularly struggling with long throws and physical duels in the box at the moment.

Fernandez has committed seven fouls across his eight Premier League appearances this season (0.89 per 90), with there being plenty of scope for this average to rise against Chelsea’s biggest rivals.

Tottenham don’t quite see this fixture in the same way as Arsenal being their main grudge match, but clashes against Chelsea can actually end up being even more feisty.

Fernandez contested 10 duels and committed two fouls in this fixture last season. Chelsea committed 11 fouls overall in the game, which is a tally you’d expect them to finish around here.

They could even exceed it, seeing as the Blues picked up their sixth red card in nine matches against Wolves during the week in the EFL Cup. Fernandez contested a further nine duels and committed a foul in Chelsea’s 1-0 win over Tottenham at Stamford Bridge last term.

Fernandez committed 52 fouls across his 36 Premier League appearances last season (1.59 per 90), so we can expect his current foul rate to increase, catalysed by the context surrounding this London derby.

Estevao showed his quality again in Chelsea’s 4-3 win over Wolves away from home in the EFL Cup. Chelsea were 3-0 up by half time, with Estevao getting the third of those goals with a delightful chip over Jose Sa, after Chelsea had pounced on a Wolves mistake. He’s already well up to speed for the level of the Premier League and can replicate the shot count he managed at Molineux here, with the Brazilian having three shots against Wolves.

Estevao has had 11 shots across his eight appearances in the Premier League this season. Just four of those have been starts, taking his average to 3.20 per 90. He’s maintained an even stronger shot record in the Champions League across his 135 minutes in the competition, with nine shots in this window (6.00 per 90). That average is obviously inflated by low minutes, but it shows promise when backing Estevao for shots here.

Estevao has scored three goals across his last five appearances across all competitions for Chelsea, with those goals coming against Liverpool, Ajax and Wolves. His confidence at the age of just 18 makes him a good player to back for shots and goal contributions, with the Brazilian slowly developing into one of Chelsea’s most important players.

Both of these sides have utilised corners this season, so much so that they rank joint-2nd in the Premier League when it comes to corners won, with the London duo winning 56 each so far this term (6.22 per game). They are only eclipsed by Arsenal, who are a freakish side when it comes to corners and have won 67 so far this season.

Tottenham’s home games are seeing 12.50 corners per game, with Thomas Frank’s side making more of set pieces this season, in line with the general direction of travel in the Premier League.

They’re conceding 7.00 corners per game at home, which is a total only bettered by Fulham (7.25) and West Ham (9.0), so Chelsea should have an opportunity to flex their muscle when it comes to set pieces.

Seven of Chelsea’s 17 goals in the Premier League this season have come from set pieces (41%). Chelsea only scored 10 goals from set pieces across the entirety of last season, so it’s a marked improvement in their game, which can aid our selection here.

Chelsea may find it difficult to break down Tottenham in open play, with the Lilywhites boasting a more stubborn rearguard under Thomas Frank, so corners can offer a route to goal. Chelsea’s away games so far this season are seeing exactly 10 corners per game on average.

Moises Caicedo has largely been able to avoid drama so far this season, with just one caution from his nine Premier League appearances. Caicedo’s role naturally comes with a risk of ending the season with a high card count, he collected 11 cards across his 38 Premier League appearances last season, which was the most of any Chelsea player.

What hasn’t changed for Caicedo is his foul rate. He’s committed nine fouls across his nine Premier League appearances this season (1.06 per 90) and will be tested by a steely Tottenham midfield here.

Caicedo lined up at right back in this fixture last season and may do the same here with Maresca leaning towards a three-man midfield of Romeo Lavia, Fernandez and Caicedo when all three are available. Caicedo committed two fouls in the game from 10 duels and was fortunate to avoid a booking.

Caicedo’s main opponent here is likely to be Xavi Simons, who has won six fouls across his six Premier League appearances this term (1.38 per 90). Simons maintained an average of 2.34 fouls won per 90 across his 25 appearances in the Bundesliga last term.

Palhinha may not be the first name that springs to mind when looking at the shots on target market, but I think this angle offers a bit of value for a player who has had to be a threat for Tottenham in the final third, given that Spurs are currently missing key creative players.

Palhinha has already scored two goals for Tottenham in the Premier League, and has also scored in the EFL Cup.

That's already more goals than he managed throughout his entire spell at Bayern Munich and shows that he does get into the final third regularly. He’s had 10 shots across his nine Premier League appearances this season (1.30 per 90) with three of those attempts finding the target (0.39 per 90).

Seeing as Palhinha has scored from two of his three shots on target in the Premier League this season, it may also be worth backing him for a goal or a few shots here. Tottenham can utilise his physicality to their advantage against a Chelsea side that have been struggling when sides go direct against them in recent weeks - Wolves scored twice from long throw-ins against the Blues during the week, so this is an angle to keep an eye on.

I was quite surprised when looking through Bentancur’s fouls won numbers this season to find that the Uruguayan has only won one foul so far. You would expect this to be higher with the role he plays in this Tottenham side, and I think there is potential for it to rise here when considering the petulance and combative nature of this Chelsea side.

Chelsea picked up their sixth red card in nine games against Wolves during the week. I think this is something that will keep happening and isn’t too surprising - Chelsea finished top of the card rankings last season and have the youngest squad in the division by some distance. Bentancur will line up against Fernandez and Caicedo, as well as possibly Romeo Lavia if Maresca decides to opt for a three-man midfield.

Bentancur contested 10 duels in the most recent head-to-head meeting and was fouled once in that encounter. Chelsea committed just seven fouls on that occasion, but you would expect that tally to be higher here, seeing as they are the away side. Bentancur didn’t start in the 4-3 thriller between the sides in this fixture last season, but each of Dejan Kulusevski, Yves Bissouma and Pape Sarr, who lined up in midfield that day, were fouled at least once.