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Coventry v Birmingham 4/1 Bet Builder Tips, Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Coventry v Birmingham 4/1 Bet Builder Tips, Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Thursday 25 September, 20253 min read
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With a passion for data and tactical analysis, leveraging those interests to find value in the markets. Massive Jurgen Klopp fan, and Liverpool supporter.

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Birmingham City will make the short trip to the Coventry Building Society Arena on Saturday afternoon, where they will face an unbeaten Coventry City side. 

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Coventry v Birmingham Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Coventry v Birmingham
  • Championship
  • 12:30
4 Selections @ 5.14

Both Teams to Score

We are just six games into the Championship season, and Coventry have already accumulated a total of 15 goals, which is the highest in the league. Although that has come from 10.9 xG, highlighting a significant overperformance, no side has accrued more xG than the Sky Blues in the English second division so far. They have earned their unbeaten record after six matches, and will look to extend that run at home this weekend.

But Birmingham have also started brightly, and currently sit level on points with Coventry - both sides look equally matched, which should set us up for an entertaining game. The Blues racked up 84 goals in League One last season - although they haven’t been particularly prolific so far, scoring just five goals from their six league matches, they certainly have the quality up front to punish this Coventry backline, who have kept just two clean sheets this term.

Demarai Gray to have 2+ Shots

Following a brief stint at Saudi Arabian side Al-Ettifaq, Demarai Gray completed a free transfer to Birmingham City over the summer, re-joining the club after departing nine years ago. The 29-year-old brings invaluable Championship experience and was a marquee signing for the Blues.

Gray has looked confident on his arrival back to English football and has registered more shots than any other Birmingham City player this season. Although he hasn’t been particularly accurate and is yet to hit the back of the net from seven starts, the Jamaican international certainly hasn’t been shy to pull the trigger, and has landed this bet in five out of seven matches this season.

Most of his attempts at goal come in quite similar circumstances, as Gray tends to cut inside from the left wing onto his stronger right foot. Half of his shots have come from outside the box, while Gray has also registered two efforts from free-kick situations.

Victor Torp to have 1+ Shots on Target

Despite playing in a defensive midfield role, Victor Torp already has four Championship goals to his name this season, which is almost as many as Birmingham City have registered as a team. The Danish international is given plenty of license to get forward, with his midfield partner Matt Grimes typically sitting deeper.

Torp has incredible ball-striking ability, so often looks to try his luck from distance. In fact, 13 of his 17 efforts in the Championship so far have come from outside the box. He scored a brace against QPR earlier in the campaign, registering a total of six attempts - five of which were from outside the box.

Torp always looks to pick up promising shooting positions, which makes him a target here against Birmingham - he is averaging 2.96 shots per 90 this season, the third-highest in the Sky Blues’ squad.

Liam Kitching to Commit 1+ Fouls

Given how Coventry play quite an open and expansive style of football under Frank Lampard, the centre-backs can sometimes find themselves exposed in one-on-one situations against opposition forwards. Liam Kitching has committed a foul in all six league games so far this season, and already has two bookings to his name. Even last season, Kitching had an average of 0.97 fouls per 90, highlighting his aggressive approach to reclaiming possession.

Birmingham drew the third-most infringements in League One last season, which is understandable given how dominant they were. But they have been able to maintain that record following their promotion, averaging 14.3 fouls drawn per game this season, which is the highest in the league. It is an excellent matchup for Kitching to extend his fouling streak, as Coventry aim to keep their unbeaten run intact on home turf.

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Coventry v Birmingham Best Longshot Bets
  • Coventry v Birmingham
  • Championship
  • 12:30
3 Selections @ 13.57

Haji Wright to Score Anytime

With 12 league goals to his name last season, Haji Wright played a pivotal role in the Coventry squad as his side secured a sixth-place finish. He was the top scorer for the Sky Blues, despite only starting 21 league games, which highlights how efficient he was in the final third. With his injury issues seemingly put behind him, the American international has been in flying form to kick off the new campaign, and he has already racked up five league goals.

Considering he also scored in the EFL Cup against Millwall in a 21-minute cameo off the bench, Wright has scored six goals in his last six appearances. His form coming into this clash could not be better, and he will hope to build even more momentum against a Birmingham City side who have lost three of their last four matches in all competitions.

Jack Rudoni to have 3+ Shots

Haji Wright may have stolen the headlines in recent weeks for his goal-scoring exploits, but Jack Rudoni has flown under the radar, and has once again been instrumental in an advanced midfield position. Last season, he registered the most goal involvements in the Coventry squad, with nine goals and 12 assists under his belt.

This season, he has two goals and an assist to his name, with both of those goals coming against QPR in a 7-1 thrashing. Rudoni does seem to play with a lot more confidence on home turf, as he is averaging 4.67 shots per 90 this term, registering at least four attempts in all three Championship matches.

Even last season, he had an average of 2.27 shots per 90 at home, compared to just 1.6 shots per 90 on the road, with six of his nine goals coming at the Coventry Building Society Arena.

Bobby Thomas to Commit 2+ Fouls

Bobby Thomas had an average of 0.63 fouls per 90 in the Championship last season, which in itself is nothing to write home about, but the centre back has seen a notable uptick in infringements this campaign. The 24-year-old has committed a total of 11 fouls in eight starts in all competitions, averaging 1.57 fouls per 90.

He started 37 matches at centre back last season, and picked up just four yellow cards. This season, he already has three bookings to his name, despite having only started six games. Thomas has shown an increased willingness to duel, making this price really stand out.

The English international has committed multiple fouls in three out of six Championship matches so far, and now gets to face a Birmingham side who have drawn the most infringements of any side in the English second division this term.

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📂 Coventry v Birmingham Cheat Sheet

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📈 Coventry v Birmingham Form & Tactics

After losing the playoff final in 2019 as the manager of Derby County, Frank Lampard was appointed as the new head coach of Chelsea, where he spent 13 years as a player. However, he spent less than two years at the helm before his dismissal. His next managerial role was at Everton, but again his time was cut short early, lasting less than a year before being sacked. Lampard returned to London as caretaker boss of Chelsea after Graham Potter was dismissed, but was only able to guide the Blues to a bottom-half finish, recording their lowest points tally in the Premier League era.

It was a turbulent and tough time in Lampard’s managerial career, and Coventry’s decision to appoint him could not have been an easy one. However, it was a decision that paid dividends. Lampard took over in November 2024, with Coventry sitting 14th in the league. The former Chelsea boss brought an enterprising brand of football to the West Midlands, which saw a resurgence in results.

Coventry climbed into the playoff spots by the end of the season, and were unfortunate to lose in the playoff semi-finals against Sunderland.

Still, it was an excellent campaign for the Sky Blues - they racked up the second-highest xG tally in the Championship, and have been able to maintain that attack-minded style to good effect this season too.

While Birmingham have been a bit more cautious in their approach, averaging just 1.67 goals per game this season, they have managed to grind out three wins from six games, putting them in a respectable eighth position.

However, their recent form has been poor, as the Blues have scored just once in their last four matches in all competitions. It was always going to be a tough step up to the Championship from League One, but Birmingham have received plenty of financial investment, so they seem to be more than capable of competing at this level.


🏁 Ref Watch

Thomas Kirk

Fouls pg

Yellows pg

Reds pg

21.50

4.50

0.00

Per game stats from Kirk's 6 25/26 EFL games.

Thomas Kirk is the designated referee for this clash - he has dished out a total of 12 yellows in his three Championship appearances this season, which is slightly above the league average. Across the 14 Championship games he has officiated in his career, Kirk is averaging 23.1 fouls per game and has shown just one red card.


📊 Coventry v Birmingham Stats

  • Coventry are unbeaten in six games this season, having scored a league-high 15 goals.

  • The Sky Blues were impressive on home turf last season, winning 14 of their 23 matches.

  • Birmingham topped League One last season with a points tally of 111, securing automatic promotion to the Championship.

  • The Blues went invincible on home turf in the league, boasting the impressive record of 19 wins and four draws from their 23 matches.

  • After completing a £15 million move from Fulham to Birmingham, Jay Stansfield finished as the top scorer for Birmingham last season, with 19 league goals.


Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

Keep up with our Football Betting Tips, Accumulator Tips, and Gem Bets, as well as EFL Predictions for this week, on Andy's Bet Club. We also have more Coventry v Birmingham Betting Stats available.

We've got you covered for Saturday's action, with our Championship Acca, EFL Acca, SPFL Acca, and Premier League Acca, as well as our Mega Acca, a Both Teams to Score Acca, and National League Acca.

To elevate your punting potential, check out our xG Betting Guide and PPDA Explainer.

You can take a look at some of the best New Bookmaker Offers here if you're after some free bets. We recommend both the Paddy Power Sign Up Offer and bet365 Sign Up Offer, and the SBK Sign Up Offer.


* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


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