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Coventry v Luton
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Kick Off: Saturday 26th October at 12:30
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Competition: Championship
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Football
Coventry City and Luton Town meet for the first time since the Championship play off final in May 2023.
The Hatters were victorious that day in a penalty shootout, and this time last year were impressing Premier League viewers, sitting above the relegation zone and giving each team they played a tough 90 minutes. They were not able to survive, but were well fancied to challenge towards the top end of the league now that they’re back in the second tier. Unfortunately, they are currently languishing in 19th position after a tough start.
Opponents Coventry were similarly well fancied, but have got off to an even worse start, finding themselves in the relegation zone after 11 games. Long-serving manager Mark Robins has done an outstanding job during his time with the Sky Blues, and Coventry are renowned for being slow starters, so they will be hoping their form picks up soon.
⭐ Coventry v Luton Best Bets
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I’m expecting goals here, with 80% of Coventry’s home games this season going over 2.5 goals. This has also landed in four of Luton’s last five games.
The home side have only kept one clean sheet so far this season, and have created over 1 xG in four out of five home games this season.
The visitors have only scored two goals away from home, but star striker Carlton Morris has only played in one away game this season and adds proven scoring ability at this level.
👕 Coventry v Luton Predicted XI
🔍 Coventry v Luton Players to Watch
🔵 Milan Van Ejwik
Dutch right-sided player van Ewijk has been an ever-present for Coventry this season, either operating as a conventional right-back or a right wing-back.
The standout area of his game is his attacking play, rating above the 70th centile for players of a similar position in areas such as goals assists, chances created, and successful crosses.
The market that interests me thought is to have 1 or more shots on target. This bet has landed in four of Coventry’s five home league games.
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🟠 Elijah Adebayo
The athletic striker scored ten goals in the Premier League last season, at 0.63 per 90, overperforming his xG of 0.43 per 90. This season so far, it has been quite the opposite.
From his first ten league games this season, Adebayo had failed to score a goal from an xG of 3.71, and averaging 2.2 shots per game.
He finally broke his duck on Wednesday night against Sunderland, racking up another 0.9xG in the process. With the confidence boost that goal will give him, he can set about reducing the deficit between expected and actual goals at an attractive price of 11/4.
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📂 Coventry v Luton Cheat Sheet
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💻 Coventry v Luton Form and Tactics
This is a clash of the two biggest underperformers according to FotMob’s expected points table. Their data has Luton sitting sixth in the table with six more points than they currently have, whilst Coventry are in tenth with seven more points.
Coventry are a difficult side to pin down formation-wise, as they frequently switch between a 4-2-3-1 and a 3-5-2. More often than not this season it has been the former. Jack Rudoni has started every game and is the chief chance creator from his attacking midfield role, making 2.3 chances per 90. Only one player has scored more than a single goal, USA international Haji Wright with four.
On the other hand, you know what you’re going to get with Rob Edwards’ side. He is wedded to playing three at the back with wing-backs and two central midfielders. In attack, it’s either a number ten with two out-and-out strikers or two attackers playing off a target man. They’re quite happy to let the opposition have the ball on the road, having had less possession in four of five games.
Ever-present Alfie Doughty provides plenty of ammunition for his strikers from the left flank, creating 3.45 chances per 90, and has the highest xA per 90 in the whole division at 0.42 per 90.
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🏁 Coventry v Luton Ref Watch
- Referee: Robert Madley.
- Madley is averaging 2.83 yellows per game and 0 red cards.
- He has refereed eight games in the Championship this season.
- He awards an average of 21 fouls per game.
Football Predictions at Andy’s Bet Club
Our guide on how to use a Cheat Sheet is the perfect way to get involved with our bet builder stats tool, the best freely available data source for punting on the Premier League.
We recommend the best betting sites for accumulators, top bet builder sites, and the best Premier League free bets, and weekly free bet clubs, all to ensure you bet smarter when backing our tips with the best UK sports betting sites.
Expert guides, such as this one, on xG in football, are also available to help you up your punting game.
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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