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Portugal v Denmark
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Kick Off: Sunday 23rd March at 19:45
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Competition: UEFA Nations League
Denmark delivered a surprisingly dominant and composed performance in the first leg, securing a crucial win against Portugal – a team they have historically struggled against. Now, they must navigate a tricky trip to Portugal, where the hosts will be desperate to overturn the deficit and keep their hopes alive for a second UEFA Nations League title. A fiercely contested battle is expected as Denmark aim to book their first-ever spot in the tournament’s semi-finals.
⭐ Portugal v Denmark Best Bet
This bet landed comfortably in the first leg, with a total of 13 corners. While Denmark contributed seven of those, their corner count may not be as high this time around. However, Portugal’s attacking dominance, combined with Denmark’s recent away trends, suggests that this selection should land again.
Portugal’s Nations League games have averaged 11.67 corners per match, with 13 of their last 14 international games producing at least nine corners.
Denmark’s group stage matches averaged 10 corners per game, and six of their last seven away internationals have seen at least nine corners (with the sole exception finishing at eight).
Portugal’s home dominance means they are capable of getting close to this mark on their own. They have taken seven or more corners in four of their last six home internationals, which would make Denmark’s required contribution, if that scenario repeated itself here, of just two corners highly achievable. Notably, Denmark has recorded at least two corners in each of their last 22 internationals, as well as in their last nine away matches.
👕 Portugal v Denmark Predicted XI
🔍 Portugal v Denmark Players to Watch
⚪ Rasmus Hojlund
Højlund made an instant impact in the first leg, coming off the bench to score the winner – his eighth goal in just 23 senior appearances for Denmark. While his group stage involvement was limited, his form during the Euros and qualifiers was impressive as he registered a shot on target in five of his last six internationals.
📂 Portugal v Denmark Cheat Sheet
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We’ve also got Match Result and BTTS Tips and a Sunday Goals Algorithm Acca available at your fingertips for this Sunday’s fixtures. You can find all of Andy’s Football Tips here.
For more tips on Sunday’s Nations League action, you can check out our Nations League Accumulator, our Spain v Netherlands Bet Builder Tips, or our Scotland v Greece Betting Predictions.
💻 Portugal v Denmark Form and Tactics
Portugal’s quest for a second UEFA Nations League title faces a crucial test as they look to overturn a (1-0) first leg deficit against Denmark. Roberto Martínez’s side, who have thrived under his guidance (W20, D2, L5), saw their perfect Nations League knockout record shattered in the opening leg, falling to a 1-0 defeat in Copenhagen. Now back on home soil, Portugal will aim to harness their strong record in Lisbon, where they have gone unbeaten in 11 of their last 13 Nations League matches (W10, D1, L2).
Denmark, meanwhile, arrive in Portugal with momentum after securing their first win under new boss Brian Riemer. Having endured a tough Nations League group stage (D2, L2 in their final four games), the Danes found form at just the right time, securing a vital first leg victory. Their away record in the competition is mixed – having started with five wins in their first seven trips (W5, D1, L1), they have since gone winless in four (D2, L2).
Denying Portugal on their own turf will prove challenging, especially given their struggles against top-ranked opposition. Since 2021, Denmark’s only away victory against a FIFA top 10 ranked nation came against France (W1, D1, L5), highlighting the difficulty of the task ahead. However, with the tie delicately poised after the first leg result, the Danes will be determined to hold their ground and book their place in the semi-finals.
🏁 Portugal v Denmark Ref Watch
- Referee: Slavko Vinčić
| Average Cards (Y / R) | 4.36 / 0.00 |
| Fouls Given | 25.29 |
| Penalties | 0.07 |
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* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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