Jamie Gittens has been outstanding for Dortmund in the Champions League, netting three goals in just four appearances. With Karim Adeyemi sidelined through injury and Serhou Guirassy not fully fit, Gittens is likely to shoulder much of Dortmund’s attacking responsibility.

His domestic form adds to his credibility, with six goal contributions in seven Bundesliga starts and an average of 1.12 shots on target per 90 minutes. This climbs to an impressive 2.16 shots on target per 90 in the Champions League, underscoring his ability to rise to the occasion.

Martin Baturina has featured in all four of Zagreb’s Champions League matches, averaging 1.25 fouls per game. Only one player in the team has committed more fouls, highlighting his combative style.

In a high-stakes match where Zagreb will likely have to fight hard for a result, it’s reasonable to expect Baturina to stay consistent with his trend of fouling, particularly against Dortmund’s high-energy and technically skilled attackers. This makes the 1+ fouls market a solid selection.

Dortmund have averaged 6.5 corners per game in the Champions League, even against elite teams like Real Madrid, whose defensive setups are far superior to Dinamo Zagreb’s. Their Bundesliga corner stats are equally impressive, averaging 6.64 corners per game.

Meanwhile, Zagreb have shown significant vulnerability in this area, conceding a staggering average of 11.25 corners per match in the competition.

Dinamo Zagreb have averaged 4 shots on target per game in the Champions League, showing their capability to create chances even against stronger opposition.

Dortmund, on the other hand, have allowed opponents an average of 4.5 shots on target per game in the Champions League, with this figure only slightly decreasing to 4.36 in the Bundesliga. This indicates a clear susceptibility to conceding chances.

With Zagreb playing at home and expected to push forward at times, this bet is well supported by both teams’ statistics.

Dortmund have been consistent corner generators, averaging 6.5 corners per game in the Champions League. This impressive figure has been achieved against elite opposition such as Real Madrid, who boast significantly stronger defences than Dinamo Zagreb.

In the Bundesliga, Dortmund maintain a similarly high average of 6.64 corners per game. On the flip side, Zagreb have shown a glaring weakness in defending set pieces, conceding a staggering 11.25 corners per game in the Champions League. With Dortmund likely to dominate possession and create chances, this selection offers excellent value.

This outcome has been a recurring theme in both teams’ matches. Dortmund have seen goals scored in both halves in each of their last nine Bundesliga games and in two of their Champions League matches.

Similarly, Zagreb have experienced this in 11 of their 14 league games and three of their Champions League fixtures. With both teams having plenty at stake and likely to push for a win from the outset, this trend seems likely to continue, making this bet a strong choice.

Kulenovic has been Dinamo Zagreb’s most consistent attacking threat in the Champions League, scoring three goals in three appearances and averaging 1.33 shots on target per game. Despite facing a stronger opponent in Dortmund, Zagreb’s home advantage increases their likelihood of creating chances.

Dortmund’s defense has been anything but impenetrable, conceding an average of 4.4 shots on target per game in all competitions. If Zagreb test Dortmund’s goalkeeper, it is highly probable that Kulenovic will be at the center of the action, making this selection a smart play.

Dortmund have been prolific in attack, averaging 8.5 shots on target per game in the Champions League and 6 across all competitions. Dinamo Zagreb, on the other hand, have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 8.25 shots on target per game.

With Dortmund’s attacking firepower and Zagreb’s defensive vulnerabilities, Dortmund hitting at least five shots on target appears to be a reliable bet.