England v Ukraine
Bukayo Saka continues to be underrated at producing fouls. He will press hard and often give away some really cheap free kicks. Despite only obtaining 5 yellow cards in the Premier League this season, Saka has amassed 31 fouls at an average of one every 83 minutes.
He can often get wound up by referees failing to protect him and looks a generous price at 1.53 to commit at least one foul here at Wembley. Despite not committing a foul in the comfortable win in Naples, I can’t believe he will go through an entire international week without fouling.
Kalvin Phillips was a surprise inclusion from the start in Naples. With Jude Bellingham an injury concern, he will highly likely keep his place in the team. Someone is going to have to step up as a midfield enforcer here and the former Leeds United man is a prime candidate.
He only committed one foul vs Italy and is priced at 1.25 to do the same again here. He may well be tasked with stopping some counter-attacks, and with serial foul drawers like Mykhailo Mudryk in attack for the Ukrainians, it is inevitable he works the referee at some stage.
Marseille midfielder Ruslan Malinovskyi is a fouling machine, and this season averages one foul every 60 mins in both Serie A and Ligue 1. He moved to the south coast of France in the winter transfer window. Last season for Atalanta he was an even bigger offender, averaging one foul every 42 mins of league action.
He is priced at even money to have 2 or more fouls vs England. Against a tough Three Lions side he will surely not be able to contain himself and is probably the most likely player to get booked in this fixture.
Everton left-back Vitalii Mykolenko will be tasked with Bukayo Saka which could be a difficult test. Saka was fouled 7 times in just 313 minutes of action in the World Cup and has been fouled considerably more than once per game in the Premier League.
He is elusive, skillful, and brim full of confidence right now. Mykolenko averages one foul every 93 mins in the Premier League this season and it’s a surprise to see him as big as 1.36 to commit at least one offence in this fixture.
Harry Kane is an experienced operator who will play dirty if needed. England are likely to have a lot of the ball here and space might be at a premium. Kane will probably have to use his physical strength quite a lot and probably at least on one occasion, the referee might penalize him.
The England captain has fouled a total of 25 times in 28 Premier League appearances for Spurs this season and also chipped in with 7 fouls in 8 Champions League games. He’s only 1.30 to commit at least one offence here but will surely work the referee a couple of times in this fixture.
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