The final matchday of Group A sees England, who have already qualified for the knockout rounds, face off against Northern Ireland, who know they will not progress any further in the tournament.
Expect changes in the line-ups, especially for England. The result of this match has no affect on England, so expect rest for key players and a chance for those have been waiting on the sidelines to prove their worth. Northern Ireland will most likely stick with a similar squad, they know it is unlikely they will win but will hope they have a chance of sneaking a good result against a weakened England team.
England Women v Northern Ireland Women Bet Builder Tips
Over 3.5 Goals
For Northern Ireland, the main question is how many England will score, rather than a question of whether Northern Ireland can get anything from the game. England simply destroyed Norway in their last match, creating a phenomenal 6.9 xG. England registered 25 shots, 15 on target and these were not numbers pumped up by long range efforts.
England averaged 0.28 xG per shot and only 6 of these shots came from outside of the area. Northern Ireland conceded 1.7 xG in their 2-0 loss to an Austria side that struggle to attack and conceded 2.8 xG against Norway, who play a much more attacking brand of football. Northern Ireland have conceded at least 4 goals in the last 3 matches between the teams, including a recent 5-0 loss in April in a World Cup Qualifying match.
Wiegman spoke of the importance of staying focussed and the players showed no let up against Norway. With a big crowd watching in Southampton, England will want to push on and give the fans a performance. Northern Ireland’s manager, Kenny Shiels, admitted Northern Ireland had qualified for the tournament too soon in their development as a team and he will be preparing the players for the worst again. England have scored over 3.5 goals in the last 3 head to head matches, a feat they will expect to repeat here.
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Prediction: Over 3.5 Goals
Alessia Russo to Score
Alessia Russo is in excellent form for England. The striker has only played 59 minutes at the tournament so far but has had 5 shots, 2 on target and scored the 7th goal in England’s match against Norway. With the option to rest players, Wiegman will be expected to rest star striker Ellen White. Russo has shown herself as the perfect back up to White, her link-up play is excellent and she has already been involved in 7 shot-ending involvements (1 every 8.4 minutes). She scored 0.51 goals per 90 in the Women’s Super League from an average of just 0.31 xG per 90. Now playing in an England team that have provided her with 0.79 xG in just 59 minutes of playing time this Euros, she can expect to score again against Northern Ireland. Even if not selected to start the match, Russo could come on and make an impact, just like she did against Norway.
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Prediction: Alessia Russo to Score
Chloe Kelly to have 1+ Shots On Target
Chloe Kelly is another player who can expect to come into the starting line-up against Northern Ireland. Kelly came on against Austria and Norway and played on both sides of the pitch as a winger. Kelly suffered an ACL injury that ruined last season for her, but she battled with the injury to make sure she was ready for this tournament. In the 2020-2021 season she scored 10 goals in 21 appearances and has averaged 0.3 goals per 90 over the last year. Kelly was in the top 10% for attacking midfielders and wingers for shots on target per 90 over the last year averaging 1.49 shots on target. Northern Ireland are weakest at defending the oppositions left, with 47% of Norway’s attacks in their match coming down Norway’s left wing. Kelly may start on the right or left of the pitch, but if Mead starts to maintain her momentum, Kelly would come in on the left. The right footer could have opportunities to cut in and shoot, and with an average shot distance in the WSL of 17.5 yards, she is not afraid of hitting a long range effort to test the keeper. Kelly will have plenty of opportunities to shoot from distance against a Northern Ireland team that will most likely back off and give her space, therefore expect her to register at least 1 shot on target.
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Prediction: Chloe Kelly to have 1+ Shots On Target
Demi Vance to be Carded
Against Norway, England dominated the ball with 64% possession and a frustrated Norway team got 3 yellow cards. A similar pattern is expected against Northern Ireland and the frustration will kick in as England dominate possession and make life difficult for Northern Ireland. Beth Mead is a fantastic dribbler and skilled player. She was in top 2% of WSL attackers for shot creating dribbles, top 10% for carries into the final third and top 6% for fouls drawn. Mead draws 2.14 fouls per game and she was fouled for Julie Blakstad’s yellow card in the England vs Norway match. Demi Vance is Northern Ireland’s starting left back and will face up against Mead. Although there are limited statistics available from her club matches, she was booked in the last game against England in April and will be facing up against England’s wingers that love to run at players. The referee for the game is Esther Staubli who handed out 6 yellow cards, including a second yellow for a red card, in her only match refereeing in the tournament so far. In fact, in her last 6 matches as a referee in all competitions she has handed out a whopping 27 cards. If Vance is caught fouling any of the English wingers, do not be surprised to see her carded.
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Prediction: Demi Vance to be Carded
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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England Women v Northern Ireland Women Predicted Line-ups
England Women predicted XI (4-2-3-1) : Earps; Bronze, Bright, Williamson, Daly; Stanway, Walsh; Mead, Toone, Kelly; Russo
Northern Ireland Women predicted XI (4-3-3) : Burns; McKenna, Nelson, McFadden, Vance; Furness, Callaghan, McCarron; Magee, K. McGuinness, Wade
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing *
How to watch England Women v Northern Ireland Women in the UEFA Women EURO 2022?
📅 When is England Women v Northern Ireland Women? / Friday, 15th July 2022, 20:00
🏟 Where is England Women v Northern Ireland Women? / St. Mary’s Stadium (Southampton)
📺 What TV channel is England Women v Northern Ireland Women? / BBC One
🟨 …And who is the referee for England Women v Northern Ireland Women? / Esther Staubli 🇨🇭
