Each of Everton’s last five matches across all competitions has produced 2+ goals. They’ve only managed to win one of these games after a solid start to the campaign, but have remained difficult to beat at home.

Tottenham have seen 2+ goals in all four of their away games in the Premier League so far this term. Their four matches on the road have produced 12 goals (3.0 per game) with Frank’s side winning three and drawing one of these matches - the best away record of any side in the Premier League.

Both meetings between these sides last season produced 2+ goals with Everton coming away 3-2 winners at Goodison Park having lost 4-0 in North London earlier on in the campaign. I think Everton will be able to capitalise on the fatigue in the Tottenham squad following their European assignment while Tottenham can contribute to the goal tally through their strong record on the road.

Tottenham’s eight Premier League matches so far this term have produced 28 match cards, 17 for Tottenham and 11 for their opponents (3.5 per game). Tottenham were pretty strong when it came to drawing fouls last year with only Aston Villa and Newcastle winning more fouls than the Lilywhites.

Everton have seen 35 match cards, 20 for Everton and 15 for their opponents, across their eight games in the Premier League this term (4.3 per game). They’ve seen an increase in the number of fouls they win this term which is a metric largely driven by the foul winning ability of their wide players in Grealish and Ndiaye so it may be worth keeping an eye on Tottenham fullbacks and wingers for individual player cautions here.

The referee for this game is Craig Pawson who has handed out an average of 3.64 match cards per game across his 273 appointments in the Premier League across his career. This has dropped to 2.00 cards per game in the early weeks of this season but the early card records of both of these sides should facilitate an increase in this metric.

Palhinha has been a contributor in the final third for Tottenham so far this season with two goals and an assist across his eight appearances in the Premier League. Tottenham have had to rely on set pieces and more direct routes to goal as they’re without key creative players, such as Maddison and Kulusevski, due to injury.

Palhinha has had 10 shots across his eight Premier League appearances this season (1.49 per 90) with these shots producing an xG of 0.62 which he’s managed to exceed to score two goals. Only Richarlison (3) has scored more goals for Tottenham than Palhinha in the Premier League so far this term, underlining Tottenham’s lack of attacking options right now.

Palhinha had two shots in his most recent Premier League appearance against Aston Villa and can act as a threat again here, mainly from set pieces and second balls when Tottenham go direct which has become more common under Thomas Frank.

Ndiaye has committed a foul in four of his last five Premier League appearances and is pretty generously priced to commit a foul here. Everton are more easy on the eye this year but Moyes still demands a high work rate from his attacking wide players which means we will see Ndiaye support O’Brien when Everton are without the ball.

Ndiaye has committed 11 fouls overall across his eight Premier League appearances this season (1.47 per 90). He committed 24 fouls across his 29 Premier League starts last season (0.89 per 90) so his numbers stay pretty strong when stretched over a larger sample size.

His main opponent here is likely to be Djed Spence who will relish the 1v1 battle with Ndiaye as the Tottenham fullback is very effective in these situations. He’s won three fouls so far this season (0.55 per 90), though we can expect Ndiaye to also track back and face up against Tottenham’s winger on that side who is likely to be Simons or Odobert.

Everton aren’t a side regularly associated with high goal counts but saw this goal line land in their most recent home game against Crystal Palace as they ran out 2-1 winners over the Eagles.

Everton are unbeaten at home, but they take on a Tottenham side that is yet to lose on the road in the Premier League with three wins from their four away matches. Tottenham have seen 12 goals across these games (3.0 per game) with over 2.5 goals landing in three of these games, the exception being their 2-0 win over Manchester City right at the start of the campaign.

Both head to head meetings between these sides last season produced 3+ goals. There were five goals at Goodison Park as Everton ran out 3-2 winners over a naive Ange Postecoglu side. Tottenham did beat Everton 4-0 in the home fixture but I’d expect a more evenly contested affair here but one that still produces a decent goal count.

Two of Ndiaye’s three Premier League goals so far this season have come at Everton’s new home ground. He scored the first ever goal in the Premier League at the Hill Dickinson Stadium against Brighton a few months ago and is well on track to eclipse his nine goal tally in the Premier League last season, which was a record that made him Everton’s joint top scorer in the top flight.

Ndiaye was more of a threat at home than he was on the road last season with six of his nine goals coming at Goodison Park. This appears to be a trend appearing with Everton as a side as well, they’ve avoided defeat in their four games at the Hill Dickinson but have found their away assignments more difficult to navigate. Everton have only won one of their four away games so far this season so we can expect their home matches to be where they carry the most threat.

Ndiaye scored against Tottenham in the most recent head to head meeting between the sides which saw the 25 year old complete a forceful run through the middle of the park before slotting into the net. He can cause Tottenham similar problems here with the raw air lonely to be fatigued following their European assignment against Monaco during the week.

Pedro Porro has picked up one caution in the Premier League so far which he collected away from home against Manchester City. He was up against Omar Marmoush and then Jeremy Doku in that game, and his opponent here should be able to put him in a similarly compromising position.

Porro will be facing up against Jack Grealish who has won a remarkable 26 fouls across his seven appearances for the Toffees in the Premier League (4.21 per 90). This is the most of any player in the top flight and shows how effective Grealish is when it comes to winning 1v1 battles against his fullback.

Porro has picked up further cautions in the EFL Cup and the Champions League this term, taking his tally to three for the season. We can expect him to be tested constantly by Grealish and could see him caught out at times with his forward thinking nature often leaving him out of position at crucial moments.