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Bournemouth v Fulham Bet Builder Tips, 9/1 Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Bournemouth v Fulham Bet Builder Tips, 9/1 Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Monday 14 April, 20254 min read
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Andy Robson

Andy Robson is the most popular betting tipster in the UK. With a combined following in excess of 1 million people across his social media channels, Andy has built a loyal audience by consistently providing quality betting content for over nine years. He is the founder of Andy’s Bet Club, which he launched in 2019.

The Cherries are hoping to continue their strong start to the season here, which has seen them lose just one of their opening six Premier League matches.

Fulham are yet to win a game on the road this season having lost at Villa and Chelsea - the Cottagers’ only away point so far this season came on Matchday 1 against Brighton.

These recommended Best Bet Builder Bookmakers are worth a look for the weekend's Premier League action.

For more insight on the match, check out the latest Bournemouth v Fulham Betting Stats.

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Bournemouth v Fulham Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Bournemouth v Fulham
  • Premier League
  • 20:00
4 Selections @ 3.38

Alex Iwobi to have 2+ Shots

Iwobi has quietly grown into a reliable Premier League player, with the 29 year old registering 15 goal contributions in the Premier League last season - the joint most for Fulham alongside Raul Jimenez.

Iwobi has taken 2+ shots in three of his six Premier League appearances this season, with his average currently sitting at 1.37 shots per 90. I could see this rising further in the coming weeks as Fulham look to accommodate Kevin on the left wing, who has looked bright in his brief cameos. 

This should see Iwobi move into a more central role, as it’s hard to see him being dropped from the side with how effective he’s been for Fulham in recent seasons. Iwobi had two shots in this fixture last season and also had two attempts in the draw between the sides at Craven Cottage.

Bournemouth GK to make 2+ Saves

Petrovic has kept three clean sheets across his six Premier League games this season, he’s an excellent shot stopper and I think he’ll be tested on a few occasions here.

Petrovic topped many rankings for goalkeepers across Europe during his loan spell at Strasbourg last term. He averaged 3.58 saves per game and maintained a save percentage of 74.5%. Petrovic also ranked amongst the best goalkeepers in Europe for pass completion, making him the ideal modern keeper for many managers.

Fulham have drawn 2+ saves from the opposition keeper in four of their six Premier League games this season, with the exceptions coming against Brighton and Chelsea. Kepa was in goal for Bournemouth in this fixture last season and was forced into making a huge seven stops, earning him man of the match. Fulham also drew four saves from Kepa in the clash at Craven Cottage, with that game ending 2-2. 

Antoine Semenyo to have 1+ Shots on Target

Semenyo has been one of the best players in the Premier League so far this season, with the winger being a reliable option to back for shots and shots on target. Semenyo’s first action when he gets within shooting range is to take aim, this is reflective of Bournemouth as a whole. 

No side had more high turnovers leading to shots in the Premier League than Bournemouth last season, which meant they ended the season with a shot record only bettered by Liverpool, Chelsea and Man City in the Premier League.

Semenyo has scored four goals across his six Premier League appearances this season - he’s had 14 shots across these games (2.33 per 90), with six of these attempts finding the target (1.00 per 90). Most impressively, Semenyo has recorded these goals from an xG of 2.88 which tells us that he’s been very clinical.

Semenyo has a ludicrous shot volume for Bournemouth last season, he averaged 3.51 shots per 90 whilst also maintaining a 1.15 shots on target per 90 average across his 37 appearances. Semenyo provided goal contributions in both league meetings for Bournemouth against Fulham last season, having three shots on target across the two meetings.

Ryan Christie to Commit 1+ Fouls

Christie is one of the most reliable players to back for a foul in the Premier League, and he also plays for the most aggressive side in the division when it comes to pressing and committing fouls.

No side committed more fouls per game in the league than Bournemouth last term (13.8 per game), with this metric being key to understanding Bournemouth’s overall approach.

The Cherries press with intent, suffocating their opponents and getting shots away as quickly as possible after winning the ball back. If you want to see this press at its very best, I’d recommend watching their first half performance against Tottenham a few weeks ago. 

Christie has committed four fouls across his 138 minutes of Premier League football this season (2.61 per 90). This is a small sample size, but Christie also maintained an average of 1.82 fouls committed per 90 across his 29 league appearances last campaign. 

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Bournemouth v Fulham Best Longshot Bets
  • Bournemouth v Fulham
  • Premier League
  • 20:00
3 Selections @ 9.51

Over 1.5 Bournemouth Goals

Did you know that Fulham only kept five clean sheets in the Premier League last season? I was fascinated by the stat when I came across it, as I’d usually associate Fulham with stringent organisation and a solid structure under Marco Silva, but this hasn’t translated into clean sheets over the last year.

These clean sheets came against Forest, Palace, Southampton, Leicester and Tottenham - all sides that finished in the bottom half of the Premier League last season. Looking a bit deeper into their away numbers last term reveals that the Cottagers conceded 2+ goals in six of their 19 away games last season, keeping just three clean sheets on the road.

Marco Silva’s side have failed to keep a clean sheet away from home this season, conceding 2+ goals in each of their last two away assignments against Chelsea and Aston Villa. The only clean sheet that Fulham have kept so far this season came at Craven Cottage against newly-promoted Leeds.

Bournemouth can take advantage of what is a vulnerable Fulham backline here. The Cherries scored three goals across their two meetings with Fulham last season, scoring twice in the game at Craven Cottage.

Evanilson to Score Anytime

I’m a big fan of Evanilson, he offers much more to this Bournemouth side than just goals, with his energy and willingness to press with intensity from the front an essential trait that you need to be a striker in Iraola’s system.

He’s scored one Premier League goal so far this season which came in Bournemouth’s 1-0 win over Tottenham a few weeks back. He netted 10 Premier League goals across his 28 starts for Bournemouth in the top flight last term, which is a strong record for a striker playing his first season in the Premier League.

It’s also pretty notable that none of Evanilson’s Premier League goals last season came from the penalty spot, so he’s a consistent threat from open play. Of these 10 goals, one came against Fulham at Craven Cottage as the sides played out a 2-2 draw. 

Tyler Adams to be Shown a Card

Tyler Adams has already received three yellow cards this season, with two of these cautions coming in home games against Brighton and Wolves.

Adams is one of the most aggressive players in the Premier League, as highlighted by his average of 2.06 fouls committed per 90 across 28 Premier League appearances last season. This record produced seven yellow cards for Adams, a tally he’s almost halfway to reaching already this campaign. 

Adams’ role in this side to ensure that Bournemouth’s backline aren’t exposed when sides manage to beat their intense press. He charges into tackles and is in the ideal position to give away tactical fouls, which is how he’s received two of his yellow cards this season.

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📂 Bournemouth v Fulham Cheat Sheet

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📈 Bournemouth v Fulham Form & Tactics

I love watching Bournemouth, especially when they’re playing at home. Sometimes you watch Premier League games that are lacking in intensity, but that is rarely the case with Bournemouth. Their pressing structure results in pretty entertaining matches, as opposition sides aren’t allowed time to settle and are rushed into making mistakes.

Bournemouth have the lowest PPDA of any side in the Premier League this season (9.4) which highlights the effectiveness of Iraola’s press. Bournemouth aren’t just running around the pitch aimlessly, their press is targeted and initiated through certain actions. 

For example, I’d expect the Cherries to press through the wide areas here, knowing that Fulham can be very compact in the middle of the pitch. This information can help to inform betting angles, like targeting the Bournemouth wide players for fouls. 

You know what to expect when Fulham take to the pitch, they’re usually competitive in most games and should finish around midtable. Fulham are steady without being remarkable, probably lacking that star player which can take them to the next level, but they are effective as a team. 

The main concern for Marco Silva will be the lack of clean sheets his side have managed to keep on the road over the last year. Fulham don’t concede mountains of goals or chances, but keeping clean sheets is a real issue - they only kept three on the road last campaign and have failed to keep one across their three away games this term.


📔 Bournemouth v Fulham Formation & Team News

Bournemouth usually line up in a 4-2-3-1, but Iraola has played around with this at times this season to see the Cherries occasionally line up in a 4-1-4-1. Bournemouth’s system is so effective that Iraola can plug a variety of players into a position with set instructions to keep the Cherries competitive. Just look at their backline, it already looks solid despite losing Kerkez, Zabarnyi and Huijsen over the summer. 

When it comes to absences for this game, Bournemouth are expected to be without Lewis Cook and Adam Smith, whilst Enes Unal is a long term absentee. Bournemouth have welcome back a few players from injury oved recent weeks, the most notable being Justin Kluivert.

Marco Silva’s side usually set up in a 4-2-3-1, but this often becomes a 4-4-2 when Fulham don’t have the ball. Fulham are incredibly well drilled and are probably one of the few sides that can live with the Bournemouth press, as there isn’t an insistence to build from the back. Berge and Lukic will be crucial here, the duo can deal with the aggression and physical approach of this Bournemouth side.

Fulham could be without both their main striking options with Jimenez and Muniz both doubts for this game. Kenny Tete is also expected to miss this game, which leaves Silva with a bit of a headache.


📊 Bournemouth v Fulham Key Stats

  • Bournemouth have lost just one of their six Premier League matches this season (v Liverpool) 

  • Fulham have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their away games this term, they only kept three across their 19 away games last season

  • Bournemouth avoided defeat in both head-to-head meetings with Fulham last season, winning the home encounter 1-0

  • Bournemouth have the lowest PPDA (9.4) of any side in the Premier League


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* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


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