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⚡ Back our Euro 2024 Group A Outright on Paddy Power @ 5.0
🇩🇪 Germany to win Group A
🇨🇭 Switzerland to finish second in Group A
🏴 Scotland to finish bottom of Group A
The hosts Germany find themselves in a competitive group for the first major international tournament on home soil since 2006 and they have been drawn against Scotland, Hungary and Switzerland.
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The tournament’s opening game will pit the hosts against the Scots, with Julian Nagelsmann’s quickly improving side expected to progress through this pool without too many issues. Indeed, they are now priced as third favourites to go all the way and win their first European Championship since 1996 and fourth overall.
Will it pan out this way and can Scotland finally end their long-standing jinx of never having progressed through the group stage of a major tournament?
📊 Group A odds
🇩🇪 Germany
📈
Group Winner Odds: 1.30
Germany are naturally red-hot favourites to win Group A, with the host nation priced at 1.30 with Paddy Power to get the job done.
Otherwise, this is seen as a very competitive group. Switzerland are marginal second favourites at 5.50, with Hungary and Scotland on offer at 10.0 and 11.0 respectively.
Look for the Germans to make a statement. They will likely start without a natural centre-forward, with Kai Havertz leading the line. The Arsenal striker is in great form domestically and is the type of player who could score two or three in the group stage.
Havertz is unlikely to be lacking in ammunition and is a likely top scorer in this group. With Ilkay Gundogan, Jamal Musiala, and Florian Wirtz behind him, there is an abundance of attacking talent in the attacking third for the hosts.
How they performed in qualifying
Host nation.
🏴 Scotland
📈
Group Winner Odds: 11.0
The top scorer in qualifying involved in this group is Scotland’s Scott McTominay, who netted seven times in eight matches. In strong goalscoring form for Manchester United this season, too, the midfielder poses a threat via late runs into the box or from set pieces. He is Scotland’s likeliest goal-getter in this competition.
Elsewhere in Steve Clarke’s squad, John McGinn has long been a talisman. The Aston Villa engine roomer has just one goal in his last seven internationals but contributes to the cause in every facet of the game regardless.
For assists, Andy Robertson will be the player that Scotland turn to as well as McGinn. The Liverpool left back will provide much of the width in the attack, especially if Brentford’s Aaron Hickey misses out due to injury.
Meanwhile, with at least two yellow cards in each of their recent matches against England, Spain, France, and the Netherlands, three of which were friendlies, the Scots are likely to see numerous cards at the Euros.
How they performed in qualifying
🇨🇭 Switzerland
📈
Group Winner Odds: 5.50
Zeki Amdouni was Switzerland’s main goalscorer in qualifying with six goals of their 21 goals, yet the Burnley man’s pitch time might be limited here as Monaco’s Breel Embolo is back after a serious injury. The 27-year-old had been the Swiss’ frontline striker since 2016 but has endured complications from a serious knee injury of late, meaning he has not played for his nation since the World Cup.
The timeless Xherdan Shaqiri, now playing in MLS for the Chicago Fire, still pulls the strings. The 32-year-old finished qualifying with two goals and three assists in seven appearances. He also scored the winner in March’s 1-0 friendly win over Republic of Ireland.
In the cards markets, Granit Xhaka and Manuel Akanji, of Bayer Leverkusen and Manchester City, picked up three bookings each in qualifying and will be the players to watch. Both are likely to play every minute they can.
How they performed in qualifying
🇭🇺 Hungary
📈
Group Winner Odds: 10.0
Hungary, meanwhile, don’t have a prolific goalscorer in their ranks. Dominik Szoboszlai and Barnabas Varga both finished qualifying with four goals. The former has had a tricky spell lately, availability-wise, with Liverpool but remains the player they will look towards for both goals and assists.
Remarkably, Szoboszlai won 25 fouls in eight qualifying matches, accounting for more than a quarter of the fouls his team suffered. He was also booked three times, despite committing only six indiscretions of his own. The all-action midfielder will be one to watch across all markets.
Varga, meanwhile, netted twice against Serbia in qualifying, suggesting the 29-year-old with only nine caps is finally ready to make a big impression on the international stage. He was deadly when given a chance. His goals arrived from only 11 shots and just 374 minutes of playing time. Varga is a dark horse to monitor in the goalscoring markets.
How they performed in qualifying
👑 Who will win Group A?
Germany should be considered strong favourites to win this group and get their Euro 2024 off to a strong start.
While there may be some tactical results further down the draw, in pursuit of a more favourable run in the knockout stages, that will not be the case here as this is the first group that will be completed.
After a wretched run during 2023, the departure of Hansi Flick that September and the subsequent appointment of the highly rated Nagelsmann has brought an upturn in performance levels.
Recent friendly victories over France, in Lyon, and the Netherlands, in Frankfurt, hint that Die Mannschaft are likely to be nearing top form for their big summer show. However, it is worth pointing out that Nagelsmann treated both of those fixtures as if they were competitive games, choosing his strongest team when others were tinkering.
Germany will be wary, though. They have failed to beat Switzerland in their last three meetings, albeit the latest of those was in 2020, while they were also beaten at home by Hungary in the Nations League of 2022.
Die Mannschaft appear to have entered a new era and look fair value at their price of 1.30, particularly given they have home advantage.
If there is to be an upset, Switzerland at 5.50 look best-placed to cause it. Murat Yakin’s side are only three spots behind the hosts in the FIFA Rankings and are solid enough defensively to give them an opportunity if the group boils down to a final one-off match.
Back Germany to win Group A at odds of 1.30 ⬇️
⬆️ Who will qualify from Group A?
With Germany likely to win the group, they are unsurprisingly best priced at 1.01 to progress to the last 16.
The embarrassing exits they suffered at the past couple of World Cups are unlikely to be repeated given that just one victory from the three matches is likely to be enough to guide them through.
Switzerland are priced at 1.33 to safely negotiate this stage. Yakin’s side have lost only one of their last 12 matches but could struggle for goals. They have scored only three times in their last five internationals and lack an obvious threat in the final third. Playing top seeds Germany last represents something of an advantage; the pool favourites may only need to draw to seal top spot at that point.
At 1.80, Hungary are also fancied to progress. They have gone 14 games undefeated but have not played world class opponents in that time. Serbia, ranked 33 in the FIFA Rankings, are the only top 35 country they have faced in these fixtures.
By contrast, Scotland have gone winless in seven, playing three of the world’s top seven in that time. Nevertheless, the confidence appears to have been drained from Clarke’s men, and with injuries already mounting, the Scots are outsiders to qualify at a price of 2.0 with Paddy Power.
Fighting this recent slump, the demons of the past, and national expectations, Scotland will do well to progress.
Back Switzerland to qualify from Group A at odds of 1.33 ⬇️
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* All odds displayed correctly at the time of publishing *
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