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Gem Bet: National League South Final Day [Hemel Hempstead v Torquay]

Gem Bet: National League South Final Day [Hemel Hempstead v Torquay]

Friday 25 April, 20251 min read
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ABC Editorial Team

The ABC Editorial Team have a combined Sports Journalism experience of 20+ years. They love to crunch the numbers for all betting predictions, meticulously finding value in each selection. Football experts in their own right, they each bring specialists sports and leagues to the table. Whether it be football, horse racing, boxing, darts, or NFL, our team is equipped to bring you the most insightful and valuable betting tips around.

In this article...

💎 Torquay (-1.0) Goal Handicap @ 2.20

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Torquay (-1.0) Goal Handicap (@ Hemel Hempstead)

📅 Kick Off: Saturday 26th April at 15:00
📈 Odds: 2.20

1st-placed Truro host relegation-battling St Albans while Torquay travel to nothing-to-play-for Hemel Hempstead.

Both are on the same points, and the title/only auto promotion spot will be decided on goal difference.

So if both win, it’s on Torquay to make up the ground (currently worse off on goal difference by two) - they’ve already sold out their allocation of 1,900, which means they’ll fill over half the stadium.

If both sides win, Torquay will need to better Truro’s scoreline by a three-goal margin to guarantee promotion, which has flagged up an opportunity for us to get them onside via the -1 handicap, which is currently priced at 2.20 on Sky Bet - meaning the bet lands if Torquay win by two or more.

There are also some larger priced options, with other bookmakers, if you fancy Torquay to thrash Hemel in chasing down promotion:

Torquay -2 @ 4.20 (win by three or more)
Torquay -3 @ 9.0 (win by four or more)
Torquay -4 @ 15.0 (win by five or more)
Torquay -5 @ 18.0 (win by six or more)

This has the feel of the Bristol Rovers 7-0 Scunthorpe scenario from 2021/22 League Two’s final day, and the bookies are slightly underestimating how it could pan out. The Gas won 7-0, despite only being 2-0 up at half time, when Northampton won 3-1 at Barrow, levelling their goal difference tallies and sneaking into the third automatic promotion spot on goals scored.

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