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Ipswich v Huddersfield
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Kick Off: Saturday 4th May at 12:30
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Competition: Championship
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Main Event
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Ipswich Town are on the verge. They can see the bright lights just over the hill and they know that there is just one more hurdle to overcome before they can return to the big time.
That hurdle comes in the form of a home match against Huddersfield Town. The Terriers are practically already in League One. Their home draw against Birmingham last week means that they are three points from safety, with a 15-goal inferior goal difference to Plymouth in 21st. Only a big win at Ipswich, coupled with a big defeat for Plymouth at home to Hull can save them.
For context, Ipswich have lost only once at home in the Championship all season, a 4-3 defeat to Leeds 21 home matches ago. The Tractor Boys’ away win at Coventry in midweek has made their job on the final day easy to understand, a draw or a win in this match and they are Premier League once more.
Ipswich v Huddersfield Best Bets
➡️ Ipswich to win & over 2.5 goals @ 1.62 on Betfair
➡️ Omari Hutchinson to have 2+ shots on target @ 2.80 on Betfair
📂 Ipswich v Huddersfield Cheat Sheet
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You can find Ipswich v Huddersfield match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off. If you’re looking for a new bookmaker check out the best bet builder bookmakers.
⚔️ Ipswich v Huddersfield Head-to-Head
These teams originally met back in September, so there isn’t necessarily that much to learn from the fixture.
Indeed, this was Darren Moore’s second match in charge and he was already Huddersfield’s second manager of the season having replaced Neil Warnock. Huddersfield dispensed with Moore, had Jonathan Worthington for a caretaker spell, and now approach this match with Andre Breitenreiter in the dugout.
There has been no such disruption to Kieran McKenna and Ipswich’s season. McKenna is going places as a coach, and this September meeting was a demonstration of something that his team have become renowned for.
It had looked as though Delano Burgzorg’s first half goal for Huddersfield might’ve been enough to give Moore his first win, but Ipswich did what we now know Ipswich can do. The pressure was applied, 15 second half shots, and, eventually, in the 88th minute, Brandon Williams scored the equaliser.
Ipswich got five of their six corners in the second half, they had 67% possession in the second half as well, compared to 56% in the first 45 minutes.
📊 Ipswich Form and Stats
The midweek win at Coventry was Ipswich’s first in five matches.
The performances had remained of a good standard, winning the xG battle regularly, but they had been perhaps unable to reproduce some of the killer moments that they had done so often for most of the season.
Ipswich have been undefeated at Portman Road for 20 Championship matches in a row. This run stretches back to a September defeat to Leeds United. They have 51 points from 22 home matches, a rate of 2.32 points per match.
Their last two home matches have been draws, but they had won five in a row previous to that. They are running at a +1.0 xG differential, meaning that, on average, over the last ten home matches, they have created a 1 xG worth of chances more than their visitors.
📊 Huddersfield Form and Stats
All season it feels as though Huddersfield have been nowhere near a disaster, more like just short of being good enough for the Championship.
They are on a point per game, and there have probably been just too many draws and not enough wins throughout the campaign.
Their recent away form is a case in point. They are level for xG difference over the last ten Championship away games, which is decent for a team in 23rd. However, they have won only one of those 10. The five draws are decent results in their own right, but when put together they just haven’t gathered enough points from their performances.
💰 Ipswich v Huddersfield Best Bets
Ipswich have to be fancied for the win here. A sold-out Portman Road will be there to push them over the line, and even though they only require the point to achieve their goal, Kieran McKenna has already said, as all head coaches do, that they cannot play for a draw
The Tractor Boys are unlikely to settle for a draw anyway, they will want this to be safe and secure as early as possible. Once they are ahead, they are unlikely to stop there.
Huddersfield have no motivation, other than pride, to stay in the game, and the stats for Championship final days since 2013 demonstrate that when an already-relegated side plays away from home they tend to lose, this has happened on eight of the nine occasions it has happened. The recent press conference of Andre Breitenreiter has also confirmed that there will be rotation and half an eye on next season with his team selection.
The best bet here is to back Ipswich to win and over 2.5 goals, available at 1.62 on Betfair. This has shortened in the last day or so but still represents a solid bet at that price.
Another bet that is encouraged is for Omari Hutchinson to have two or more shots on target, available at 2.80 on Betfair. The 20-year-old is currently in flying form, and McKenna has recognised this by giving him an important role in the team and allowing him to play the vast majority of minutes. Hutchinson hit two shots on target in the match against Coventry, and four against Hull.
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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