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Ipswich v West Brom Bet Builder Tips & Match Preview

Ipswich v West Brom Bet Builder Tips & Match Preview

EFL
Starts Tomorrow, 12:30
Thursday 23 October, 20254 min read
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The constant expectation that Ipswich are going to turn things around and end up in a promotion spot may have to stop. The Tractor Boys are stuck in the mud at the moment, and Kieran McKenna can’t seem to get the big wheels turning.

West Brom are very much in the mould of the Championship as a whole at the moment; inconsistent results are preventing them from solidifying themselves as serious promotion contenders.

These Ipswich v West Brom Betting Stats also offer further insight ahead of Saturday's clash.

These recommended Best Bet Builder Bookmakers are worth a look for the weekend's action.

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Ipswich v West Brom Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Ipswich v West Brom
  • Championship
  • 12:30
4 Selections @ 5.07

Over 2.5 Goals

I have to say that I do feel a bit for Kieran McKenna at the moment. His side are registering some pretty crazy numbers in terms of shots and chances. They had 31 shots against Charlton on Tuesday, generating 2.93 xG, which was the fifth occasion this season that they alone generated over 2 xG, and the second match in a row despite defeat coming in both matches.

The fact that Ipswich did lose those matches really puts me off tipping them up for the match win here. When a team is constantly generating big chances and xG numbers but finding a way to lose, their price doesn’t massively change for the next match because of the reliance of bookmakers on those performance metrics now, and yet we can still see that there is an issue on the pitch. But goals in Ipswich and West Brom matches seem to be a more reliable trend now.

Ipswich have had over 2.5 goals land in each of their last three Championship games, and in six of their last seven. If they aren’t scoring the goals, then they do tend to concede them.

West Brom also have a decent over 2.5 goal record of late as well. Their last three matches have seen three goals in each.

Over 8.5 Corners

It feels likely that Ipswich will not change their approach, despite their adverse results. Kieran McKenna has always been an advocate of front-foot, dominant football, and that style tends to create corner opportunities.

It certainly did on Tuesday night with a ridiculous 16 corners being won by Ipswich alone. Whilst this resulted in six shots from centre back Jacob Greaves in the match, it didn’t result in any goals, but I suspect that they will continue to try anyway.

Overall, Ipswich are averaging 6.82 corners per match, and they are trending upwards as their last three matches have seen 8, 9, and then 16 corners won. Overall, their matches have averaged 11 corners altogether.

West Brom are fairly big corner winners themselves. They are averaging exactly five corners per match, with their matches averaging 8.58 corners per match.

Isaac Price to be Fouled 1+ Times

It is a surprise to me to see Price at such a big price. The Northern Irish star is clearly the man who makes West Brom tick; he is their chief goal threat, and he links the play well whilst also putting in a good physical shift.

His position just off Aune Heggebo makes him dangerous, but, happily for us, puts him in the area of the Ipswich central midfield pairing. We don’t know exactly who the personnel will be in that pairing, but traditionally, whoever it is, their primary job is to hound and protect the back four. Jens Cajuste and Marcelino Nunez were the pairing in midweek, but I suspect that Azor Matusiwa will return here. Cajuste and Nunez committed one foul each on Tuesday, but Matusiwa is also a regular fouler.

Price himself is a bit of a consistent foul magnet. Whilst he doesn’t look as though he is targeted by opposition, he has been fouled on a regular basis. His average is 1.15 fouls against him per 90, but he has been fouled at least once in ten of his twelve starts this season.

Aune Heggebo to Commit 1+ Fouls

The big, bustling Norwegian was given a rest last weekend, but that only seemed to enrage him in some way as he came back in midweek to commit four fouls and get a yellow card.

Whilst Ryan Mason may wish that Heggebo would perhaps direct that fury at the ball to fire it into goal, the physical side of the game is something that Heggebo brings with him and is ultimately helpful for his side. I wouldn’t expect him to be curbing that any time soon.

Therefore, I am happy to back him to commit at least one foul here. He will have to work really hard to retain the ball against tough centre-backs in Jacob Greaves and Dara O’Shea, and West Brom will likely be under pressure during this game, so there is more reliance on Heggebo to do his job well.

Heggebo is now running at an average of 1.3 fouls per 90. Following his four fouls against Watford, he has fouled at least once in all bar one of his ten starts this season as well.

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📈 Ipswich v West Brom Form & Tactics

Ipswich find themselves in 14th place in the Championship with a won three, drawn four, and lost three record. When, two games ago, they had only lost once, it seemed almost inevitable that they would continue to climb the table, and yet two defeats later, there is confusion in the ranks. 

Looking at the data, there doesn’t seem to be much to be concerned about, but of course, losing games of football when you are expected to be the title winners is still an issue. Having watched the Charlton game, the area of biggest concern is probably the fact that once Charlton had scored, the Ipswich team seemed to lose their control and confidence.

I doubt that McKenna will change much. If Ipswich were able to get the first goal against Charlton, as they should have, then things would have been really different. Ipswich are top of the tree in the Championship for big chances missed, which is obviously an issue in some way, but they are also creating a lot. They are also top three in the league for xG against, so there aren’t huge gaping structural issues; it is more mental and technical issues, perhaps.

West Brom haven’t really seen a consistent run of form for good or bad in their season so far. This should at least give Ryan Mason some encouragement that if they can raise their floor in some way that it should turn more in their favour. Away matches have been very hit and miss for the Baggies, with three wins and three losses. They will want to create more away from home, as they have only gone over 1 xG in their first away match.

Indeed, it is attacking data that will be concerning West Brom in general. They rank in the bottom third for all attacking metrics, and it is clear that they need to get more from players not called Isaac Price. This could also be a style of play issue; they currently rank top of the league for average number of accurate passes made at 415 per match, but this doesn’t seem to be generating much in the way of clear-cut chances.


📔 Ipswich v West Brom Formation & Team News

Ipswich are always a 4-2-3-1 team, and, as I mentioned above, I doubt that McKenna and his team will see much reason to change this. The balance of the team will also likely remain the same. Leif Davis is hardly ever rotated, and they rely on him to provide the width on the left, whereas there is more rotation on the right, which tends to be more specifically set up for each match. The depth of the talent in forward areas also allows McKenna to rotate, and Ivan Azon is really pushing George Hirst to be the #9 at the tip of the forwards at the moment.

Ryan Mason also prefers to use a 4-2-3-1 where possible. There seems to be a lot of consistency in the way that Mason wants to set up both stylistically and with personnel. Alex Mowatt is a fixture in central midfield, and Callum Styles tries to help out centrally from his left-back slot, which means that Mikey Johnston has spatial freedom to work on the left.

There could be some changes from the midweek match for West Brom. There is a battle on for the #9 spot. Heggebo is likely to retain it, but needs goals to hold off Josh Maja.


Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

There are plenty more Football Betting Tips, including EFL Predictions, for this week's action on Andy's Bet Club.

We've got you covered for the weekend's action across the EFL, including EFL Accumulator Tips, Coventry v Watford Betting Tips, and Portsmouth v Stoke Betting Tips.

If you prefer player prop-based bets, you can check our Both Teams to Score Betting Tips, Over 2.5 Goals Predictions, Player Shots Tips, and Player Fouls Predictions.

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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


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