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Israel v Italy Bet Builder Quick Tips & Preview

Israel v Italy Bet Builder Quick Tips & Preview

Monday 8 September, 20252 min read
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Ramis Ibrahim

Avid football writer and Premier League specialist. Meticulous eye for player prop bets across English, European and International football honed over four years in football analysis.

In this article...

Italy look to gain control of Group I when they travel to face Israel in this World Cup Qualifier.

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Israel v Italy Quick Preview Tips
  • Israel v Italy
  • World Cup Qualifiers
  • 19:45
2 Selections @ 2.44

Mateo Retegui to Score Anytime

Retegui scored twice in Italy’s 5-0 win over Estonia last time out, also picking up an assist in the game. He’s made the move over to the Saudi Pro League having scored 25 Serie A goals across his 36 appearances for Atalanta last season.

Retegui should see this as an opportunity to improve his goal tally for his country. His brace last time out took him to eight goals across his 31 caps for Italy, but Retegui is a player that can have a better goal rate on the international stage - especially in these qualifiers as he displayed last time out against Estonia.

Retegui scored twice on his Saudi Pro League debut so he entered the international break with plenty of momentum.

Over 2.5 Goals

Both of these sides recorded heavy victories in their most recent World Cup qualifying matches. Israel ran out 4-0 winners over Moldova whilst Italy managed to slightly better that scoreline with a 5-0 thrashing of Estonia.

These sides met on two occasions in the group stages of the Nations League last year with Italy running out 2-1 and 4-1 winners across the two matches. Italy registered a combined xG of 4.29 across these games which would suggest that Gattuso’s side could end up covering this line on their own.

Israel have scored 11 goals across their four group games so far (2.75 per game), winning three of these matches. This will be one of their tougher assignments in the group and I don’t think they can rely on their defensive ability here with Italy having plenty of firepower in Kean and Retegui to test their backline. 

This should result in quite an open game where Italy and Israel trade blows regularly in an end to end encounter, just as it was when these sides met in the latter stages of 2024.

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  • Italy won their first game under new coach, Gattuso, against Estonia by a 5-0 scoreline.

  • Israel have won three of their four qualifying matches so far, but have only kept one clean sheet across these games.

  • Italy beat Israel in both head-to-head meetings between the sides last year.


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🔵 Israel Look to Challenge Norway And Italy

Israel have made a pretty strong start to Group I so far having won three of their four matches, though those wins came against Moldova and Estonia. They were beaten 4-2 by Norway in that only defeat they’ve suffered in qualifying so far, and they should struggle in a similar manner here against an Italy side that is looking for a new lease of life under Gattuso.

Israel will struggle to keep Italy out here, they’ve only kept one clean sheet across their four qualifying matches. They conceded four goals against Norway which shows that whilst Israel may have the beating of sides like Moldova and Estonia without too much trouble, the two higher ranked sides in the group have too much quality for them.

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🟢 New Direction For Italy

Italy ran out 5-0 winners over Estonia in their first match under the tutelage of Gattuso, following a few disastrous years for Italian football with Spalleti at the helm. 

That was a game that Italy should always be expected to win and the real challenge that Gattuso now faces is making sure that Italy get out of the group with their opponents here making a strong start up until this point.

Italy played with a 4-4-2 against Estonia, it was probably the first time i’d seen the Italian national team play without a back three or five, but it really suited them against inferior opposition. Gattuso should return to that shape here to see how it stands up to slightly more intense scrutiny.


📊 Israel v Italy H2H

These sides met twice in 2024 with Italy coming away 2-1 and 4-1 winners across the two matches.

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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


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