Gem Bet: Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals
Sam Farley
Sports journalist and NFL expert. Over a decade of experience in the industry, working for media outlets on both sides of the pond. Analysing games, with a real focus on player prop bets, and is well-known online for his Anytime Touchdown selections.
💎 Gem Bet: Joe Burrow O275.5 Passing Yards @ 1.83 (Paddy Power)
- Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals
- NFL
- 18:00
A £10 bet on this Gem Bet returns £18.30 if it wins.
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We’re now into the second week of the NFL season, and I think there’s great value on this week’s Gem bet, purely because of what happened in Week One.
Early in a new NFL season, the question is always how much we go on recent events and how much we base on what we’ve seen over a longer, extended period, and this bet is one of those cases. Last Sunday, the Jaguars held Panthers’ quarterback Bryce Young to just 154 passing yards, while the Browns throttled the Bengals’ offence and kept Joe Burrow to just 113 passing yards. Please do not read too much into these two events.
The Jaguars did well to shut down the Panthers and Young, but this Carolina team are not a good one. Their offensive line is far from elite, and Young, despite ending last season better, has struggled since coming into the NFL and is a long way from being a top tier starter. No team in the NFL gave up more passing yards per game than the Jaguars last season, and their defence this year isn’t vastly different.
On the flip side of that, the Browns have a solid defence, and Joe Burrow did struggle against them. However, we need to judge Burrow on more than just one bad performance to start the season. Last season, Burrow averaged 289.2 passing yards per game and should cover Sunday’s total with ease, with the whole offence likely to show improvement.
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