Celta Vigo v Real Betis
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Sunday 2nd October – 3:15PM KO
Goals can be expected on Sunday afternoon as Real Betis travel to face Celta Vigo in the second game of the day. No team has seen their fixtures involve more goals than Celta Vigo this season, with an average of 3.5 total goals per game, compared to a league average of 2.65 goals per game. All three of their games at Balaídos have ended with over 2.5 goals, with an even higher average of 4 goals per game.
Real Betis come to town having also recorded over 2.5 goals in both of their away games to date this season. Their attack will be on a high too, given that they boast LaLiga’s second highest scorer in Borja Iglesias, who has six goals to date and earned a Spain debut in the international break, and will also recover Nabil Fekir as he returns from injury.
Celta Vigo could also be concerned about their own defence as midfield lynchpin Renato Tapia only returned from international duty with Peru on Thursday. Carles Pérez could also come into the team to relieve some of the goal burden on the shoulders of 35-year-old Iago Aspas, who has scored five goals in six appearances this season.
Visiting coach Manuel Pellegrini will be expecting his team to walk away the winners given their form and league position, but Celta’s ability to create the spectacular could mean that it will not be an easy game. With Aspas in attack, Betis’ record of having the best performance compared to expected goals against (with four goals conceded from an xGA of 9.67), could come to the test.
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Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals, 2.0 on Betfair (⭐⭐⭐⭐)
Rayo Vallecano v Elche
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Monday 3rd October – 8:00PM KO
Inconsistent would be the word to describe Rayo Vallecano’s start to the 2022/23 season. Two wins, one draw and three defeats have produced mixed results for Andoni Iraola’s team, who have gone from the glamorous to the disappointing, but they will come into this tie with high confidence. Having scored two at San Mamés to push Athletic Club to the wire, they’ll be looking to turn that threat into points against weaker opposition in rock-bottom Elche on Monday.
Iraola’s team recorded their first home win of the 2022 calendar year up against Valencia in their last outing at Estadio de Vallecas, with a comfortable win over Gennaro Gattuso’s men. Isi Palazón is in fine form, with two goals already, and as the team’s freekick taker represents great value at 7.00 to be first goalscorer in this game.
But, a prediction of Rayo Vallecano to win goes beyond just their strengths. It points to Elche’s weaknesses. The visitors have picked up one point from a possible 18 this season to date, that draw coming in August at home to newly-promoted Almería who played for over an hour with 10 men. They have now conceded 11 goals and scored just one in their last three games, and coach Francisco is under immense pressure.
That weakness in front of goal will buoy a Rayo team who have scored five goals in their last three games and are regaining a fit again Radamel Falcao. While he’s unlikely to start, having the threat of the Colombian’s finishing on the bench will boost Rayo, who have won the last two meetings between the teams at Vallecas, having failed to win at home against Elche over an eight-year period between 2013 and 2021.
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Prediction: Rayo Vallecano to Win, 1.74 on Betfair (⭐⭐⭐⭐)
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