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Our EFL experts have been on fire lately, and came oh so close to adding to their winners tally in midweek, with only Tranmere v Leicester U21 in the EFL Trophy letting down their four-fold 7/2 Goals Acca. Despite just missing out there, our experts have managed three winning accumulators over the last month, including a 12/1 and an enormous 40/1 winner!
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Now we turn our attention to this weekend’s 8/1 accumulator, it’s made up of five bets ahead of Saturday’s 3pm kick-offs, one from League One and four from League Two.
If any of you fancy getting involved in some potential bet builder action this weekend, you can access our brand new Bet Builder tool to give a full breakdown of all attacking and defensive stats. Powered by Opta data, it gives you access to all the important stats needed to create smart bet builders. It’s available for all Premier League, English Championship, Spanish La Liga, German Bundesliga, Italian Serie A, and French Ligue 1 matches this weekend.
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Saturday’s 8/1 League One & Two Accumulator Tips
Lincoln v Burton
Lincoln City have dropped off a touch since the last international break with Ben House and Tyler Walker’s absences from their attack not helping. However, the Imps have a great chance to address their run of just one win in their last five when Burton Albion arrive at Sincil Bank on Saturday.
Mark Kennedy’s side have a great record at home early on in the season, 3-1-0, and they have only conceded once in those four matches. Dino Maamria’s Brewers have been on a good run to drag themselves five points clear of the relegation zone, with three wins and two draws in their last five including a victory over Cambridge United on Sky on Monday night.
Burton have won just one from six on the road this term and have posted just 0.76 xGF per game on average on their travels. That sequence of six league away games includes four matches where they have produced 0.51 xGF or lower, and they could only accumulate 0.15 from three shots in a goalless draw at Reading in their last trip.
That lacklustre attacking display was two shots from outside the box and one from inside the area that came from a set piece. Kwadwo Baah is one to watch on the flank, on loan from Watford, but can not yet be relied upon for consistent performances.
Lincoln average 1.34 xGF per game at home so far and should be able to defend their home patch convincingly in this encounter.
AFC Wimbledon v Bradford
Bradford City got off to the perfect start post-Mark Hughes last weekend with a 1-0 victory over Swindon Town, caretaker boss Kevin McDonald removing himself from the starting XI and enjoying the victory from the sidelines.
They are overwhelming underdogs for their trip to AFC Wimbledon and it’s understandable given the hosts form. However, Bradford are a capable outfit going forward. They have scored in nine of their 12 league matches and in each of their last six. They have created a minimum of 1.77xG in three of their last four matches.
They have also created 1xG or more in four of their six away matches and had five or more shots on target in those matches, only falling short against a Mansfield Town side proving one of the best in the division.
Mansfield Town are fighting for the title of best underlying numbers with AFC Wimbledon, who currently sit in fourth spot after a remarkable start to the season. However, they aren’t fallible.
Wimbledon have kept five clean sheets this season. They came against lowly Harrogate Town, Colchester United and Sutton United, a Grimsby Town side that averaged 0.74xG in their first eight matches and Mansfield Town, who created 1.5xG.
Bradford are a side many expect to finish in the top half and other matches against fancied opposition include Wrexham and Stockport County, against whom Wimbledon conceded. Across five home matches, Wimbledon have averaged 1.1xG against.
Crewe v Tranmere
This should be a fantastic match between two North West outfits.
Crewe have been the side to watch in League Two. Ten of their 12 matches have finished with three or more goals having been scored with the Alex scoring two or more in 11 of their 12 games and conceding a goal in 11, two or more on seven occasions. The only two games that have seen them fall short of the three goal mark were against Bradford City and Gillingham, two sides that have certainly proven dour at times.
Crewe have averaged and conceded just shy of 1.5xG per 90 this season, so this is no fluke – they are creating and conceding a lot of chances in every game and Lee Bell’s tactical manoeuvres lend themselves to open matches.
They take on a Tranmere Rovers side finding their feet under Nigel Adkins to play the kind of forward-thinking style many expected to follow after Ian Dawes was appointed in the summer.
Tranmere have seen three or more goals scored in four of their five matches, scoring two or more in four matches and conceding two or more in three. That has been an improvement on already decent numbers in this respect, three or more goals being scored in eight of 12 matches across the season with Tranmere scoring in nine and conceding in ten.
Forest Green v Colchester
Forest Green Rovers come into this game having lost each of their last six.
It’s been a hugely frustrating period with the Stroud-based outfit incapable of defending their goal. They have conceded two or more goals in each of their last six, and nine of 12 league matches, while conceding 1.4xG in seven of their last ten. Their only clean sheets this season have come against lowly Harrogate Town and Sutton United.
The frustration comes because they are actually okay going forward. They have scored in nine of their 12 league matches and in eight of their last nine. They have managed 1xG or more in seven of nine matches and have taken 13 shots in six of their last eight – they are creating opportunities.
A match against Colchester United has the potential to continue both of those traits – not to mention the zero-point home record.
Ben Garner’s side have seen both sides score in each of their last five matches with the last three games seeing both sides having a minimum of 14 shots at goal. In fact, both sides have taken at least ten shots in every game bar one – when Colchester managed nine against AFC Wimbledon. Colchester games are fast, furious and with gaps everywhere.
Colchester have created 1.5xG in their last four matches and in seven of their last nine, evidence of the consistent attacking threat. However, they have also conceded 1.5xG in three of their last four – perhaps Troy Deeney, Matty Stevens, Callum Morton, Matty Taylor or Tyrese Omotoye can finally take their chances in this one.
Harrogate v Stockport
A simple case of backing one of the best sides in the division to beat one of the worst.
Stockport County enter this game in great form. They are up to second in the league after winning each of their last six, a change in formation reaping huge benefit for Dave Challinor’s side.
They have conceded one or zero goals in each of those six matches and in nine of 12 across the campaign while scoring two or more in seven of their last eight. The 1-0 win against Doncaster Rovers last time out looked tight but it always felt like a matter of time before the hosts won the game.
Isaac Olaofe and Louis Barry in absolutely terrific form while Paddy Madden scored a hat-trick in his first start for a while during their EFL Trophy outing in midweek.
They play a Harrogate Town side that have won three of their last four but in bizarre circumstances. They beat a Salford City side that had only ten fit senior pros available, a couple of whom were playing through injuries. Then beat MK Dons despite having just three shots to 27 and only scoring because of a bizarre error.
Harrogate have managed eight or fewer shots in five of their last six matches and have lost against Barrow, Gillingham and AFC Wimbledon recently.
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