In this article…
Leicester v Ipswich
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Kick Off: Monday 22nd January at 20:00
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Competition: Championship
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Football
The Championship continues with Leicester v Ipswich on Monday evening, but that’s far from everything available here on ABC. Our football coverage this upcoming week will include EFL betting predictions and EFL accumulator tips. We also have plenty of non-EFL content, with a huge range of football tips and expert betting predictions to help you craft yourself a winner this weekend.
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This match could spell the end of the story as far as the Championship title is concerned. Leicester have a nice gap at the top of the league but this could be extended to a massive ten points with a victory in this match at the King Power Stadium.
A red card to Abdul Fatawu was a turning point in their last match and though replacing the forward isn’t necessarily a huge dent for the next three matches, the Foxes could do without any such rush of blood moments if they are to continue their serene progress back to the Premier League at the first time of asking.
Ipswich have been through something of a sticky patch, but a couple of big results, especially the turnaround home victory against Sunderland, have helped them retain their position in the automatic promotion places. If they can retain that position after this match then their run-in looks much less difficult having already played both Leeds and Leicester twice.
The first meeting between these two was a fairly evenly balanced 1-1 draw on Boxing Day, albeit Ipswich equalised very late on with a double deflected effort. Leicester have lost a couple of players to the African Cup of Nations, but if any squad can handle those losses it is Leicester’s.
It is time to take a deeper look into the data and find some nuggets that could lead to a winning bet builder. There is plenty of information to use to find the right value picks
Leicester v Ipswich Cheat Sheet
This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.
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You can find Leicester v Ipswich match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.
⚽ Match stats: Leicester edge the key data points in attack and defence
One might expect a team that is leading the league by a decent margin to show up somewhere near the top of many performance metrics.
That is indeed the case with Leicester City. They have scored the most goals in the league, keeping up an average of 2 goals a game, the only team to maintain that at this stage. They are overperforming their xG, but that is to be expected from a team with quality forwards, and even so, their xG total is the best in the league as well.
Leicester’s xG conceded is second only to Leeds, but this is an Achilles’ heel for Ipswich. The Tractor Boys are by no means sloppy, they are 5th for xG conceded, but they are a way behind Leicester in this area, whereas their attacking numbers are almost on a par.
It should also be noted that Ipswich’s numbers in attack are steadily deteriorating in comparison to their nearest rivals. When this fixture was played on Boxing Day, Ipswich were pretty much on par with Leicester leading the division in xG and goals. That is no longer the case, indeed Ipswich have scored only 15 in 13 away games.
Predictions:
⚽ Leicester to win @ 1.91
⚽ Both teams to score – No @ 2.10
🎯 Shooting stats: Mavididi a big game danger man
A run in the first XI for Kayden Jackson has come about as a result of George Hirst’s injury. Whilst Ipswich are looking for a physical forward, with offers for Blackburn’s Sam Gallagher having been rejected, this opportunity for Jackson means that he looks to be decent value in the shot on target market.
When he has played in the three behind the forward he would be more prone to taking shots from the edge of the box or wide, this #9 role gives him a better chance of taking shots from better areas to get them on target.
Stephy Mavididi is going to have to step up with the lack of depth and alternative options for Leicester. He has been a key difference maker in some of the bigger matches this season and does seem to be the type of player to enjoy the big stage.
Indeed, in some circumstances he could’ve been described as being a bit too selfish. That could be a positive thing with regards to this bet though if Mavididi wants to take the game by the scruff of the neck.
Mavididi has taken the second highest number of shots in the squad this season, just behind Dewsbury-Hall, and averages one shot on target per Championship match usually but has hit multiple shots on target many times this campaign.
Predictions:
⚽ Kayden Jackson to have 1+ shots on target @ 1.36
⚽ Stephy Mavididi to have 1+ shots on target @ 1.30
⚽ Stephy Mavididi to have 2+ shots on target @ 2.50
🛑 Foul stats: Clarke to run rampant
Cannon has been overpriced for a foul here. He is likely to play most, if not all, of the 90 minutes and his stats suggest that he is good for at least one foul. Forwards often pick up aerial duel or duel fouls at some point in the match and as the focal point for the team Cannon certainly fits that bill.
Harry Clarke is surprisingly big as well considering his upcoming battle with Mavididi and also James Justin. Whilst the young full back isn’t one of the most regular foulers in the Ipswich line-up the fact that he is up against such a strong ball carrying wide forward as Mavididi makes him a potential target for a caution.
Finally, it is too tempting to not put Lewis Travis into this section for fouls. He will have an important role to play in this Ipswich team and he will be keen to have a strong match to try and displace one of the regular players in this position.
Travis averages around 1.5 fouls a match in the Championship, and was averaging 2 fouls a match this season for Blackburn before his move.
Predictions:
⚽ Tom Cannon to commit 1+ foul @ 1.44
⚽ Harry Clarke to commit 1+ foul @ 1.36
⚽ Harry Clarke to commit 2+ fouls @ 2.75
⚽ Lewis Travis to commit 2+ fouls @ 1.40
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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