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Lens v Marseille Best Bets Preview

Lens v Marseille Best Bets Preview

Thursday 23 October, 20252 min read
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Lens have made a better start to the Ligue 1 campaign than they have managed in the last couple of seasons, whilst Marseille under Roberto De Zerbi had a morale boosting win over PSG in the league.

However, Marseille have to bounce back from a disappointing defeat to Sporting in the Champions League in midweek

Check out these Lens v Marseille Betting Stats for further insight.

These recommended Best Bet Builder Bookmakers are worth a browse ahead of kick-off, too.

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Lens v Marseille Best Bets
  • Lens v Marseille
  • Ligue 1
  • 20:05
2 Selections @ 2.14

Both Teams to Score

Marseille need to be very mindful of Lens in this fixture. OM have actually developed a system where they are limiting their opponents to quite low xG totals at the moment, averaging only 0.88 goals conceded per Ligue 1 match, and a 0.94xG per match data stat to match that, but Lens have started the season well at home.

The Red and Gold don’t have European football to contend with this season, which could lend them an advantage in this matchup. Marseille are coming from a defeat at Sporting, which obviously isn’t a long trip, but emotionally and physically could still take something from OM.

Lens have been dominant in terms of both results and xG battle wins in their home league games. They scored three against Lille and Brest, and then recorded a 2-1 win last time out at home against Paris FC. Their xG generation over a larger sample size of 15 home matches stretching into last season stands strong at 1.99 xG, which increases to 2.83xG when only looking at the four matches this term.

Marseille scored twice at Strasbourg and three times at Metz in their last two away games as well, and they are averaging over 2xG generated in Ligue 1 so far this season, as well as 2.63 goals scored per match.

Over 3.5 Marseille Corners

The front footed nature of the Marseille tactical outlook tends to create a lot of corner opportunities for them.

They only generated two corners in their last Ligue 1 game, but that was a comfortable 6-2 win at home to Le Havre, a completely different set of circumstances from this match away at Lens. Marseille will know that they are going to have to try and impose themselves on their opponents, and this is often where they are able to get the corner count up a bit higher.

Aside from the Metz game, all of Marseille’s other Ligue 1 matches this season have seen them hit this corner line. Taking a larger sample size of 30 Ligue 1 games stretching back some distance into last season, they are averaging 6.46 corners per match, which is over two corners above the line of this bet.

A brief look into past Lens v Marseille fixtures sees Marseille covering this line in four out of their last five visits.

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📈 Lens v Marseille Form & Stats

Lens currently sit fourth in Ligue 1 after winning five of their opening eight matches in the league. This has been helped by three consecutive home wins, and they have lost only once in the last seven matches in all competitions.

Obviously we only have an eight game sample size but Lens look steady in their performance data. They rank sixth in the league for xG generated, seventh for shots on target, and second, only to Marseille, for big chances created. Unfortunately for Lens they are also top for big chances missed, so there is still room for improvement there. Lens also rank sixth overall for xG conceded.

Marseille are an attacking power under De Zerbi, and he has found a way to restrict opponents as well. OM sit top of the league at the moment, their win over PSG has obviously really helped there, and they deserve their position there after winning six of their opening eight games. They come into this match with a five match winning streak in the league, where they have scored 16 goals and conceded only three.

Marseille sit top of the league in all of the metrics that matter. Most goals, highest xG generated, most shots on target, most big chances, and the best xG against record as well.

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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.

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