Liverpool left Craven Cottage disappointed in their first match against Fulham but are back at Anfield for their second game of the season. Crystal Palace haven’t beaten Liverpool since 2017 but after the performance they managed against Arsenal, even if it ended in defeat, they will have a belief that they can pull off a shock here. Both squads have injuries to several key players but Palace fans will be hoping Olise could come back into the squad for this game.
Liverpool v Crystal Palace Bet Builder Tips
Darwin Nunez to have 2+ Shots on Target
Neither team is at their strongest defensively and both teams are still at full attacking strength. The effect of the atmosphere at the City Ground for Nottingham Forest’s first home game back in the prem cannot be underestimated and this will give them the performance boost needed to score in this match, therefore I believe we will see both teams score.
It is no secret that Liverpool possess some of the best attacking full-backs in the world, especially with Trent Alexander-Arnold, possibly the greatest crosser of the ball in world football right now. Liverpool managed 10 key passes in the Community Shield, 8 of these were balls into the box and against Fulham 5 of their 9 key passes were balls into the box. Liverpool attempted 15 crosses against Manchester City with 9 successful and attempted a huge 19 crosses against Fulham. Only Manchester City attempted more crosses in the Premier League than Liverpool last season. Both goals Palace conceded against Arsenal were the result of crosses and Arsenal often found space for crosses not only from deep but also from the byline.
After making an impact after being brought off the bench in the Community Shield and in the Fulham match, Darwin Nunez should now be considered ready to start for Liverpool. Against Manchester City he came on and scored while attempting 3 headed shots in the short time he was on the pitch. Against Fulham he came on, was on the end of 2 crosses, one of which he scored from and had 3 shots on target. Nunez hit the target with a huge 51% of his shots on target last season and will be up against Joachim Andersen and Marc Guehi. Although Joachim Andersen ranked just above average for aerial duel win percentage last season, Marc Guehi was in the bottom 30% of centre backs for his aerial duel win percentage last season so Nunez will fancy his chances against him in the air.
Nunez has had a huge impact in both games he has played so far, he will get further chances in this match and should be able to register at least 2 shots on target.
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Prediction: Darwin Nunez to have 2+ Shots on Target
Luis Diaz to have 1+ Shots on Target
Palace really wanted to strengthen their right back position in the transfer window and were heavily linked with bringing back Aaron Wan-Bissaka. However, they have not signed anyone for this position yet, so Nathaniel Clyne will most likely start again. Clyne will be up against one of Liverpool’s trickiest players in Luis Diaz. Diaz has averaged 1.2 shots on target per 90 so far during his time in the premier league. Diaz rates in the top 8% for players dribbled past per 90 and for his dribble success percentage as well as ranking in the top 3% for shot creating dribbles. Nathaniel Clyne, on the other hand, is in the bottom 10% of players for tackles won per 90 minutes and the bottom 7% for dribblers tackled per 90.
A player of Diaz’s ability will be able to beat Clyne and carve out shooting opportunities for himself throughout the match. Furthermore, Palace will shift extra players over to cover Mo Salah on the other side of the pitch, this may leave Diaz more room to face up against Clyne one on one. All this suggests Diaz will get chances in this match and so should get at least 1 shot on target.
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Prediction: Luis Diaz to have 1+ Shots on Target
Jeffrey Schlupp to have 1+ Shots
Jeffrey Schlupp has seen his position evolve from a left back or left winger into a central midfielder with the ability to run with the ball. Schlupp is one of Vieira’s preferred choices at centre midfield and has started all of Palace’s last 4 matches against top 6 teams. Against Liverpool, 62% of Fulham’s xG came from attacks down the centre of the pitch and if this pattern continues, Schlupp will be in the right area of the pitch for shooting opportunities. Schlupp averages 1.6 shots per 90 in the Premier League and had 3 shots in their last match against Arsenal. Schlupp was in the top 10% of all midfielders in a top 5 European League for shots attempted last season and was in the top 7% of midfielders for touches in the opposition’s penalty area. Crystal Palace love to move the ball forward quickly and counter-attack so Schlupp’s pace and dribbling will see him get opportunities for shots, therefore I am backing him to have 1 or more shots.
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Prediction: Jeffrey Schlupp to have 1+ Shots
Fabinho to be Shown a Card
Crystal Palace have one of the most dynamic and skilful midfields in the Premier League. The dribbling ability of Jeffrey Schlupp and Eberichi Eze is a real challenge for opposition midfielders. Both midfielders rank in the top 10 % of midfielders for dribbles completed per 90. Schlupp ranks in the top 8% of midfielders for attempted dribbles while only 3% of midfielders attempted more dribbles per 90 than Eze. Both players also rank in the top 10% for players dribbled past and will be an absolute handful for the Liverpool midfielders to deal with. Schlupp draws 1.39 fouls per match while Eze draws 1.83 fouls per match and in a game like this where there will be space to run into, they will be able to attempt even more dribbles than their average.
The man tasked with stopping these runs through the middle will be Fabinho. Only Sadio Mane committed more fouls for Liverpool last season than Fabinho and no Liverpool player was carded more often than him. Fabinho only successfully tackles 37% of dribblers and in his role for Liverpool of stopping counter attacks, he knows if he can’t win the ball, he may have to commit the tactical foul. When up against two of the best midfielders at dribbling in the league, this will cause him further issues and force him into committing fouls. Therefore, Fabinho will be one of the prime candidates to be booked in this match.
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Prediction: Fabinho to be Shown a Card
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How to watch Liverpool v Crystal Palace in the Premier League
📅 When is Liverpool v Crystal Palace? / Monday, 15th August 2022, 20:00
🏟 Where is Liverpool v Crystal Palace? / Anfield (Liverpool)
📺 What TV channel is Liverpool v Crystal Palace on? / Sky Sports Main Event and Premier League 🟨 …And who is the referee for Liverpool v Crystal Palace? / P. Tierney 🏴
