Liverpool v Tottenham Hotspur Cheat Sheet
Liverpool v Manchester United
Liverpool’s rejuvenated form as of late means they are now favourites to finish 5th in the league. Liverpool’s win in midweek meant that they have now won 3 in a row and their good home form has continued. Liverpool’s only home loss in their last 13 was against Real Madrid so they will welcome Spurs to Anfield with a lot of confidence. Liverpool were without Konate due to injury in their match against West Ham but he should be available again here. Diogo Jota should also be available after coming off against West Ham due to an injury to his lower back, but it seems it was only a knock and he could start here.
Ryan Mason’s first game in charge of his second stint as interim manager was an exciting one. Spurs came from 2 goals down to draw with Manchester United in what was very much a game of two halves. Spurs lost the first half 0.31-1.31 on xG whereas in the second half, they won on xG 2.05-0.86. The question now for Spurs is can Ryan Mason find that level of performance from the start here, as that may be enough for Spurs to pick up a significant result. Fraser Forster is expected to start for Spurs here, Lloris had to come off at halftime with an injury at Newcastle so Spurs will be without their club captain in this match.
While both these teams are in the battle for 5th place, neither seem very stable defensively. Liverpool have kept just 1 clean sheet in their last 8 matches but have scored in 7 of their last 10. Liverpool’s last 4 matches have all seen both teams score, conceding 6 and scoring 13. Liverpool have only failed to score at home twice this season, in a 0-0 draw with Chelsea and in a 0-0 draw with Derby with a much-changed team in the Carabao Cup. It is now 7 matches in a row in which both teams have scored in Spurs matches.
Even under Ryan Mason, Spurs have shown no chance of changing. They played out a four-goal thriller against Manchester United in a match where both teams accumulated over 2 xG. Only 3 teams have conceded more goals than Tottenham this season, their defence is performing as well as teams in danger of relegation. Both teams wanted top 4 at least this season which now seems out of reach so they will be happy to play attacking football which gives the fans something exciting to watch, therefore I expect both teams to score.
Ryan Mason chose to stick with a Spurs back three for their match against Manchester United. One change from Conte’s time seemed to be how far forward he wanted his wing-backs to get, both of them were getting into the box as often as possible. Perisic and Porro started against United and I expect them to both start again here. Porro had 3 shots with 1 on target against Manchester United while Perisic had 2 shots with both on target. Ivan Perisic has averaged 1.3 shots per 90 so far this season and has had at least 1 shot in all of his last 8 Spurs matches. With Perisic getting into the box, it will be Trent Alexander-Arnold’s job to pick him up. Perisic played as a winger for most of his career so his movement in the opposition box is very good and he is not bad in the air either. He will be expected to get forward again in this match and I think he should have at least 1 shot, odds of around 1.4 look very nice.
Liverpool average the 4th most corners per 90 of any team in the league with 6.09 while Spurs concede an average of 5.03 per 90. Liverpool have had at least 6 corners in 4 of their last 8 matches but that includes games against Arsenal and Chelsea where they had 5 as well as a tough game away at Manchester City where you expect to have less corners than normal.
In Mason’s first match in charge, Spurs conceded eight corners despite being at home, travelling to Anfield is much tougher and we can expect Spurs to be on the back foot which will lead to them conceding more corners. Spurs have conceded in five of their last seven matches, the 3 at the back system does mainly leave space for players to attack out wide which does lead to them conceding a lot of corners. With Liverpool strong at home and Spurs conceding a lot of corners, I expect Liverpool to have at least 6 corners here.
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