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Luton v Chelsea Bet Builder Stats & Predictions

Luton v Chelsea Bet Builder Stats & Predictions

Friday 29 December, 20232 min read
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Andy Robson

Andy Robson is the most popular betting tipster in the UK. With a combined following in excess of 1 million people across his social media channels, Andy has built a loyal audience by consistently providing quality betting content for over nine years. He is the founder of Andy’s Bet Club, which he launched in 2019.

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Luton v Chelsea

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Kick Off: Saturday 30th December at 12:30
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Competition: Premier League
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Watch Live: TNT Sports 1

The opening game of this Premier League weekend sees Luton face Chelsea, but that is far from everything for this weekend of Premier League action here on Andy's Bet Club. Our coverage also includes Premier League bet builder tips and Premier League accumulators. It's not just Premier League coverage though, with plenty more free expert football betting predictions from all over Europe.

We have also got you covered with the very best free bet offers and a selection of the best bookmaker offers to help you bet smarter, and find the best value for money throughout the weekend.

Luton and Chelsea will meet at Kenilworth Road for Saturday’s early kick-off. Both teams will come into this game having picked up narrow wins in their last outings. Luton overcame Sheffield United on Boxing Day, leaving Rob Edwards’ side only one point inside the relegation zone with a game in hand. A late penalty saved the day for Chelsea in their last outing, securing a 2-1 win for Mauricio Pochettino’s men against Crystal Palace.

Considering their tough run of fixtures, Luton have done exceptionally well in recent weeks. Edwards’ side have picked up nine points from a possible 18, despite facing the likes of Arsenal, Man City and Newcastle. It is worth noting that the hosts lost by only one goal against both of last season’s top two. 

Chelsea have been fairly inconsistent in recent weeks, winning three and losing three of their last six league games. The visitors have struggled on the road during this run, losing all three away matches against Man United, Everton and Wolves. 

These Luton v Chelsea stats will provide an insight into what to expect from this meeting. If you plan to place a bet builder on this game, this is the place to find some key tips.

Luton v Chelsea Cheat Sheet

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This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.

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There are so many ways to use our Cheat Sheets, and we encourage you to think creatively in formulating a betting angle, however, if you're unsure of how to use a Cheat Sheet, just click the link for some quick tips to help you make the most of it.

You can find Luton v Chelsea match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match stats: Both sides to be amongst the goals

There have been a limited number of meetings between these two clubs; however, in the last three, Chelsea have come out on top. Chelsea cruised to a 3-0 victory when the sides met at Stamford Bridge; however, it will likely be far from straightforward for Pochettino’s men when they travel to Kenilworth Road. Luton have looked much better when playing at home this season and have found decent form in recent weeks. The hosts have lost only two of their last five games at Kenilworth Road, both of which have come against Arsenal and Man City. Luton have failed to score in only one of their nine home matches this season, and they have conceded in all but one. Chelsea have struggled on the road this season and have failed to win or draw any of their last four away games. Pochettino’s men have only kept two clean sheets when playing away from Stamford Bridge. The visitors have demonstrated their attacking capabilities at times, scoring in seven of their nine away matches. Both teams have scored in five of Luton’s last six matches and in seven of Chelsea’s last nine. Expect both sides to find the back of the net here.

Predictions:

⚽ Both teams to score @ 1.65

🎯 Shooting stats: Palmer to hit the target

Cole Palmer has arguably been Chelsea’s best player this season, amassing nine goal contributions thus far. Palmer missed the game against Palace due to suspension and will therefore be well rested ahead of this game. Palmer averages 2.8 shots on goal per 90 in the league, with an average of 1.2 hitting the target. The Englishman has registered six shots on target in his last five starts. An added bonus is that the ex-Man City man is Chelsea’s main penalty taker, adding to his chances of finding the target.

Predictions:

⚽ Cole Palmer to have 1+ shot on target @ 1.44

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🟨 Cards stats: Both sides crossing the line

Luton have only amassed 34 yellows this season, averaging less than two yellow cards per game. Only four teams have been booked less times than the hosts. Marvelous Nakamba is the only Luton player to have received five yellow cards. Only Sheffield United have received more yellow cards than Chelsea this season. Pochettino’s side are clearly lacking discipline, having amassed an average of three yellow cards per game this season. Seven Chelsea players have been booked four or more times this season, with Nicolas Jackson picking up eight yellows. Chelsea have had more bookings than their opponents in six of their last eight away matches; while Luton have kept things relatively clean at Kenilworth Road. Back the visitors to receive a greater share of the yellow cards.

Predictions:

⚽ Chelsea to receive the most cards @ 2.30

🛑 Fouls stats: It could get ugly

Despite their low tally of yellow cards, Luton have committed their fair share of fouls this season. Luton have committed an average of 10.6 fouls per game across their last five fixtures. Key contributors to this have been Marvelous Nakamba, Elijah Adebayo, Issa Kabore and Carlton Morris, all of whom commit an average of greater than 1.5 fouls per game. Chelsea’s fouls stats easily explain their yellow card record. Pochettino’s side have committed an average of 12.2 fouls per game this season. The likes of Conor Gallagher and Moises Caicedo are always among feisty battles, averaging around two fouls per game each. Luton have committed ten or more fouls in seven of their last eight home fixtures and Chelsea have exceeded ten fouls in four of their last five away matches. Backing both sides to commit a minimum of ten fouls is a smart way to elevate your bet builder.

Predictions:

⚽ Luton to commit 10+ fouls @ 1.22

⚽ Chelsea to commit 10+ fouls @ 1.36

* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.

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