We’ll mention Dorgu quite a lot in this article. The bookmakers are yet to grasp the value he offers, primarily in the fouls domain.

The ex-Lecce man has sinned in each of his appearances for Man United, committing 3 fouls overall in just 133 minutes of game-time. Including his performances at Lecce before his move to Manchester, Dorgu has slipped up at least once in 16 of his last 18 seasons, and at least twice in 8 of those games.

His most likely opponent is Jack Harrison which adds further value to this selection given the Englishman has averaged 1.41 fouls drawn per 90 across all competitions.

In addition to committing a foul, we also expect Dorgu to draw at least 2 and there’s plenty of evidence to suggest this shouldn’t be a falling point.

Dorgu has won at least 2 fouls in both of his games in a Man United shirt, despite coming off before the half time whistle against Leicester.

Looking a bit further back, this selection has been a winner in 8 of his last 9 games, and in 75% of his matches across the entirety of the season (when considering his 24 appearances lasting at least 45 minutes).

The bulk of the value here comes from looking at how many cards the respective opponents of Everton and United have picked up over the season. Everton’s opposition has picked up an average of just 1.16 cards per game – the fewest of any side in the league by some distance. United rank 14th in regards to this metric, averaging just 1.84.

Everton also only pick up an average of 2.12 cards with Man United slightly topping that figure at 2.34.

All in all, this selection has been a winner in 9 of United’s last 12 league games, and 5 of Everton’s most recent 7.

The corners market looks to be a profitable 1 in this clash with the bookies seemingly overestimating the probability of Everton racking them up.

The Toffees have averaged just 3.96 corners per game this season – the 4th-fewest of any team. As such, this selection has unsurprisingly come home in 12 of their last 13 league matches, over which period they’ve averaged just 3.3 corners per game.

Man United aren’t in the business of conceding too many, either, allowing their opposition an average of just 4.44, which is the 5th-fewest of any side. It has now been 8 games since they conceded 6 or more corners, with Arsenal managing it in the FA Cup.

Harrison has sinned at least once in each of his last 5 starts for Everton and is averaging a respectable 0.86 fouls per 90 across all competitions. Given his likely matchup with the aforementioned Dorgu, the bookies might have made an error in pricing him this generously.

Harrison has also committed at least 1 foul in each of his last 3 matches against the Red Devils, including the reverse fixture this season despite him coming off the bench to manage just 24 minutes.

It’s set to get even trickier for the midfielder who will face off with Dorgu who has drawn at least 1 foul in 24 of his 26 matches this season, contributing to an impressive average of 2.69 fouls per game in Serie A. That was the Dane’s 2nd top-flight professional season, having recorded an average of 2.53 fouls drawn the season prior, also in Serie A.

Although Garnacho’s struggled to reach the standards he’s previously aspired to, the winger has still offered consistent value in the shots market, with no other United player coming close to matching his average of 3.88 shots per 90 minutes.

He’s fired off at least 3 in 9 of his 15 league starts, including on all 8 occasions he’s lasted the full 90. Across all competitions, this selection has been a winner in each of his most recent 3, over which period the Argentine has taken 10 shots in just 226 minutes of football.

Everton have conceded an average of 12.8 shots per league game this season which implies Garnacho should get a fair few opportunities.

Everton’s matches have tended to be low-scoring affairs this season, averaging just 2.32 goals with very few seeing both teams score. In fact, 14 of their last 18 games have seen either side frustrated, with the Toffees themselves failing to find a way onto the scoresheet in 10 of those.

It’s been a similar story for Man United, albeit not quite to the same extent with this selection winning in 15 of their 25 league matches to date, notably including each of the last 3 and 6 of their most recent 9.

Man United have won to nil in each of the last 4 showings of this fixture which could also be a factor here.

Despite their struggles, United have been pretty consistent in the corners department, boasting an average of 5.06 won per game which eclipses Everton’s average of 3.96 which is the league’s 4th-lowest.

In addition to that, the Red Devils also conceded less, allowing their opposition an average of 4.44 – significantly lower than Everton’s rate of 5.96 conceded per game.

United have lost just 3 of their last 12 corner battles, meanwhile, Everton have racked up fewer corners than their opponents in a remarkable 20 out of 25 league games.