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Marseille v PSG 2/1 Bet Builder Tips, Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Marseille v PSG 2/1 Bet Builder Tips, Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Friday 19 September, 20253 min read
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Robin Bairner

Robin is a specialist in Scottish and French football and has been with us since 2022. He loves championing the young talent that Ligue 1 produces on a seemingly perpetual basis as well as the chaos of the unique world of SPFL football. He is currently based in central Scotland and can be found weekly taking in games and rating pies at windswept venues across the country.

In this article...

I'm expecting fireworks in the first Le Classique of the season as Marseille welcome PSG to the Velodrome.

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Marseille v PSG Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Marseille v PSG
  • Ligue 1
  • 19:45
3 Selections @ 2.84

Over 2.5 Goals

Marseille’s home games this season have been high-scoring affairs, producing a total of 11 goals. De Zerbi’s style is not to take a step back simply because of PSG’s status as European champions, which should make for an open and exciting encounter.

PSG may be depleted by injuries, but they shrugged those concerns in a midweek 4-0 win against Atalanta, and they have netted at least two goals in each of their last three games. This is a team getting into a groove.

Historically, these games have been high-scoring affairs. Across the last six fixtures between the clubs, five have yielded at least three goals. Last season, there were at least seven goals across the two Ligue 1 fixtures.

Over 3.5 PSG Corners

PSG are a dominant team when it comes to ball possession, which translates to a domination of territory and a high corner count.

Across their seven competitive fixtures last season, they have won at least four corners in each game. Indeed, they have only once dipped below six corners, which was their home match against Lens.

Luis Enrique’s side average 7.5 corners per game in Ligue 1 this season, which is a tally only bettered by Marseille (7.75).

OM have only given up 12 corners so far this season in the league, but they have not faced a side so well equipped to dominate the ball and territory.

Marseille to have 4+ Shots on Target

Marseille will be eager to impose themselves in this match, pushed forward by a home crowd that will want to see direct attacking play and a high shot count.

They showed attacking intent against Real Madrid, managing five shots on target (15 overall), in a 2-1 defeat at the Bernabeu.

De Zerbi is an attack-minded manager, and his side have managed at least four shots on target in 11 of their 13 matches stretching back to last season.

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Marseille v PSG Best Longshot Bets
  • Marseille v PSG
  • Ligue 1
  • 19:45
3 Selections @ 16.61

Vitinha to have 3+ Shots

Vitinha is joint-top for PSG when it comes to shots in Ligue 1, having managed nine across his four appearances this season (2.57 per 90).

The midfielder is set to be given additional attacking responsibilities with the injury to Joao Neves (3.09 shots per 90), probably giving him greater rein to push forward and influence the game in an attacking manner. Warren Zaire-Emery is likely to become the deep-lying player.

There is also a strong chance he could be on penalties should PSG be awarded one. Dembele, the regular penalty taker, is missing, while Barcola is out too.

Vitinha is one of two available players for PSG who has had a shot at goal from a free kick this season (Achraf Hakimi is the other), so he can expect a promotion in this capacity, too.

Warren Zaire-Emery to Commit 2+ Fouls

Zaire-Emery is by far and away the most prolific PSG player when it comes to committing fouls this season, having given up six so far in Ligue 1 (2.31 per 90). No other player in Luis Enrique’s side has committed more than three.

Joao Neves’ absence means that he will likely be thrust into a central midfield role – a position from where he committed two fouls coming on as a half time substitute against Toulouse at the end of August.

Marseille’s central midfield players are picking up a significant volume of free kicks. Angel Gomes (five) and Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg (four) are both in the top three of their players in this capacity in Ligue 1 this season.

Zaire-Emery is also likely to be asked to do more defensive work than in a typical Ligue 1 game because Marseille will try to have a share of the ball, increasing the opportunities for a mistimed challenge.

Kvicha Kvaratskhelia to Score Anytime

Although Kvaratskhelia had an injury scare last weekend, he roared back into action in spectacular style in midweek against Atalanta, scoring a blistering solo goal as PSG ran out 4-0 winners.

The Georgia star has scored in each of his last three appearances for club and country that have lasted more than 30 minutes, and that will very probably be the case in this game.

He was taken off early against Atalanta in midweek to preserve him for this fixture, which will be his first taste of the Velodrome. A scorer in the final of the Champions League, he is a player who has an appetite for the big occasion.

With Dembele, Barcola and Desire Doue on the sidelines, he will shoulder the additional attacking burden along with Barcola, particularly if Luis Enrique elects to play with a false nine as he did in midweek.

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📂 Marseille v PSG Cheat Sheet

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📈 Marseille v PSG Tactics

Marseille have been a team with a split personality this season: they are excellent at home but questionable on the road.

Roberto De Zerbi’s side have won both of their home games this season, scoring nine goals in the process. This contrasts starkly with their away record. They have lost three from three on the road, but they were competitive against Real Madrid on Tuesday, only succumbing to a couple of Kylian Mbappe penalties.

It is worth noting, though, that goalkeeper Geronimo Rulli was outstanding in midweek, making an astonishing 13 saves. OM are coming up against a similar standard of opponent at the Velodrome on Sunday.

With a big turnover of players in the summer, particularly at the end of the transfer window, this is a team that is still settling down, but what is certain is that De Zerbi will try to have his side impose themselves on this match by controlling the ball and exerting pressure when out of possession.

PSG may have looked impeccable in midweek against Atalanta, but their crushing 4-0 Champions League win was by some distance the best they have played this season.

Luis Enrique’s side had a curtailed pre-season, and for the most part, have looked rusty. Aside from an incredible 6-3 win away to Toulouse last month, their form in Ligue 1 has been functional rather than spectacular: they have won a couple of matches 1-0 and another 2-0.

Injury problems are a major concern coming into this match, particularly with a Champions League clash with Barcelona now less than a fortnight away. Ballon d’Or favourite Ousmane Dembele is ruled out along with Desire Doue and Bradley Barcola, while these key attackers will be joined on the sidelines by Joao Neves.

Rarely did PSG have to cope with such selection headaches last season, so this is a new challenge for Luis Enrique’s side, whose squad depth could be a weakness.


🏁 Ref Watch

Benoit Bastien

Fouls pg

Yellow pg

Red pg

Pens pg

26.14

3.86

0.25

0.34

Per game stats are from Bastien's 263 career Ligue 1 matches.


📊 Marseille v PSG Stats

  • PSG have won the last seven league meetings between these clubs. The last five games have all been decided by at least two goals.

  • Marseille have struggled to score against PSG in recent games. Ending a run of five successive league games without scoring against their rivals via an Amine Gouiri goal, the last time the sides met.

  • The last two fixtures at the Velodrome between these clubs have both seen a red card in the first half.


Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

Keep up with our Football Betting Tips, Accumulator Tips, and Gem Bets, as well as European Football Predictions and Marseille v PSG Betting Stats for this weekend, on Andy's Bet Club.

We've also got plenty of other content for Sunday's fixtures, including Quick Previews for Bristol City v Oxford, Partick Thistle v Celtic, and Mallorca v Atletico Madrid, as well as Bet Builders for Bournemouth v Newcastle and Arsenal v Man City.

On top of that, we also have a Premier League Player Prop Treble, a Team Over 0.5 Goals Acca, and Sunday Premier League Treble.

You can take a look at some of the best New Bookmaker Offers here if you're after some free bets. We recommend both the Paddy Power Sign Up Offer and bet365 Sign Up Offer, and the SBK Sign Up Offer.


* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


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