This match has a lot riding on it, Group D is the only group where no teams are guaranteed of elimination or progression yet but in this match both teams know what they need to do. The ramifications of this result are clear. Marseille must win if they want to progress, a loss will see them finish bottom of the group and a draw will see them out of the Champions League, but they might fall into the Europa League. For Spurs, a win guarantees they will top the group, a draw puts them through, but they may not top the group and a loss will see them knocked down into the Europa League. Spurs were a tight offside decision away from already qualifying out of this group in their last match and will have to face a tough away day to a team with one of the most loyal fanbases, this will not be an easy match for them.
Marseille v Tottenham Hotspur Bet Builder Tips
Spurs Double Chance
While Spurs will want to take the lead and have that cushion available to them, they also know a draw is enough. As Spurs know that Marseille need to score, I would expect Spurs to focus on a solid defensive effort that relies on counter-attacks for goal scoring threats. Conte’s teams have always been strong defensively and this year Spurs have struggled up against defences that are hard to break down. This match then will play into their hands, Marseille really struggled to break down Spurs away from home, creating just 0.4xG and with a home support willing them forwards, this will only make it more likely the match plays out in this way. With Kulusevski and Richarlison injured, Marseille’s defence will have to contend with the pace of Son and Moura who will be able to exploit spaces in Marseille’s defence as they are forced to push further and further forward as the match goes on.
Spurs are better than Marseille and the scenario this match is being played in suits Spurs down to the ground. While they may not win, they should be able to at least get themselves the draw that they need to guarantee qualification from the group.
Matteo Guendouzi to have 2+ Shots
Matteo Guendouzi’s return to form at Marseille is very similar to that of Granit Xhaka’s at Arsenal, the club Guendouzi joined Marseille from. Just like Xhaka, Guendouzi has been pushed on, freed from a defensive midfield option and now is more of an attacking midfielder. Guendouzi has been hitting plenty of shots for Marseille, especially in recent matches. He has at least1 shot in all of his last 8 Marseille matches and has had at least 2 in 6 of those matches. In the reverse fixture, Guendouzi had 3 shots, all of which were speculative efforts from outside the box with Spurs sat deep.
If Spurs are to sit deep in this match, Guendouzi will have plenty of opportunities to find himself in similar space in this game. In the Champions League this season Guendouzi has averaged 2.04 shots per 90 and had at least 2 shots in 3 of the 4 matches he started. Spurs sit in a low block and invite long shots, no Premier League team faces shots from a further average distance from Spurs in the Premier League, teams playing Spurs average shot position is 19.2 yards from goal. This is perfect for Guendouzi to repeat the 3 shots he had in the last match between the two. Guendouzi himself has an average shot distance 19 yards out from goal and with Marseille needing to push forward and score, I expect Guendouzi to have a few efforts at goal himself.
Over 4.5 Cards
With so much on the line on this match, it makes sense that this will be a feisty encounter. The referee for this match is Szymon Marciniak and he loves a yellow card. He has refereed 16 matches in all competitions so far this season and handed out 83 cards, an average of 5.19 cards per match. The last match he refereed in a situation similar to this was the second leg of the Rangers vs PSV Champions League qualifying match. This was also a game with a lot on the line and Marciniak dished out 8 yellow cards. Spurs have averaged over 2 cards per match in the Champions League this season and Marseille have averaged exactly 2 per match. In the last match between the two had 4 yellow cards and a red card and that was with a referee who averages 1.4 cards less per match than Marciniak. On top of this, Spurs have drawn more yellow cards in the Premier League than any other team and in a match where both teams will be all over tactical fouls as the match nears the end, I would expect a cards fest in this match.
Over 4.5 Marseille Corners
Marseille have averaged 5.62 corners per match so far this season in the league, the 4th highest of any team in Ligue 1. In this match they know they must win and more importantly the crowd know it as well. It would be a huge achievement for this team to progress to the knockout rounds and the Marseille fans will undoubtedly create a raucous atmosphere and roar their team on. Marseille will want to use this atmosphere to their advantage by giving Spurs no time to settle into the match and pushing forwards straight away. I think the atmosphere at Stade Velodrome will push Marseille forwards and can see them win some early corners. Once the game does settle into a rhythm, I expect Spurs to sit deep and their 3-4-3 or 3-5-2 formations both allow opposition room around the sides of Spurs but not through the centre. As the match goes on Marseille will have to play the ball wide and look for crossing opportunities into the box, with the ball going wide this often I expect them to win further corners. Marseille will have to push forward which can see them win plenty of corners in this match, so I am backing them to have over 4.5 corners.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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How to watch Marseille v Tottenham Hotspur in the Champions League?
📅 When is Marseille v Tottenham Hotspur? / Tuesday, 1st November 2022, 8:00PM
🏟 Where is Marseille v Tottenham Hotspur? / Orange Velodrome (Marseille)
📺 What TV channel is Marseille v Tottenham Hotspur on? / BT Sport 2
🟨 …And who is the referee for Marseille v Tottenham Hotspur? / S. Marciniak 🇵🇱