While I believe that Middlesbrough will remain strong contenders for the top six, their underlying data suggest to me that a top two tilt looks a little out of their reach, unless there is an improvement going forwards. I am expecting that improvement to come once their attacking weapons settle in, but Edwards is going a little safety first in his team deployment, that makes drawing matches a big threat, and having the draw in this bet is important.

However, it is clear that Ipswich are coming to the boil now. The international break probably came at the wrong time for them, but it has given McKenna and his team ample time to work with some of their new players even more, and get them settled into their system. Their win over Norwich showed that they are able to adapt to various styles and get results.

Ipswich have now scored in seven of their eight completed Championship matches, and scored multiple goals in four of their last five. I would expect a single goal should be enough to get something out of this match, given Boro’s difficulties up top at the moment.

This is a nice price in this market on the Scottish centre forward. A lot of Conway's teammates are priced much shorter than him to be fouled, but his fouls against record is pretty compelling for the price we are getting here.

Conway has started every Middlesbrough Championship match so far, mostly as centre forward, but also on the left of the attack. He is being fouled regularly, 1.5 times per 90 on average so far this season, but his price is bigger than many of his teammates, most of whom are fouled less regularly than he.

Conway has been fouled in eight out of his 10 starts, which, again, suggests this price is value. This includes four fouls against him in his last three matches.

Referee Matt Donohue is averaging 23 fouls given per match in his six assignments this season, so we have a referee who is happy to give fouls when they are due. This is a big match under the lights, the atmosphere should be good in the Riverside as well, this all contributes to the chances of fouls in this match.

The young winger joined towards the end of the summer transfer window and has now began to show what he is all about. With two starts in the last three matches, and the fact that he was trusted with the start, and 74 minutes, in the derby last time out, gives us an indication that he has forced his way in to be first choice on the right of the attack.

If that is the case then his foul line looks way out of line in comparison to his peers. Obviously, his data is unreliable at the moment due to small sample size, but it is clear that the wide attackers from Ipswich are asked to press hard in the corners and work back to support their defence as well.

Sindre Egeli committed a notable three fouls against Norwich and four fouls in his other start against Portsmouth. Meanwhile, Kasey McAteer is averaging 2.70 fouls per 90, Jaden Philogene averages 1.32 fouls per 90, and Jack Clarke is at 1.87 per 90, too. Ipswich's attacking players are fouling a lot.

A potential single to back here is for Ipswich to win the corner battle, which is a 2.40 shot, so is too much of a risk to add into a four-fold, but could be worth a single bet. The reasoning is very similar, Ipswich tend to win a lot of corners, more so than their opponents (six corner battle wins from nine matches this season).

Ipswich have covered this 4.5 line in six of their nine matches so far this term, and in four of their last five matches. Indeed, their corner average so far this season stands at 5.56.

Middlesbrough conceded eight corners against Stoke in their last home Championship match, and they also conceded eight corners to Sheffield United when the Blades came to the Riverside.

They did keep Swansea and West Brom to two corners, but given Ipswich’s strong corner record and the trends of the two teams in terms of performance level, I like the chances of Ipswich replicating what Stoke and Sheffield United were able to do at the Riverside.