Newcastle United v Liverpool Cheat Sheet
Newcastle United v Liverpool
Saturday evening sees Liverpool travel north to St James’ Park to face Newcastle in what has become a massive game in the race for the top four. Newcastle have stalled a little bit with just one win in their last five league games but remain in fourth, two points above Spurs in 5th. They come into this one facing off to the only side that have beaten them in the league this season on the back of consecutive 1-1 draws against West Ham and at Bournemouth. Liverpool have been very poor so far this season and are languishing down in 9th place right now. However, they were better on Monday night in a 2-0 win over bitter rivals Everton and whilst they are nine points behind Newcastle, they will be hoping for a win here to take them six points back with a game in hand.
Newcastle fans are delighted with their campaign as they dream of a Champions League place next season in their first full year with new ownership. Whilst wins have dried up recently – only one league win in 2023 – they have reached the final of the EFL Cup and have a trip to Wembley on the horizon. They can also take comfort in the fact that they have only lost once in the league this season. The Toon have conceded just 13 goals in their 22 matches this season and just six in 11 at St James’ Park. Excluding their crazy 3-3 draw with Manchester City here in August, they have conceded an average of 0.3 goals per game at home this Premier League campaign. However, they will be concerned by their record against Liverpool and their loss at Anfield stretching a winless run against the Reds which goes back to 2015 – 12 matches. Their only loss in their last 24 at home was also against the same opposition. They are dealing with some injuries though as Saint-Maximin, Miguel Almiron and Joe Willock were all subbed off due to injury at Bournemouth and whilst the first two are doubts here, Joe Willock is ruled out. Javier Manquillo, Emil Krafth and Matt Targett all remain out too. Bruno Guimaraes is still suspended whilst Callum Wilson and Jamaal Lascelles are also doubts and if the English striker misses out here then Aleksander Isak would come in. If the Swedish striker scored here, he’d be the first Newcastle player to score in both league fixtures against the Reds since Alan Shearer in 1999/00.
Jurgen Klopp will have been delighted to finally get their first league win of 2023 over Everton at the start of this week and will be hoping to build some momentum, after a really poor start to the year – including a 3-0 defeat at both Wolves and Brighton. Their away form has been woeful this year, winning just two games and losing 60% of them with a goal difference of -8 and they have a big task on their hands here, facing a side who are flying. Whilst European football is not out of the realms of possibility, a win here would be massive in their desire to chase Newcastle for that fourth spot. If they avoid defeat here, this would be the sixth consecutive league visit at St James’ Park without a loss and would mark the first time that they have done that ever. However, if they lose this game then it would be their fourth on the road on the bounce for the first time since April 2012. They will have been delighted to welcome back Diogo Jota, Virgil van Dijk and Roberto Firmino into the matchday squad on Monday night and they could come in here with the Dutch defender looking most likely to do so. Ibrahima Konate, Luis Diaz and Thiago all remain out here.
Newcastle matches see the highest number of corners on average of every team in the league so far this season with 11.14 per game across their 22 matches. They average 6.95 corners per match and have had at least four corners in 82% of their matches, including in each of their last six. At home, they average even more corners – 7.73 – and have had at least four in ten of their eleven games at St James’ Park. The exception was a 4-0 demolition of Aston Villa where the game was wrapped up inside an hour. They have also had a massive eight corners or more in seven of their eleven matches here (64%).
Liverpool games also tend to have plenty of corners – the fifth most of any team. They see 10.10 corners per game and whilst they only tend to concede 3.43 corners per game, this rises to 4.10 away from Anfield. On the road they have conceded four or more corners in seven of their ten matches including conceding seven at Brighton in a heavy 3-0 loss.
Newcastle games also tend to see plenty of cards – averaging 4.14 per match and 4.27 at home. At St James’ Park they receive 1.91 cards per game and have seen at least two in 64% of those games. Across their last six at home, they have seen 2.17 cards per game – receiving two cards in four of those matches. They have also received at least three in two of their last five. In the reverse fixture at Anfield, both Lascelles and Trippier were booked which saw this selection land. They also tend to receive more against better sides. Against the traditional “big six” sides, they have seen 16 cards in six matches this season. This selection has landed in five of them and in both of their home matches against Manchester City (4) and Chelsea (3).
The referee for this game is Anthony Taylor. He has averaged 3.94 cards per game in the Premier League this season and interestingly has given more cards to home sides than visitors – 2.25 per match compared to 1.81 and in 13 of his 16 Premier League matches, he has shown at least two cards to the home side. He has shown at least four cards in four of his last five and six in three of those games. The Englishman is yet to take charge of a Newcastle game this season but has officiated two Liverpool games – their 1-0 victory at home to Manchester City and their 0-0 draw at Goodison Park. He gave four cards in both and two to Everton – who played at home.
Darwin Nunez has come under plenty of scrutiny from the media and Liverpool fans this season after his big money move from Benfica last summer. He averages 1.10 fouls per game and has committed the fourth most fouls of any Liverpool player in the league, despite playing less than 12 full 90 minutes. He has started 12 Premier League matches this season, committing 12 in that time and this selection has landed in ten of the 12. In a smaller sample size since the World Cup, he has started five Premier League matches and has committed at least one foul in four of those games. He has played on the left-hand side and Kieran Trippier, Newcastle’s right back, has been fouled the fifth most of any Newcastle player. As Nunez gets more frustrated with his lack of goals, he can get antagonized easily, and this has meant that he can be suspect to surrendering fouls.
Joelinton was written off after his big money move from Hoffenheim in the summer of 2019. However, his transformation into a top midfielder has been highly impressive given that he was signed as a forward. However, he is suspect to committing fouls and has given away 12 more free kicks than any other Newcastle player this season and is the third highest in the league with 37 – behind only Moises Caicedo (39) and Kai Havertz (41).
He has committed at least one foul in all but one of his matches going back to August 28th and has committed six across his last two games. The Brazilian has started 19 Premier League matches this year, giving away at least a foul in all but one and at least two in ten of the 19, being booked on nine occasions. At Anfield in the reverse fixture, he committed three offenses, and received a booking in both games against the Reds last year – making four fouls. Whilst Thiago is out, Bajcetic should keep his place in the starting lineup having impressed against Everton and he draws 1.94 fouls per game in midfield which should allow Joelinton to get stuck in.
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