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Newcastle v Liverpool
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Kick Off: Wednesday 4th December at 19:30
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Competition: Premier League
Runaway Premier League leaders Liverpool head to the north east on Wednesday evening to tackle Newcastle at St. James’ Park where Arne Slot’s relentless Reds are odds-on favourites to win for the 8th time on the spin in all competitions.
Eddie Howe’s toothless United have won only 5 times in 13 attempts since the start of the new Premier League campaign, however, they have taken points off Tottenham, Man City and Arsenal on Tyneside already this term, and the Magpies will be targeting another big scalp here.
⭐ Newcastle v Liverpool Best Bets
Liverpool’s victory over an ailing Manchester City on Sunday was a massive statement of intent and the Reds mustered 17 attempts and 3.40 in xGF in their 2-0 triumph over the ailing Premier League champions.
Arne Slot’s serial winners have now pocketed 25 of the last 27 points on offer and Liverpool’s football should be too slick for Newcastle on Wednesday. The Magpies have lost each of their last 6 encounters with Liverpool and they are winless in 15 previous tests against the Merseysiders overall.
United have been averaging just 1.07 goals per game in the top tier since August, while only three teams have been clocking fewer shots on target per 90 (3.38). Back Slot’s red-hot Reds to outgun Newcastle at generous odds here.
🟢 Newcastle v Liverpool #WhatOddsPaddy Tip
Cody Gakpo has been a more confident finisher in recent months and the Dutch international’s strike against Manchester City on Sunday was his 6th goal in 7 appearances for Liverpool in all competitions.
Goals in back-to-back games against high-profile opponents (Real Madrid & Man City) inside a productive week will have sent the 25-year-old’s self-belief skyrocketing and Gakpo – who scored against Newcastle in January – can prolong his purple patch here.
A Gakpo goal is unlikely to be the limit of Liverpool’s output on Wednesday. The Reds, who have been averaging 2.16 goals per away league fixture since the start of the campaign, are purring as an attacking force under Arne Slot.
The title favourites have scored in both halves in an impressive 67% of their Premier League away matches so far so look for them to breach a nervy Newcastle defence either side of the interval this week.
Elsewhere, Newcastle’s Joelinton is a prime card candidate. The Brazilian, who has racked up more fouls (29) than any other Premier League player this season, has already collected four yellow cards since August and Joelinton’s hair-trigger temper could land him in trouble again on Wednesday.
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👕 Newcastle v Liverpool Predicted XI
🔍 Newcastle v Liverpool Players to Watch
⚫️ Joelinton
Brazilian bruiser Joelinton remains one of Newcastle’s most prolific hatchet men and the 28-year-old has been committing 2.42 fouls per 90 minutes in the Premier League this season, making him the Magpies’ biggest serial offender for that metric.
In fact, Joelinton has committed more fouls in total (29) than any other player in the Premier League so far this term and the aggressive midfielder is likely to be in the thick of things again against possession-hungry Liverpool.
Joelinton committed 7 fouls across two appearances against the Reds last season, so expect similar on Wednesday evening.
🔴 Virgil van Dijk
The physically imposing Virgil van Dijk was in imperious aerial form in Liverpool’s win over Man City on Sunday and his prowess from set pieces allowed the Dutch international to have 3 attempts on the Cityzens’ goal.
Van Dijk, who has been averaging 0.69 shots per 90 minutes in the Premier League since the summer, registered a shot when Liverpool last played Newcastle in January and the 33-year-old represents decent value to lodge another effort at the Magpies’ goal here.
🔴 Mohamed Salah
Mohamed Salah remains a powerful talismanic presence for Liverpool and the Egyptian maestro claimed a goal and an assist in the Reds’ 2-0 win over Man City on Sunday.
Salah already has 11 goals and 7 assists in 13 Premier League appearances this season and the 32-year-old has been chipping in with 1 goal contribution for every 63.30 minutes of action in the division so far.
The winger has a superb record against Newcastle (8G and 6A in 15 apps) and Salah is backed to provide another match-changing moment against the Magpies at a very attractive price on Wednesday.
📂 Newcastle v Liverpool Cheat Sheet
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Look out for our Arsenal v Man United Betting Predictions and Arsenal v Man United Bet Builder Tips for even more insight into Wednesday night’s action, as well as Aberdeen v Celtic Betting Tips and Southampton v Chelsea Betting Tips – plus our Premier League Hit Rates Bet Builder.
💻 Newcastle v Liverpool Form and Tactics
Liverpool have won 11 of their first 13 Premier League fixtures this season and the Reds rank 1st in the league for xGF (26.6) and joint-first for shots on target per 90 (6.08) – they’re proving to be seriously prolific in the attacking areas.
Newcastle on the other hand, have failed to win any of their last 15 meetings with Liverpool and their recent form of only 2 wins in their last 9 Premier League fixtures, certainly doesn’t bode well go into this clash.
Liverpool posted the highest xGF figure (7.00) ever recorded in the Premier League when they last faced Newcastle in January and Eddie Howe will be hoping its not another repeat.
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🏁 Newcastle v Liverpool Ref Watch
- Referee: Andy Madley
- Premier League fixtures officiated by Andy Madley this season have featured an average of 6.33 yellow cards per game.
- The same six fixtures produced 25.17 fouls per game with Madley in charge.
- Madley brandished seven yellow cards and awarded a penalty kick in his last Premier League fixture (Leicester vs Chelsea, November).
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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