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Tottenham v Newcastle
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Kick Off: Saturday 4th January at 12:30
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Competition: Premier League
The second Premier League match of 2025 brings a highly anticipated rematch between two ambitious teams with much to prove. While the visitors arrive in superior form, the unpredictability of this clash makes it difficult to call. What is certain, however, is the promise of goals and an entertaining spectacle for fans.
⭐ Tottenham v Newcastle Best Bet
Both teams boast impressive attacking capabilities, coupled with defensive vulnerabilities that often lead to high-scoring encounters. Tottenham, armed with the league’s second-best attack, average a remarkable 3.6 goals per match, rising to an extraordinary 4.4 at home.
All but 2 of their league games this season have featured 3 or more goals. Newcastle, meanwhile, average 2.8 goals per game, a figure that climbs to 3.0 in away fixtures, with 60% of their road games delivering over 2.5 goals.
The reverse fixture ended 2-1 in Newcastle’s favour, landing this selection, while all of the last 8 meetings between these sides have produced 3 or more goals.
🟢 Tottenham v Newcastle #WhatOddsPaddy Tip
While predicting the outcome of this game is challenging given the contrasting recent form of both sides, Tottenham will aim to rekindle the dominance they displayed at the start of the season. Having won 7 of their first 8 competitive fixtures at home, their early-season prowess at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium sets a precedent.
Tottenham are averaging 5.79 shots on target per game while conceding 4.47 in the league, their numbers improve further at home, where they’ve outshot opponents on target in 7 of their 10 league matches. Even in the reverse fixture earlier this season, a defeat, Tottenham dominated this aspect, registering 6 shots on target to Newcastle’s 3. Newcastle have managed to lead this statistic in just 4 of their 10 away games, underscoring Tottenham’s edge here.
Tottenham have recorded the second-most corners per game in the league this term (7.89), a figure that rises to an extraordinary 8.3 at home. This dominance is reflected in their league home games, where they’ve won the corner count in 7 of 10 fixtures. Their superiority was evident in the reverse fixture earlier this season, where they comfortably outperformed Newcastle in corners, 12:7. This trend makes Tottenham strong favourites to secure this portion of the bet.
The most unpredictable element of this bet, given Newcastle’s typically disciplined approach, particularly away from home. They have only picked up more cards than their opponents in 1 of their away matches this season. However, 6 of Tottenham’s 10 league opponents at the Hotspur Stadium have received more cards, highlighting the challenges of playing at this venue.
The previous encounter between these teams saw 4 cards apiece, hinting at the potential for another card-heavy match. With referee Andrew Madley, who averages 3.92 cards per game, officiating, Newcastle may resort to tactical fouling to contain Tottenham’s attacking threats.
👕 Tottenham v Newcastle Predicted XI
🔍 Tottenham v Newcastle Players to Watch
⚪ Dominic Solanke
With 4 goals and 2 assists in his last 7 appearances, Tottenham’s English striker has demonstrated his knack for stepping up in key moments. His impressive record against Newcastle further underscores his credentials, having scored 3 goals and provided 1 assist for Bournemouth against the Magpies last season.
As Tottenham’s reliable spearhead, his ability to find space and capitalise on chances will be vital, especially against a Newcastle defence that has been resolute of late. With goals expected to flow in this encounter, his contribution, whether through his predatory instincts or link-up play, could prove decisive.
⚫ Alexander Isak
Becoming Newcastle’s third-fastest player to reach 50 goal contributions (43 goals and 7 assists), Alexander Isak has firmly established himself as one of the Premier League’s deadliest strikers. With only two players outscoring him this season, the Swedish marksman has rediscovered his electric form following a brief 6-game dry spell.
Scoring 5 goals in his last 3 appearances and 12 in his previous 13, Isak’s lethal finishing has been pivotal to Newcastle’s recent surge. His record against Spurs is equally impressive, with 5 goals in his last 4 outings against the North London side.
📂 Tottenham v Newcastle Cheat Sheet
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💻 Tottenham v Newcastle Form and Tactics
A spate of injuries has derailed Tottenham’s early-season momentum, with a once-strong home record now in tatters. After winning 7 of their first 8 competitive fixtures of the 2024/25 campaign, Spurs have celebrated just 1 victory from their subsequent 7 home matches (D3, L3).
Winless in their last 4 games, Tottenham face mounting pressure to deliver a result with a heavily patched-up squad as they aim to climb out of the bottom half of the table.
Tottenham’s prowess in earning corners—second-most in the league at an average of 7.89 per game—offers some hope. Their dominance in this metric increases at home, where they average 8.3 corners per match. Additionally, they will look to capitalise on their superior possession (66%) from the reverse fixture as a potential route to revitalising their season.
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Eight points ahead of Spurs, Newcastle are riding high as they aim to secure a UEFA Champions League return. Fresh off their second Premier League-era victory at Old Trafford (2-0), the Magpies are in scintillating form, boasting 3 consecutive Premier League clean sheets and wins in just 10 days. Their recent triumphs include 4 straight top-flight wins ‘to nil,’ a feat last achieved in 2012.
Confidence is sky-high for Eddie Howe’s men, who have also won 4 of their last 5 meetings with Tottenham under his guidance. With 5 victories from their last 10 away league encounters against Spurs (D1, L4), Newcastle are poised to exploit the hosts’ vulnerabilities.
Despite managing just 34% possession in the reverse fixture, their clinical efficiency and defensive solidity secured the win, and they will be looking to replicate that formula in their push for European football.
🏁 Tottenham v Newcastle Ref Watch
- Referee: Andy Madley
- Madley has awarded 3.92 yellow cards and 0.17 reds per game
- He has given 0.17 penalties per game
- There has been an average of 23.08 fouls per game this season
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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