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Newcastle v Nottingham Forest
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Kick Off: Sunday 23rd February at 14:00
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Competition: Premier League
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Main Event
Eddie Howe’s Newcastle welcome a Nottingham Forest side to St James’ Park who have exceeded all expectations this season and currently sit third in the Premier League.
Nottingham Forest’s away form this season has been a real avenue for success for the midlands side with Forest winning 7 of their 12 away Premier League assignments this term. Only Arsenal and Liverpool boast a better away record in the league this campaign.
⭐ Newcastle v Nottingham Forest Best Bet
Sels has been crucial to Nottingham Forest this season, the 32-year-old keeper is being forced into making 3.32 saves per game in the Premier League this season and has seen a recent spike in his save numbers.
Sels’ recent saves record read: 8, 6, 5, 1, 5 suggesting that he’s having to bail his side out more often than usual of late, which could coincide with the fact that Nottingham Forest have been outperforming their expected metrics in quite a few departments this season, something which isn’t sustainable over a longer period of time.
The anomaly in this recent spike came in Nottingham Forest’s win over Southampton, the bottom placed side in the Premier League, so it’s no surprise that they were not able to test Sels regularly.
Newcastle will be a different challenge for Sels, Eddie Howe’s side are averaging 4.6 shots on target per game in the Premier League this season and managed to draw 3 saves from Sels in the initial meeting between these sides at the City Ground.
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Newcastle have seen over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 games across all competitions, Eddie Howe’s side promising attacking ability is equalised by an inconsistent defensive line which usually sees goals at both ends at St James’ Park. Nottingham Forest have seen over 2.5 goals in each of their last 5 games across all competitions, and the initial meeting between these sides at the City Ground saw 4 goals in a 3-1 win for Newcastle.
Matz Sels is averaging 3.32 saves per game in the Premier League this season and has been forced into making 3+ saves in 4 of his last 5 Premier League games. Newcastle forced Sels into making 3 saves in the meeting between the sides at the City Ground earlier in the campaign.
Nottingham Forest committed 13 fouls in the initial meeting to Newcastle’s 6, giving us a clear indication of which side is going to have to carry out the majority of the defensive work here. Forest are averaging 10.5 fouls per game in the Premier League which could be set to rise here against once of the most consistent sides in the Premier League when it comes to winning fouls.
👕 Newcastle v Nottingham Forest Predicted XI
🔍 Newcastle v Nottingham Forest Players to Watch
🔴 Chris Wood
Chris Wood has had 28 shots on target across his 25 Premier League appearances this season (1.25 per 90). He’s been incredibly clinical in converting 64% of these shots on target into goals, resulting in 18 goals this campaign for the veteran striker.
Wood can continue to benefit from Forest’s counter-attacking style of play at a ground where he scored a hat-trick last season.
⚫ Sandro Tonali
Tonali’s position change has had a massive impact on Newcastle’s season. In the early parts of the campaign, Tonali was being played ahead of a defensive midfielder (usually Bruno Guimaraes) but Eddie Howe tweaked this as the campaign went on to move Tonali back into a defensive midfield position which is a move that has seen his foul record increase.
He’s committed 2+ fouls in each of his last 5 Premier League games, evidencing how this move has directly impacted his foul record. Tonali is averaging 1.62 fouls committed per 90 in the Premier League this season and will be up against Morgan Gibbs-White, who has won 28 fouls across his 21 Premier League games this season (1.50 per 90).
📂 Newcastle v Nottingham Forest Cheat Sheet
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💻 Newcastle v Nottingham Forest Form and Tactics
- Newcastle have improved massively as the season has progressed. Eddie Howe’s side started really sluggishly with their attacking players struggling to gel and a lack of balance in the side, but Howe has addressed this issue. The Geordies will still want to improve their home record, which has seen them win 6 of their 12 games at St James’ Park this term.
- Newcastle line up in a 4-3-3 shape, the midfield usually being the most important part of this set up. Joelinton being injured does weaken this midfield trio slightly, but the presence of Tonali and Guimaraes still make it one of the most well-balanced midfield set ups in the Premier League, both possess the perfect combination of physicality and technical ability.
- Nottingham Forest’s success should be applauded but question marks over the sustainability of the approach when looking at their underlying numbers are still valid. Forest have been incredibly clinical when opportunities come their way, as best evidenced by the fact they’ve outperformed their xG of 33.1 to score 41 goals in the Premier League this season. Only Arsenal have a bigger gap between their xG and actual goals this season.
- Forest will line up in a 4-2-3-1 shape, but don’t be surprised to see this turn into a back 3 at times when Forest are without the ball. The wide areas will be crucial here, both sides look to these areas as a source of their attacking play, with Newcastle in particular utilising the fullbacks to good effect to make strong overlapping runs to create overloads.
🏁 Newcastle v Nottingham Forest Ref Watch
- Referee – Jarred Gillet
| Average Cards (Y / R) | 4.57 / 0.00 |
| Fouls Given | 23.43 |
| Penalties | 0.14 |
📺 How to Watch Newcastle v Nottingham Forest in the Premier League
📅 When is Newcastle v Nottingham Forest / Sunday, 23rd February 2025, 14:00
🏟 Where is Newcastle v Nottingham Forest / St. James’ Park (Newcastle)
📺 What TV Channel is Newcastle v Nottingham Forest on? / Sky Sports Main Event
🟨 …And who is the referee for Newcastle v Nottingham Forest? / Jarred Gillet 🏴
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* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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