PSG have seen BTTS in each of their last five home matches in the Champions League, most recently coming away 5-2 winners over Chelsea. Their backline has been chopping and changing all season due to injury and fatigue, so I think there will be gaps here for Liverpool to exploit.

This angle mainly relies on Liverpool finding the back of the net. PSG have scored 34 goals across their 13 home matches in Ligue 1 this term (2.61 per game), so they shouldn’t really have any issues when it comes to breaching Liverpool’s backline, which just conceded four goals over the weekend in a damning defeat against Manchester City. 

I do think Liverpool will get joy in the final third, their attacking numbers have dropped off a bit since last season - mainly due to the decline of Salah - but they still carry a decent attacking threat, having netted 23 goals across their 16 away matches in the Premier League this term.

Arne Slot has made some very interesting comments about set pieces and corners, specifically this season, though at risk of antagonising an entire fanbase - he’s a bit of a hypocrite. 

Liverpool have racked up the most corners in the Champions League this season (70 - 7.00 per game) with nine of their 24 goals coming from non-penalty set pieces (37.5%). Liverpool do utilise set pieces quite regularly, often leveraging their physicality from these situations more frequently in the Champions League.

PSG have registered 75 corners in the Champions League this season, but the two extra games they have played mean that their average sits a bit lower than Liverpool's (6.25 per game).

Hugo Ekitike lines up against the side that let him go a few seasons ago, this time wearing the red of Liverpool as Arne Slot’s side look to the Champions League for a bit of salvation from their season. 

Ekitike has led the line pretty well for Liverpool when taking into account it is his first season in the Premier League, and he probably did not expect to be playing as much as he is, which is a result of Isak’s injury. He’s netted three goals across his nine starts in the Champions League, managing 35 shots across these games (4.32 per 90).

This shot volume is comparable to the numbers he was posting regularly for Frankfurt, and is a slight increase on his shot output in the Premier League, which is also promisingly high (3.23 shots per 90). Of his 35 shots in the Champions League, 12 have found the target (1.48 per 90). 

I think Ekitike will have extra motivation to prove a point here for Liverpool, given his previous affiliation with PSG, and his shot volume in the Champions League gives him an excellent chance of finding the target at least once.

I backed Gravenberch to win a few fouls in Liverpool’s defeat to Manchester City over the weekend, and he was hauled down twice in just 67 minutes. It’s a strong part of his game, mainly due to how good he is in tight spaces - his profile is highly sought after in the modern game, with Gravenberch finding it easy to turn defence into attack.

Gravenberch has won 16 fouls across his nine starts in the Champions League this season (1.84 per 90). This shows his ability to manoeuvre out of difficult situations, which directly leads to Gravenberch winning fouls. I’m particularly interested in his battle against PSG’s midfield trio. Luis Enrique has imposed a brilliant counter-pressing system for the Parisians, with the midfield and attacking trio working very hard when without the ball.

Gravenberch was fouled once in the meeting between the sides at the Parc Des Princes last season, with PSG coming through that tie after two legs on penalties. PSG committed 14 fouls in their 5-2 win over Chelsea in their most recent Champions League game at the Parc Des Princes, setting the stage for Gravenberch to draw at least one foul from an aggressive PSG side when without the ball.

Ousmane Dembele is very close to reaching the heights he set last season as he guided PSG to the Champions League trophy, scoring eight goals across his 15 appearances in the competition. Dembele has scored 42 goals across his last 62 appearances across all competitions (0.67 per game), which is comparable to the likes of Haaland and Mbappe.

In other words, Dembele is truly elite and enters this game in good form, having scored a brace against Toulouse over the weekend. Dembele has scored 10 goals across just eight starts in Ligue 1 this season, and has also pitched in with two goals across six starts in the Champions League - including netting in PSG’s 5-2 win over Chelsea in their most recent home game in the Champions League.

Dembele scored at Anfield when these sides met in the Champions League last season, with that goal being enough to force extra time and eventually penalties as PSG dumped out Liverpool in the round of 16. He can be a threat to the Reds again with his incredibly strong goal record across the last few seasons.

Nuno Mendes was labelled the ‘best left back in the world’ by Marc Cucurella before Chelsea’s 8-2 defeat on aggregate to PSG, and it’s hard to argue with that claim based on the standard that Mendes has set for PSG over the last few seasons.

Mendes is the perfect modern fullback and loves to get forward. He’s already eclipsed his attacking output from last season, registering 13 goal contributions across his 42 appearances, which is an impressive record for a left back. If you look at Mendes’ heat map, he spends a lot of time in advanced areas, which is why his shot count is so healthy across both the Champions League and Ligue 1.

Mendes has taken 14 shots across his 12 starts in the Champions League this season (1.28 per 90), seeing six of these efforts find the target (0.55 per 90). This tally has returned four goal contributions for Mendes, two of which have been goals.

I think Mac Allister has been far below the standard he set for Liverpool last season, and has strangely been struggling with some of the physical demands of the Premier League this season, which hasn’t really been the case since he arrived in England. 

Mac Allister has lost a touch of that natural tenacity which made him such an important player for Liverpool last season, and I think Slot is trying to work out a spot for him in the midfield with the likes of Szoboszlai and Wirtz both probably operating where you’d want to platform Mac Allister. 

Mac Allister has picked up one yellow card in the Champions League this season across seven starts, while also collecting five cautions across his 26 starts in the Premier League. He’ll be faced up by PSG’s midfield trio, but also by the frontline who like to drop into pockets and cause overloads.