Inter Milan v Roma Best Betting Predictions, Cheat Sheet & Predicted Lineups

Inter Milan v Roma Best Betting Predictions, Cheat Sheet & Predicted Lineups

Friday 25 April, 20256 min read
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Harry Nye

Harry is a Christchurch-based football enthusiast whose love for sport and numbers naturally led him into the world of sports betting. While studying Mathematics at university, Harry began combining his analytical mindset with his passion for football. Harry focuses predominantly on football, with a particular emphasis on the Bundesliga this season, though as a Liverpool supporter (with a soft spot for QPR thanks to his dad), English football remains close to his heart. Whether it's late-night research or diving into stat models, Harry thrives on spotting the bets others might miss.

In this article...

Inter Milan v Roma

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Kick Off: Sunday 27th April at 14:00

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Competition: Serie A

After a humbling Coppa Italia exit midweek, Inter now turn full focus to their league campaign and Champions League ambitions.

Level on points with Napoli, their path to the title features a challenging run-in, beginning with a crucial clash against a Roma side also chasing European qualification.


Inter Milan v Roma Best Bets

➡️ Back Inter Milan to Win with bet365 @ 1.75

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With both Inter Milan and Napoli locked on 71 points heading into Round 34, the race to retain the Serie A title is delicately poised, but with a trickier run-in than their rivals, Inter can’t afford a slip-up here. A relentless April schedule that includes a Champions League semi-final clash with Barcelona leaves no margin for error in their pursuit of back-to-back Scudetti.

Despite a 3-0 defeat to AC Milan in midweek Coppa Italia action, Inter return to the league in formidable shape. That result snapped an 11-game unbeaten home run in all competitions (W9, D2) and was only their third loss at home all season (W20, D4) - all at the hands of their crosstown rivals, where home advantage is less relevant. In Serie A alone, they’ve been imperious at San Siro, unbeaten in 15 of 16 home matches (W12, D3) and chasing a seventh straight home league win.

Roma arrives in strong form themselves (W10, D3, L1 across all competitions) and have put together a 17-game unbeaten league run. But their away form tells a different story. They’ve failed to win a single away league match against top-half sides this season (D4, L2) and haven’t won at San Siro since 2017. Inter’s sharper edge in attack, superior big-game experience, and commanding home record should prove decisive here.



👕 Inter Milan v Roma Predicted XI

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🔍 Inter Milan v Roma Players to Watch

🔵 Marcus Thuram

Thuram, Inter’s top scorer with 14 goals, is a key attacking figure. His 0.99 shots on target per 90 underline his clinical nature, especially considering he’s outperforming his xG of 9.98. Against Roma, he’s found the net in two of their last three meetings and has registered at least one shot on target in all three. Match fitness may be a factor, so checking lineups pre-match is advised, if he starts and is replaced, this bet is covered by bet365's Sub On Play On.

➡️ Back Marcus Thuram to have 1+ Shots on Target with bet365 @ 1.30 ↔️

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🟠 Artem Dovbyk

Dovbyk remains Roma’s primary attacking outlet with 11 Serie A goals and five more in other competitions. He averages 1.07 shots on target per 90 minutes and has managed to hit the target in four of his last six starts. With Paulo Dybala sidelined through injury, Dovbyk is expected to shoulder more of the attacking responsibility.

➡️ Back Artem Dovbyk to have 1+ Shots on Target with bet365 @ 1.40 ↔️

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📂 Inter Milan v Roma Cheat Sheet

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Andy's Bet Club is packed full of Expert Football Tips, with a wide variety of data-driven picks available daily to help you bet smarter. We also have an easy-to-use Bet Builder Stats tool to help you conduct your own research.

There's plenty of European Football Tips on site for this weekend, as well as Gem Bets. You can take a look at the latest Inter Milan v Roma Betting Stats, too.


💻 Inter Milan v Roma Form and Tactics

Inter Milan’s hunt for a domestic and European double continues, but they’ll need to swiftly shake off their Coppa Italia semi-final loss to city rivals AC Milan. Back in Serie A action, the league leaders (merely by goal difference) host Roma, having already beaten them 1-0 during a stellar 17-match unbeaten run earlier this season. 

With three of their final five league fixtures at San Siro, the Nerazzurri are poised to stay in control of the title race, especially after winning their last six home league games and scoring 2+ goals in eight of their last nine there. While defensive lapses have occurred (conceded in five of those six wins), Inter’s prolific frontline continues to bail them out.

Tactically, Inter are arguably the most complete side in Italy. With the league’s best attack (2.2 goals per game) and highest possession average (59.4%), they excel through fluid rotations, particularly in the wide and half-space channels, while thriving off a 3-5-2 system with advanced wingbacks. Their dominance is evident in crossing (1st in Serie A) and corners won, and their clinical edge is underlined by outperforming their xG by more than 11 goals.  

They’re equally solid without the ball, joint 4th for both goals conceded (1.0 per game) and clean sheets (13), and 2nd for xGA. High pressing (2nd for possession won in final third) meets discipline (2nd for cards and 5th for fewest fouls), making them both aggressive and composed.

Roma’s reverse fixture defeat to Inter triggered a dramatic downturn, but since then, Claudio Ranieri has engineered a stunning turnaround. A 17-match unbeaten league run (W12, D5), including a narrow 1-0 win over Verona last weekend, has reignited hopes of a top-four finish, and with it, a return to the Champions League for the first time since 2018/19. However, Roma’s record away to top-half sides this season remains a sticking point, with no wins in such games so far (D4, L2).

Structurally, Roma mirror Inter in defensive solidity, they are joint 4th for goals conceded and clean sheets, and maintain decent control in matches, averaging 55.3% possession. Their attack is efficient but lacks Inter’s cutting edge, with 48 goals almost precisely matching their xG (47.2). They play a more direct yet accurate style, ranking 6th for both crosses and touches in the opposition box, but don’t reach the same levels of volume or threat.

Out of possession, they press high (2nd in the league) but make few tackles, relying instead on compact shape and anticipation. Their keeper’s activity (4th most saves at 3.2 per match) shows they can be exposed under pressure. Still, discipline remains a strength under Ranieri, boasting the 2nd fewest fouls and cards in the league.


🏁 Inter Milan v Roma Ref Watch

  • Referee: Michael Fabbri

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

24.60

4.07

0.13

  • Stats are on a per 90 basis and are taken from Fabbri's 2024/25 Serie A games (15 total)


Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

Our guide on How To Use A Cheat Sheet is the perfect way to get involved with our Bet Builder Stats tool, the best freely available data source for punting on the Premier League.

We recommend the Best Betting Sites For Accumulators, Top Bet Builder Sites, Weekly Free Bet Clubs, and the best Premier League Free Bets but we also like specific offers like the Paddy Power Sign Up Offer and Sky Bet Sign Up Offer.

Expert guides, such as this one, on xG in Football, are also available to help you up your punting game. While you can also take a look at the latest New Bookmaker Offers.



* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


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