It may be a bit of a quiet Saturday evening for European football as the season draws to a close, but with very little decided across Europe’s top flights, there is still plenty for us to get stuck into.
In Serie A, a Milan team humbled by their rivals in the Champions League semi-finals need to put that all behind them quickly to stand any chance of making it back to Europe’s premier club competition again next season when they face Sampdoria.
Meanwhile Getafe, under new manager Pepe Bordalas, have a fantastic opportunity to escape the clutches of the LaLiga relegation zone when they face already-relegated Elche at home. We also have a couple of games in Portugal and Bolivia which our scouts have spotted as offering some excellent value.
If you’re looking to get involved in the best bets action, we have a fantastic offer for anyone who is yet to sign up with Paddy Power. Just sign up here and bet up to £30, safe in the knowledge that you will get your money back in cash if the bet doesn’t land:
Getafe v Elche
This is a clash between two teams inside the relegation zone. But, while Elche are already mathematically relegated, Getafe still have everything to play for as they’re just one point away from 17th place and safety.
Since José Bordalás returned as Getafe coach, he has had three matches and has lost 1-0 at Espanyol and 1-0 at Real Madrid, while he has won 1-0 at home to Celta Vigo in his only home fixture so far. He’ll hope that the support at the Coliseum Alfonso Pérez can lead Getafe to another victory, against the worst away team in the division.
Although Elche played with more freedom following their relegation and managed to defeat Atlético Madrid 1-0 last weekend, they are still a terrible team and Getafe won 1-0 when they visited Elche earlier this season, even though they finished that game with 10 men.
Considering that Getafe have all their usual starters available, including their back-from-suspension top scorer Enes Ünal, Bordalás’ can field his ideal starting XI. Getafe have so much more to play for here than Elche and should have the tactical advantage and superior quality to get the job done on home soil.
Boavista v Braga
Braga kicked off their Primeira Liga season with a 3-3 draw against Sporting, going down on three separate occasions only to claw their way back each time and secure a point at home.
It set the tone for what has proven to be a rollercoaster campaign for the Arsenalistas – having reached the Europa League quarterfinals in 2022, Braga suffered an early exit from their usual stomping grounds and were relegated to the Europa Conference League, where they would suffer a 7-2 aggregate defeat to Fiorentina before losing 2-1 to local rivals Vitória.
Since then, Braga have dropped points just twice – a 0-0 draw to Porto and a 1-0 loss to Benfica – and they will be traveling to Boavista before hosting Paços de Ferreira and facing off against Porto in the Taça de Portugal Final.
Artur Jorge’s side sit third in the table, five points behind Porto and four above Sporting, and they look set to return to the UEFA Champions League for the first time in 11 years, with third place seeing them advance to the third qualifying round of the competition. Braga are clicking on all cylinders and have scored 71 goals – the second-most after Benfica (77) – following their 5-3 victory against Santa Clara.
One player who has been vital in their sensational form is January arrival Bruma. Having capped his debut with a brace against Famalicão, the Fenerbahçe loanee would follow that up by scoring against Rio Ave and grabbing assists against Vizela, Estoril Praia, Gil Vicente and Portimonense before grabbing a goal and an assist against Santa Clara.
Ten years after breaking onto the scene with Sporting and earning a move to Galatasaray, the 28-year-old winger has provided ample speed, creativity and individual magic on the flank, and he’s making a strong argument for Braga to sign him on a permanent deal this summer.
I’m expecting him to lead them to victory and Champions League qualification as they face off against a Boavista side that is coming off a 3-1 loss to Gil Vicente – a team that had taken two points in their previous six matches and that had scored two in their previous seven. Boavista have kept just two clean sheets since the start of March – a 0-0 draw to Arouca on March 3 and a 1-0 win against Estoril Praia on May 6 – and I don’t see them getting number three against Braga.
Milan v Sampdoria
Saturday evening sees AC Milan attempting to bounce back after suffering the major disappointment of getting knocked out of the Champions League by their city rivals Inter earlier in the week. Their safe haven away from Serie A has disappeared and they have no choice but to rectify their form domestically.
Stefano Pioli’s side have been wobbling for much of the season but they are really limping towards the finish line now. They were beaten by Spezia last weekend and they have recently drawn with the likes of Cremonese and Bologna. Wins have not been easy to come by and they are four points away from fourth place, so the situation is no longer in their hands.
If there is any fixture that you want in this situation, it is a home game against Sampdoria. Rafael Leao is not back to full fitness yet and Ismael Bennacer is out, whilst Olivier Giroud is also a possible absentee.
Even despite all of that, Milan should be getting all three points here and they should not be conceding against a Sampdoria side that is already down, has three wins all season and has scored just 21 goals in 25 games.
It may not be a massive win but that doesn’t matter right now. It is impossible to back Sampdoria to score away from home against Milan, even if this Milan team is stuttering.
Royal Pari v Always Ready
Despite expectation prior to the season, following indifferent form, both teams are embedded deep in midtable this season. Always have only lost once in their last ten games but have drawn six of them.
Pari, despite the return of prodigal manager Mosquera and being unbeaten in their last two games, lost five of the previous six and what’s more, are shipping an average of two goals a game. Both teams have a goal average of around three, so one would expect there to be a few in this game.
Although Always came away victorious in the last two games between these sides, don’t expect them to do so this time, they don’t travel well to Santa Cruz, whilst Pari seem to have steadied the ship somewhat, at least at home and have found some stability.
Look out for the two Jose number 27s, Jose Erik Correa in Royal Pari’s case and Jose Carlos Martines for Always, they each netted twice last weekend. We expect goals in this one, and over 2.5 goals looks great value at 1.80.
Libertad v Olimpia
The two champions from last year go head to head in a game that has recently been hotly contested affairs with six red cards in the last five matches. The rivalry has added spice as a home victory could secure the league title depending on the Cerro Porteño result across town which will be played at the same time.
Back on the field of play and Libertad have been cruising towards another league title picking up 25 points from a possible 30 in the ten games since their last meeting with Olimpia. The young players Enso Gonzalez (18) and Lucas Sanabria (23) have been key contributors providing three goals and an assist over the past four games. The return from injury of another promising start Diego Gómez (20) has bolstered the midfield and he got his 4th goal in all competitions in the 2-0 win over Guaireña on Tuesday night.
Diego Aguirre is under pressure at Olimpia, the Uruguayan has gone a handful of games without a victory as General Caballero pegged them back to a fourth draw in five matches. Since defeating Libertad they have only picked up two league wins against strugglers Resistencia and Tacuary, those were the only couple of games in which they have kept a clean sheet. In the last three games they have tinkered with the central defensive partnership, that lack of stability is costing them.
Although Olimpia have won the last two meetings between these sides it is hard to look past the league leaders here, especially at home where they have won their last seven in the league. Óscar Cardozo is the topscorer in La Huerta and he only appeared from the bench in midweek presumably being rested for this clash.
*Bet links only appear when accessing from mobile.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
18+ please gamble responsibly.
Haven’t got a Betfair account? You’re in luck…
Sign up to Betfair and get £30 in free football bet builders when you place a £10 football bet on the Betfair Sportsbook. Here are the two possible outcomes: