Norrby v Brommapojkarna
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Saturday 15th October – 12:00PM KO
These are two sides that come into this one on the back of some difficult form, but they remain at opposite ends of the table with very different ambitions in the final four matches of the Superettan season.
Norrby come into this on the back of a 3-2 defeat away to Vasteras in their most recent outing, last weekend. The home team have now won just one of their last five matches as they hover in the Superettan relegation playoff place, just above the bottom two and the automatic relegation places.
With the bottom two, Dalkurd and Ostersund, facing each other, this is an absolutely pivotal match for Norrby or there could be just a point or two between themselves and the winner of that match.
Brommapojkarna, under the management of Christer Mattiasson, have been absolutely excellent for the last couple of months. They have sprung from being simply inside the top-half of the table to being in an almost unassailable position in the top two and the automatic promotion spots.
The visitors were only promoted from the third-tier and regional football of Swedish football last season and a stretch of nine successive victories means they are close to back-to-back promotions. However, they come into this on the back of back-to-back defeats meaning they start this weekend six points clear of third place Osters ahead of this weekend’s round of fixtures.
Those defeats have inflated their odds for this one, but it must be remembered that they are playing a really, really poor Norrby side and the automatic promotion challengers should bounce back here.
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Prediction: Brommapojkarna to Win, 2.38 on Betfair (⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
Dalkurd v Ostersund
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Sunday 16th October – 12:00PM KO
Both of these sides have been struggling down at the bottom end of the table throughout the 2022 Superettan campaign. Now, with four games to go, both teams absolutely must win to stand any chance of survival.
The home team come into this on the back of a much-needed 3-1 win away at mid-table Orebro in their most recent outing, last weekend. The home team have won two of their last three matches as they seek to give themselves a sniff of surviving relegation.
Dalkurd have been down towards the bottom end of the table throughout the 2022 Superettan campaign and they, as predicted, have struggled. However, with Norrby, the team in the relegation playoff place, facing automatic promotion challengers Brommapojkarna, a door has opened up for them to squeeze out of the bottom two.
They have managed just seven victories so far this season – only one team has won fewer games and they have managed to score just 28 goals so far this season – only one team has scored fewer. That team? Ostersund.
The visitors begin this weekend’s round of fixtures sitting at the bottom-of-the-table, but they have been much-improved in the second half of the season and they have also given themselves a chance. Norrby’s expected defeat to Brommapojkarna means Ostersund could move two points off them with four games to go.
In fact, their 2-0 defeat at home to AFC Eskilstuna last weekend ended a five-match unbeaten run in all competitions. Of the 23 points they have collected in 26 matches so far this season, 14 have come in their last nine games as improvements in performances have shown in results.
Both teams must win to stand a chance and both teams come into this in relatively good form, given how they have performed generally throughout the 2022 campaign.
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Prediction: Both Teams to Score, 1.73 on Betfair (⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
Orgryte IS v Jonkopings Sodra
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Sunday 16th October – 2:00PM KO
Throughout the season, Orgryte IS and Jonkopings Sodra have flirted with the bottom three and relegation from the Swedish second-tier. Either side could all but guarantee survival, though, with a victory in this one.
The two sides are separated by just one point and one place in the 2022 Superettan table with four games to go. OIS sit 13th, two points clear of Norrby in the relegation playoff place with J-Sodra a place above them.
OIS come into this on the back of an entertaining and shocking 3-2 win away at league leaders, champions-elect Halmstad last weekend. That made it back-to-back victories for the home team, scoring seven goals in the process.
J-Sodra, on the other hand, have also been performing impressively. The visitors’ 1-1 draw at home to Brage last week means they have now lost just one of their last eight matches in all competitions.
These two sides both need a win to pretty much confirm survival from Superettan relegation and both teams come into this on the back of some impressive form.
The underlying data, though, supports the idea that these are two of the worst defences in the second-tier. OIS’s overall expected goals against is 1.58 and the fifth worst in the league, whilst J-Sodra have the fourth worst expected goals against away from home with 1.74.
Given those poor defensive records, as well as the need to win for both teams, means this could well be an entertaining game for the neutral.
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Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals, 1.73 on Betfair (⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
Utsiktens v Halmstad
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Monday 17th October – 6:00PM KO
One of these teams has absolutely nothing to play for, whilst the other have absolutely everything to play for with promotion to the Allsvenskan potentially being confirmed this week.
It has been an inconsistent campaign for the home team, and they begin this weekend’s round of fixtures sitting firmly in the middle-of-the-table. Utsiktens’ most recent outing was a shock 1-0 win away at automatic promotion challengers Brommapojkarna, though, last weekend.
They have been a fairly entertaining watch for the neutral, relative to Swedish second-tier football. Their 26 matches so far this season have consisted of 73 goals with nine wins, five draws and 12 defeats.
They now face a Halmstad side that, under the management of Magnus Haglund, were relegated from the Allsvenskan last season but the club, following that surprise, stuck by long-term manager Haglund and they have reaped the rewards this year.
The visitors would not have been outlandish to think they have had promotion already wrapped up but one win in four and just two victories in their last seven matches have stalled their celebrations.
They could well be officially automatically promoted back to the top-flight at the first attempt this weekend, though. If Osters were to drop points away at AFC Eskilstuna this weekend and Halmstad picked up all three points at their mid-table opposition then they will be up.
Halmstad have been indifferent and inconsistent in recent weeks, but the champions-elect will be confident of getting past a mid-table side that will be expected to be lacking motivation.
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Prediction: Halmstad to Win, 2.05 on Betfair (⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
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